691
FNUS74 KBMX 081027
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Odum Point...USFS
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
527 AM CDT Wed Oct 8 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 CDT on October 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Conditions within the Cheaha Wilderness early this morning will
consist of showers in the vicinity with broken to overcast
conditions early this morning. Ceilings are forecast between 1000
and 1500 feet through 8am. Over the past couple of hours, showers
have developed and have moved over or passed very close by the
burn location. Although rainfall amounts have been light, any
moisture at the surface is certainly helpful. Ceilings are
expected to rise by the mid morning hours with 20ft northerly
winds between 5 and 10mph, slightly increasing by this afternoon
following the passage of a front. RH values will remain elevated
in the 60s through this afternoon. Additional scattered showers
are forecast in the vicinity of Cheaha this morning, but rain
chances will come to an end by this afternoon.

Drier air will move into the area during the day on Thursday, with
20ft winds becoming easterly and increasing above 10mph with gusts
over 20mph likely.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning.
CWR.................30 percent decreasing to 10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........60 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 3 to 10 mph increasing to 12 to 14 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 31 early in the afternoon
                    increasing to 53 late in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 30.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  75  67  63  69  71  64  63  56  52  46  44
Weather cov.....CHC
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............30  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............67  66  68  69  72  74  75  75  76  76  77  76
RH..............97  100 93  90  79  71  69  66  62  62  60  60
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind dir..350 000 010 020 020 020 020 010 020 020 020 020
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.5   6   6   7   10  10  10  11  11  13  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 1.3 2.1 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.3 3.1 2.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.3   3   5   7   8   9   10  10  13  13  14  12
Dispersion idx..2   2   3   5   5   18  23  25  30  32  53  30
LVORI...........10  6   6   6   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......0 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 9 to 13 mph shifting to the east 10
                    to 13 mph after 3 am.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 11 after 3 am.
LVORI...............4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........42  41  39  34  28  24  21  26  33  44  53  63
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............75  72  67  66  65  64  63  62  61  61  61  60
RH..............64  71  90  90  90  87  87  87  87  87  84  87
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind dir..010 020 010 010 020 030 030 040 040 050 060 060
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   8   8   9   9   8   9   8   8   9
20 FT wind gust.13  12  13  14  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   NE  N   NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.10  9   10  12  13  13  12  12  12  10  12  13
Dispersion idx..8   1   0   0   0   0   8   8   8   9   10  11
LVORI...........1   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   4   4

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph early
                    in the morning.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....17 increasing to 41 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 28 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  64  56  53  50  50  49  48  49  50  50  50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............61  61  63  65  67  69  70  70  70  69  68  67
RH..............81  81  75  68  61  57  57  55  55  55  57  59
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind dir..070 080 080 090 090 090 080 080 080 070 070 070
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  16  17  17  16  14  14  13  13  13  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 1.0 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.6 1.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.14  14  17  18  18  17  15  13  13  13  13  12
Dispersion idx..12  12  15  21  21  44  43  39  40  40  38  28
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2

$$
Forecaster...GGoggins
Requested by...Troy McFarland
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523125.0/BMX
.DELDT 10/08/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0