565
FNUS74 KBMX 021706
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Oak Mountain...Shelby EMA
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
1206 PM CDT Fri Oct 2 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 CDT on October 02.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

There is a very low chance for a nearby shower today. Isolated to
scattered showers are forecast on Saturday, becoming widespread
on Sunday. Mainly shower activity is expected; there is a low
chance for lightning. Rain totals may reach between one to two
inches with the bulk occurring on Sunday.

The lowest MinRH over the next couple of days will occur this
afternoon, near 50 percent, with good nocturnal recovery to near
100 percent.

Winds remain light from the south to southeast today, east on
Saturday, and northeast on Sunday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 8 mph.
Dispersion index....45 decreasing to 22.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........30     41     49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     0      10
Temp............86     89     89
RH..............59     52     50
20 FT wind......S 3    SE 2   SE 2
20 FT wind gust.7      6      6
20 FT wind dir..160    150    130
Mix hgt (ft)....5000   5500   4700
Transport wind..S 8    S 7    SE 6
Dispersion idx..47     44     32
LVORI...........3      1      2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 3 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....12 decreasing to 2.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........54     55     51     36     43     52
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10     10     10     10     10     10
Temp............85     76     74     72     71     71
RH..............59     87     93     100    100    100
20 FT wind......SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 1   N 0    N 0
20 FT wind gust.6      6      6      6      5      4
20 FT wind dir..130    120    150    150    000    000
Mix hgt (ft)....1400   400    400    500    500    400
Transport wind..SE 6   SE 7   S 7    S 7    S 6    S 3
Dispersion idx..12     0      0      3      3      2
LVORI...........2      6      9      9      9      10

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 7 mph.
Dispersion index....3 increasing to 22 late in the morning, then
                    decreasing to 15 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........60     70     58     71     76     74
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  CHANCE
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC  CHANCE
CWR.............10     10     10     10     20     40
Temp............70     72     78     85     86     84
RH..............100    100    87     67     65     67
20 FT wind......N 0    E 1    SE 2   SE 2   SE 2   SE 2
20 FT wind gust.4      5      6      6      6      6
20 FT wind dir..000    100    120    120    120    120
Mix hgt (ft)....300    700    2000   3500   4200   2400
Transport wind..SE 3   SE 5   SE 6   SE 6   SE 6   E 6
Dispersion idx..2      2      3      20     22     16
LVORI...........10     9      4      4      3      3

$$
Forecaster...Satterwhite
Requested by...Mindy Nash
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2622816.8/BMX
.DELDT 10/02/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0