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FNUS74 KBMX 110615
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Moore PB...Alabama Forestry Commission
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
115 AM CDT Tue Aug 11 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on August 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build into the area today, especially the western
areas. This should limit the shower activity for the day across the
burn area. Rain chances are only 10 percent for the day. Despite
drier conditions, there will still be plenty of moisture in pace,
thus RH levels should remain above 50 percent for the day. Mixing
heights should rise to 2000 feet between 9 and 10 AM, with dispersion
numbers rising from the 30s to 60s by the afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index....4 increasing to 62.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........26  31  23  26  27  36  37  31  29  29  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............75  78  81  85  87  89  90  91  92  92  92
RH..............100 97  88  77  72  66  62  60  58  56  56
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind dir..240 250 260 260 250 240 230 230 230 230 230
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2
20 FT wind gust.7   6   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.2 1.8 2.8 3.6 4.4 4.8 5.2 5.2 5.4 4.8
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   7   7   8   8   8   9   9   9
Dispersion idx..4   4   4   3   32  45  48  52  60  62  55
LVORI...........8   8   8   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 74.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....30 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........34  36  40  34  29  29  23  17  16  18  17  20
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............90  88  85  81  80  79  79  78  77  76  75  75
RH..............60  68  75  85  85  88  88  91  94  94  97  97
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind dir..230 230 220 200 200 210 210 220 230 230 230 240
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   8   10  11  11  12  12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   SW  SW  S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   6   6   6   8   9   12  12  12  10  10  10
Dispersion idx..30  3   3   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
LVORI...........1   4   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent increasing to 20 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 7 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 55 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 65 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 50 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 30 increasing to 49 late in the
                    afternoon decreasing to 20.
LVORI...............5.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  9   7   4   4   8   27  36  33  26  25  26
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20  20  20  20
Temp............74  76  78  81  86  88  90  91  92  92  93  92
RH..............100 97  97  88  75  70  64  62  58  58  56  58
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
20 FT wind dir..230 240 250 260 270 270 260 250 250 250 250 240
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3
20 FT wind gust.11  10  10  10  10  8   8   8   7   7   7   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.4 2.0 3.0 4.2 5.0 5.7 5.9 3.3 4.9 2.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.10  9   12  12  12  10  10  9   7   7   8   7
Dispersion idx..5   4   5   5   5   55  65  65  50  30  49  20
LVORI...........9   6   6   6   3   3   3   1   1   1   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Aaron
Requested by...Paul Moore
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619406.0/BMX
.DELDT 08/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0