Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Birmingham, AL

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909
FNUS74 KBMX 181902
FWSBMX

Spot Forecast for Day farm...Afc
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
102 PM CST Tue Nov 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Very dry conditions will persist as drought continues across much
of the area today. RH minimums will drop to around 29 percent in
the area of interest in the early afternoon hours. Surface winds
will be from the south to southwest at 5-10 mph while transport
winds will range between 10-15 MPH. Expect increasing clouds this
evening with an isolated (10-30%) chance of shower activity
towards midnight and continuing through the predawn hours on
Wednesday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 18 mph.
Dispersion index....51 decreasing to 7.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (CST)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........28  28  30  27  31
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0
Temp............73  74  75  73  70
RH..............49  53  56  62  71
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind dir..200 200 200 200 190
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   7   5
20 FT wind gust.16  16  14  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.7 2.4 1.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.17  17  18  15  10
Dispersion idx..49  51  52  28  7
LVORI...........1   1   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 13 mph.
Dispersion index....4.
LVORI...............7.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........35  48  57  61  63  57  56  59  66  72  77  75
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............68  65  65  64  64  63  63  62  62  61  61  60
RH..............84  93  93  97  97  100 97  100 97  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind dir..180 190 200 200 210 220 220 220 220 220 230 230
20 FT wind spd..5   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.13  14  13  13  13  12  12  12  12  12  11  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  13  12  10  10
Dispersion idx..8   6   8   7   8   0   5   5   6   5   5   5
LVORI...........5   5   5   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   9

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then becoming
                    light late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....7 increasing to 25 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 31 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 7 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........79  79  72  72  68  65  64  56  50  48  45  44
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............61  61  63  67  71  73  76  76  77  78  76  73
RH..............100 100 100 100 87  81  71  69  64  62  66  79
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind dir..230 240 240 250 250 260 260 270 270 280 270 280
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   5   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  11  11  11  11  11  11  10  10  8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.0 2.3 2.4 2.0 1.0 0.4
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.10  9   12  14  14  13  13  13  12  10  8   6
Dispersion idx..5   4   8   9   9   23  25  26  34  27  11  3
LVORI...........9   9   9   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...Holmes
Requested by...Jason berry
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526309.0/BMX
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0