Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
037 FXUS65 KBOI 161101 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 401 AM MST Sun Nov 16 2025 .SHORT TERM...Today through Tuesday night...A cutoff low remains near southern CA/NV and is slowly moving northeastward this morning. A warm front with this system will bring rain showers to the area this morning before lifting northward in the afternoon. Expect some partial clearing behind the warm front, especially over southwest Idaho, with another mild day on Sunday. Snow levels hover around 9000-10000` with the warm front. Wrap around moisture will bring rain for much of the day in eastern and central OR. On Sunday evening the center of the trough will move over southern ID, with wrap around moisture bringing precipitation to eastern OR and southwest ID early Monday morning. Snow levels begin to fall to around 6500-7500` on Monday morning. Showers continue for most of the day on Monday before tapering off in the late afternoon. Temperatures on Monday will be around 5 degrees cooler than Sunday, but still around 5 degrees above normal. Another system moves south along the West Coast into another cutoff low by Tuesday. This system will weak ridging to the area on Tuesday for drier conditions. .LONG TERM...Wednesday through Sunday...Forecast confidence remains low in the long term. But still favors seasonable and unsettled conditions with a series of systems moving into the Pacific NW. Precipitation chances range from 20-40 percent in the extended period. && .AVIATION...Generally VFR this morning. Scattered rain showers. A brief break in precipitation this afternoon in southwest ID. Mountains becoming obscured. MVFR to IFR in eastern OR today, spreading over ID by this evening. Surface winds: SW-SE 10-20 kt. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: S-SW 15-25kt. KBOI...VFR. Intermittent rain showers. Brief break in precipitation this afternoon. Lowering ceilings with MVFR rain Monday morning. Surface winds SE 5-15kt. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise SHORT TERM...KA LONG TERM....KA AVIATION.....KA