


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
567 FXUS65 KBOI 171109 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID Issued by National Weather Service Salt Lake City UT 509 AM MDT Thu Jul 17 2025 .SHORT TERM...Today through Saturday night...Today and Friday, an upper level ridge over the southwestern US will shift to the north. This will bring hotter temperatures, with highs around 5 degrees above normal. This will place high temperatures in the lower valleys in the mid 90s to around 100 degrees.. An uptick in mid-level moisture will accompany this pattern as the flow aloft becomes more southwesterly. This will bring a 20% chance of showers and thunderstorms to the higher terrain along the ID/NV border each afternoon and evening, with lesser chances (10% or lower) elsewhere. Storms may produce gusty winds 40-50 mph. Meanwhile, an upper level trough over the Pacific Northwest will start to move inland on Saturday. This will bring a few degrees of cooling to the area. The trough will enhance west to southwest flow aloft today through Saturday, allowing breezy conditions with gusts 15-30 mph, highest across the central ID mountains, to develop each afternoon as winds aloft mix down to the surface. Regional fires will continue to send smoke into our area at times over the next couple of days. .LONG TERM...Sunday through Thursday...The upper level trough will persist over the Pacific Northwest early next week, then slowly move east by the middle of next week. This will bring temperatures a few degrees below normal, warming back to near normal by Thursday. The core of the trough and most accompanying precipitation should remain to our north, but a slight chance (15-25%) of showers and thunderstorms will develop over northern areas Monday and Tuesday, with lower chances south. The trough will keep afternoon winds breezy through the period. && .AVIATION...Mainly VFR. Patchy smoke, mainly aloft. Smoke in SE Oregon may result in brief MVFR conditions this morning at KBNO. High density altitude due to hot afternoon temperatures. Isolated thunderstorms along the ID-NV border and near KTWF this afternoon and early evening. Gusts up to 40 kt possible near storms. Surface winds: light and variable early this morning, becoming W-NW 5-15 kt this afternoon with gusts to 25 kt across the central ID mountains. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: W 15-25 kt. KBOI...VFR and clear. Smoke aloft possible this morning, but unlikely to lower to MVFR conditions. Surface winds: SE 3-8 kt this morning, then NW 8-12 kt with gusts 15-20 kt this afternoon. Weekend OutlookIsolated thunderstorms along ID/NV border Friday afternoon. Otherwise, mostly clear except for occasional smoke. Surface winds: W-NW 5-15 kt, with afternoon gusts 15-25 kt. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise SHORT TERM...ST LONG TERM....ST AVIATION.....ST