


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
Issued by NWS Boise, ID
207 FXUS65 KBOI 300931 AFDBOI Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boise ID 331 AM MDT Sat Aug 30 2025 .SHORT TERM...Today through Monday night...An upper ridge will amplify over the region today, then gradually shift eastward through Monday. While the ridge will bring dry and more stable conditions to the area there will be areas that remain on the fringe of afternoon shower and thunderstorm development. For today, that includes the higher peaks in Baker County and the w-central Idaho mtns where a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms exists. For Sunday and Monday conditions remain stable enough to cap deeper development, though cumulus can be expected over the mtns. Will also need to keep an eye on SE Oregon where conditions could tip just enough to support an afternoon shower or thunderstorm. Temperatures will continue to rise through the weekend with highs around 10 degrees above normal (low-mid 90s in the valleys). Thicker smoke from wildfires in Oregon will continue to filter into the region, albeit taking a more circuitous clockwise route through WA-ID panhandle-MT-back to southern ID as it circles the ridge. .LONG TERM...Tuesday through Saturday...Fair skies and stable conditions are expected to prevail across the region thru most of the period as a lingering high pressure ridge dominates the regional pattern. However by the Friday, significant changes (in the pattern) will occur as the ridging weakens (and axis shifts eastward) and a developed North Pacific low moves on shore into the N California/ S Oregon area. This change will allow for an influx of moist, unstable conditions to begin supporting chances (15-20%) for showers and increased cloudiness - initially in SE Oregon - as the the low continues its trajectory towards the (our) forecast area. High temperatures are expected to reach the low to mid 90`s while overnight lows drop to around the low to mid 60`s (at most locations). && .AVIATION...Generally VFR. Smoke layers degrading visibility at times. A 15% chance of showers/thunderstorms Saturday afternoon near KBKE and KMYL. Surface winds: variable up to 10 kt. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL: variable 5-10 kt. KBOI...VFR. Smoke layers degrading visibility, with some improvement this afternoon. Surface winds: SE 3 to 8 kt. Sunday Outlook...VFR, except smoke layers degrading visibility at times. Surface winds S to E 5-15 kt. && .BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ID...None. OR...None. && $$ www.weather.gov/Boise Interact with us via social media: www.facebook.com/NWSBoise www.x.com/NWSBoise SHORT TERM...DG LONG TERM....WH AVIATION.....DG