030
FXUS65 KBOI 221015
AFDBOI

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boise ID
415 AM MDT Sat Aug 22 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Weak Pacific cold front will bring isolated thunderstorms to
  the area Saturday afternoon and evening.

- Gusty outflow winds up to 50 mph possible from thunderstorms.

- Dry and slightly cooler conditions Sunday.


&&

.SHORT TERM /Through Monday Night/...
A cold front will slowly move across central OR today into
southwest ID this evening. Showers and thunderstorms expected
ahead of the cold front, mainly across southwest ID and far
eastern OR. The best dynamics for thunderstorms today will be
generally be east of a line from Baker City OR to Jordan Valley
OR, with enough effective bulk shear for organized thunderstorm
development. Shower and thunderstorm threat continues into the
late evening into early Sunday morning before drier air moves in
by late Sunday morning. Slightly cooler temperatures expected on
Sunday with dry conditions. Isolated thunderstorms possible
along the NV border south of Twin Falls Sunday afternoon. A weak
shortwave embedded in the southwest flow aloft will bring
increased clouds on Monday with slightly cooler temperatures.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms will generally be confined
to the higher terrain of southwest ID Monday afternoon. Gusty
outflow winds up to 50 mph possible with thunderstorms each day.

&&

.LONG TERM /Tuesday through Saturday/...
A trough off the Pac NW coast pushes the monsoon moisture east
on Tuesday with drier air, breezy conditions and slightly cooler
temperatures Tuesday through Friday. Temperatures will around
2-5 degrees above normal through the period.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Saturday through Sunday/...
Issued 1223 AM MDT SAT AUG 22 2026
Generally VFR. Areas of wildfire smoke. Scattered showers/virga
exiting to the N around 22/09Z. Activity capable of erratic outflows
to 25-40 kt and blowing dust reducing vis. Then, scattered storms
returning Sat PM, with 30-50 kt outflows and locally heavy
rain/MVFR. High density altitude with heat in the afternoon. Surface
winds outside of storms: variable 5-15 kt. Winds aloft at 10kft MSL:
S 10-20 kt.

KBOI...VFR. Around 20% chance of showers/thunderstorms impacting
terminal Saturday late afternon-evening. Outflows to 30-45 kt
possible. Surface winds: variable or southeast 5-15 kt.

Sunday Outlook...Generally VFR. Areas of wildfire smoke. Shower and
thunderstorm activity in southwest/central Idaho diminishing early
Sunday AM. Isolated storms returning near KTWF in the afternoon.
Surface winds: SW-NW 5-15 kt with afternoon gusts 15-25 kt.

&&

.BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ID...Red Flag Warning from noon today to midnight MDT tonight for
     IDZ401>403-421-424-426.
OR...     Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 8 PM PDT this
     evening for ORZ670>672.
&&

$$

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SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....KA
AVIATION.....SH