872
FXUS65 KBOU 082323
AFDBOU

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
523 PM MDT Fri May 8 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Seasonal temperatures through Sunday, with scattered afternoon
  and evening showers/thunderstorms (30-40%) for the area on
  Saturday.

- Summerlike warmth and drier weather next week, with highs in the
  80s for the lower elevations.

&&

.DISCUSSION /Through Friday/...
Issued at 132 PM MDT Fri May 8 2026

A much quieter weather pattern has taken shape for our area and is
expected to continue for the next several days. Today will be a nice
spring day and feature partly cloudy skies with highs in the upper
60s to low 70s for the plains.

Saturday will be a touch warmer than today with highs generally in
the mid 70s across the plains. A scattered shower or thunderstorm
(30 to 40%) remains possible for Saturday afternoon, especially for
the northeast plains. These showers/thunderstorms are associated
with a mid-level shortwave embedded in the northwest flow aloft.
DCAPE values are expected to be between 1000 to 1400 J/kg, meaning
any high-based shower could produce gusty outflow winds. A low risk
for small hail also exists for the northeast plains given strong
shear and modest instability in place. These areas are now in a
marginal (1/5) risk for severe storms. The precipitation chances
will transition southward throughout the evening as a cold front
moves through the forecast area, but storms should decrease in
coverage and severity with the loss of daytime heating. Wind gusts
could briefly reach 30 to 40 mph as the cold front passes through.
Nevertheless, high temperatures on Sunday across the plains should
be similar to today`s highs- in the upper 60s to low 70s.

Otherwise, a strong ridge of high pressure will setup near or over
our forecast area for most of next week leading to above-average
temperatures through the rest of the forecast period. Highs for next
week will be well into the 80s for the plains with the northeast
plains even having the possibility of reaching the low 90s during
the middle of next week. Monday is expected to have the lowest
relative humidity and strongest winds of the next 7 days, bringing
the possibility of elevated to critical fire weather conditions.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday/...
Issued at 517 PM MDT Fri May 8 2026

VFR conditions thru the period. E/ENE winds will become SE by 02z
and then south by 05z. Winds will then become more SSW after 08z.
On Sat, winds will become westerly by 14z and then turn NW by 17z
with gusts from 25-30 mph thru the aftn. The only exception will
be at BJC where winds will have a NE/ENE direction from 16z thru
the aftn. A cold front will move across the area and reach DIA by
23z with gusty NNE winds behind it. This front will arrive at APA
and BJC around 00Z.

&&

.BOU WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...MV
AVIATION...RPK