Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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Spot Forecast for ACB Burn 24-002 Glacier View - Mt Parnassus...DFPC
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
413 PM MST Wed Nov 20 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Lighter winds are expected along with warmer
temperatures on Thursday and Friday. Mixing depth will be limited
by low level stability. Winds will increase during the day
Saturday, and it could become gusty in the afternoon. Light snow
is expected Sunday into early Monday. There will be some
improvement in mixing depth and smoke dispersal on Monday but
surface winds will not be as strong as they will be over the
weekend.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1400, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 50.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1100, then 1200 ft AGL
                    until 1500, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  23  22  23  23  24  24  26  31  38  48
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............36  37  42  45  48  49  49  49  47  45  41
RH..............31  30  26  26  24  24  26  26  29  31  37
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  13  10  9   9   8   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.21  21  16  15  15  13  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.1 1.2 0.8 0.5 0.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  20  18  15  16  15  15  15  15  15  16
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   3   7   9   14  15  15  15  10  6   4
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 0500, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 35.
Max humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 16 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........43  35  33  31  33  36  37  37  38  42  47  58
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............39  39  38  39  39  39  39  38  38  38  38  38
RH..............39  37  37  34  34  32  31  32  32  32  32  32
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  14  13  13  13  13  13  13  12  13
20 FT wind gust.16  18  21  22  21  21  21  21  21  21  18  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.16  17  17  17  20  21  20  20  18  17  17  16
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 1200, then 1900 ft AGL
                    until 1600, then Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........55  52  49  50  50  51  50  48  47  54  62  69
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............38  39  40  44  47  50  52  53  53  51  47  44
RH..............32  32  32  30  28  26  24  23  25  27  30  34
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  13  12  9   7   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.17  17  16  15  13  12  12  13  13  12  10  9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.2 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.9 1.3 0.7 0.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.15  14  13  10  9   7   9   10  13  13  13  13
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2   2   1   4   5   5   10  15  21  14  8   1
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 50s. West
winds 10 mph increasing to 15-30 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY...
Colder. Mostly cloudy with snow likely. Lows in the mid 30s.
Highs in the lower 40s. West winds 15-30 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy with snow likely. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
mid 30s. Southwest winds 10-20 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Gimmestad
Requested by...John Sanfilippo
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2427111.0/BOU
.DELDT 11/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL john.sanfilippo@state.co.us