Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
891
FNUS75 KBOU 232033
FWSBOU
Spot Forecast for Hell Canyon Fire...Estes Valley Fire Protection District
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
233 PM MDT Sun Jun 23 2024
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
No hazardous weather expected today and tonight.
This evening, southwest winds should shift westerly with speeds between
7-13 mph. Overnight. westerly winds could increase with occasional gusts between 10-15 mph.
Relative humidities recover to between 53-57 percent tonight.
By Monday morning, expect westerly winds to continue with speeds between 8-14 mph.
It is possible by mid-day an isolated shower or storm could bring
gusty and erratic winds briefly; If a shower or storm occurs, expect wind
gusts up to 35 mph. Relative humidities to drop near 20-25 percent by
Monday afternoon at the site. Outside of storms, westerly winds are expected through
Monday night with speeds near 10-14 mph.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 1600, then
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent.
LAL.................3 until 1700, then 1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........22 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......9100 ft AGL until 1700, then 6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 9 mph until 1600, then
northwest 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1600. Fair after 1700.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48 54 55
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....RW RW RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............10 10 0
LAL.............3 3 2
Temp............77 76 75
RH..............23 25 26
20 FT wind dir..SW SW W
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9
Mix hgt (kft)...9.6 7.6 6.1
Transp wind dir.SW NW NW
Transp wind spd.9 9 10
Haines index....5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..77 61 55
SmokeDispersion.G G F
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2000, then
partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 58.
Max humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......5400 ft AGL until 1900. Below 1000 FT AGL after
2000.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 12 mph until 2000, then light until
2100, then west 8 to 17 mph until 0500, then
around 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900. Poor after 2000.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........56 55 46 35 30 26 28 24 22 21 25 23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............75 73 70 66 64 64 63 62 61 60 60 58
RH..............26 29 34 38 39 38 41 42 43 43 45 48
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..6 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 12
20 FT wind gust.9 9 9 12 12 12 13 15 15 16 16 18
Mix hgt (kft)...5.4 3.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.9 10 7 8 9 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..43 29 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
SmokeDispersion.F P P P P P P P P P P P
.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1100, then
partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 13 mph until 1200, then 5 to 13
mph until 1700, then around 8 mph. Gusty and
erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 2900 ft AGL
until 1000, then 7000 ft AGL until 1100, then
11100 ft AGL until 1300, then 7500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 12 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1000, then
good until 1200, then very good until 1300,
then good until 1500, then very good until
1600, then good.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18 8 7 13 17 30 53 56 63 56 56 56
Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4
Temp............60 63 67 73 75 77 78 77 77 74 74 74
RH..............48 43 37 29 26 24 23 25 24 28 28 28
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W NW W W W W W
20 FT wind spd..12 12 10 10 9 8 7 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT wind gust.18 18 16 16 15 13 12 13 13 13 13 13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 0.5 2.9 7.0 9.9 11 8.5 8.0 6.2 6.0 6.4
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.18 17 16 16 14 12 12 12 13 20 14 12
Haines index....6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
Vrate kt-ft/1K..0 0 6 41 84 99 112 85 88 106 72 64
SmokeDispersion.P P P F G G VG G G VG G G
$$
Forecaster...AD
Requested by...BC71
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416566.0/BOU
.DELDT 06/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dispatchemail@estes.org