Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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902
FNUS75 KBOU 121040
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Bear Creek Lake Park Rx...West Metro Fire Rescue
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
440 AM MDT Mon Oct 12 2026

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Warm and dry conditions are expected today. Winds will be out of the
southwest around 10 mph with occasional gusts around 20mph. RHs will
drop into the upper teens by the mid afternoon. Skies will be mostly
sunny and smoke dispersal will be good or better for much of the
afternoon. A cold front will move through overnight turning winds
northerly and bringing cooler temperatures and increased moisture.

Rain chances will start to increase Tuesday afternoon, peaking
Wednesday morning and early afternoon. Skies will be mostly cloudy,
the high temperature will likely be in the upper 40s, and showers
will be in and around the area all of Wednesday. Smoke dispersal
will remain poor all day.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
                    late in the morning then 21 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900. 9800 ft AGL after
                    1300.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1100, then
                    good until 1300, then very good until 1500,
                    then excellent until 1600, then very good.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   15  10  10  10  8   7   6   8   8   9   7
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............55  54  56  60  66  71  75  77  78  79  78  78
RH..............47  48  45  39  30  25  21  19  17  17  17  17
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   12  12  10  10  12  12  12  10
20 FT wind gust.16  16  16  15  20  21  18  18  20  21  21  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.8 2.3 3.8 5.2 6.5 7.9 9.3 10  9.9 8.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  10  10  15  16  18  17  17  18  17  16  16
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   5   7   30  53  83  97  119 149 151 139 123
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   F   G   G   VG  VG  E   VG  VG

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 48.
Max humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 13 mph with gusts to around 21
                    mph until 2300, then around 9 mph until 2400,
                    then northwest around 6 mph until 0100, then
                    variable up to 5 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL until 1900, then 1100 ft AGL until
                    2000, then Below 1000 FT AGL until 0500, then
                    1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph until 2300, then west 8
                    to 12 mph until 0100, then northwest around 8
                    mph until 0200, then light until 0300, then
                    north around 8 mph until 0400, then 8 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........4   1   6   2   3   4   2   5   8   7   9   14
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............75  69  66  64  61  60  58  56  54  53  51  50
RH..............20  26  32  34  41  42  49  53  57  61  68  71
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  W   W   W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   9   12  12  12  9   6   3   2   1   1   0
20 FT wind gust.18  18  20  21  20  17  13  9   6   5   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.8 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.9 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  W   W   SW  W   W   NW  NW  N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  13  12  10  9   8   7   8   7   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28  12  6   5   6   6   7   6   4   5   4   4
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (10-20 percent) until 1200, then
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1400, then
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of thunder...10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 1000, then northeast
                    5 to 8 mph until 1400, then 6 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL until 0700, then Below 1000 FT AGL
                    until 0800, then 4900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds until 0700, then south 8 to 11 mph
                    until 1400, then southeast 8 to 12 mph until
                    1600, then northeast 9 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1500, then fair.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........14  19  12  10  10  13  28  38  60  69  56  54
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............49  48  49  52  56  58  61  62  63  63  61  61
RH..............74  74  74  71  66  62  51  50  46  46  48  50
20 FT wind dir..N   N   NE  E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..0   0   2   3   5   7   8   8   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.2   3   5   7   9   12  14  15  16  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.8 1.0 2.1 2.5 3.1 3.6 3.8 4.3 4.7 5.0 5.1
Transp wind dir.N   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   SW  SE  SE  E   NE
Transp wind spd.5   6   6   9   9   10  9   9   9   10  12  10
Vrate kt-ft/1K..6   4   5   17  20  28  29  31  35  43  50  46
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   F   F   F

$$
Forecaster...Pettett
Requested by...Aaron Johnson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623481.0/BOU
.DELDT 10/12/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL ajohnson@westmetrofire.org