Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 131451
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Stellie...Forest Service
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
851 AM MDT Thu Aug 13 2026

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms, most with wetting rains,
will be likely today. While a few brief and mostly light showers
will be possible this morning, the highest coverage is expected
to occur between 1 and 6 pm. Temperatures will be cooler with much
higher humidity levels under mostly cloudy skies. No significant
winds are expected outside of thunderstorms, when winds may gust
to 35 mph.

Humidity recovery tonight will be high, with a few showers
potentially lingering overnight.

Friday looks very similar to today, with numerous wetting showers
and storms in the afternoon and evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 1200, then showers and thunderstorms
                    likely until 1500, then showers and
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................7 percent increasing to 75 percent in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of thunder...77 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 1200, then east
                    around 5 mph until 1300, then variable up to 5
                    mph until 1400, then east 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Light winds until 1000, then south around 8 mph
                    until 1200, then 8 to 11 mph until 1500, then
                    light until 1600, then south 8 to 11 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........65  56  70  81  82  81  85  85  85
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF
CWR.............10  10  10  70  70  70  80  80  80
Chc of thdr (%).20  20  20  70  70  70  80  80  80
Temp............61  67  68  70  67  66  67  67  66
RH..............67  54  55  51  59  65  63  63  65
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   3   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.3   3   6   7   6   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 3.5 4.3 4.6 4.1 3.6 2.8 1.6 1.6
Transp wind dir.E   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   7   7   9   7   8   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   14  22  28  25  29  17  12  11
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and chance of thunderstorms until 2100,
                    then chance of rain showers and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms until 2400.
CWR.................41 percent decreasing to 4 percent.
Chance of thunder...51 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 2000, then south
                    around 5 mph until 2200, then southwest until
                    2400, then 5 to 6 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms until 2400.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL until 2000, then Below 1000 FT AGL
                    until 0300, then 1200 ft AGL until 0400, then
                    Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph until 1900, then light until
                    2000, then south around 8 mph until 2200, then
                    west 8 to 12 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........78  85  79  61  59  59  34  33  28  36  36  20
Weather cov.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............40  40  40  30  30  30  0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of thdr (%).50  50  50  20  20  20  10  10  10  0   0   0
Temp............64  63  61  61  61  60  59  59  58  57  56  56
RH..............70  72  75  75  72  72  72  72  72  75  74  72
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.6
Transp wind dir.S   SW  S   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.8   6   5   6   6   7   9   9   9   10  12  9
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  6   3   3   3   3   7   5   7   11  8   5
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1100, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 0900 until 1200, then rain
                    showers and thunderstorms likely until 1600,
                    then rain showers and thunderstorms.
CWR.................5 percent increasing to 79 percent.
Chance of thunder...76 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 7 mph until 0900, then variable
                    up to 5 mph until 1300, then east 5 to 7 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 4000 ft AGL
                    until 1100, then 7900 ft AGL until 1500, then
                    2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 11 mph until 1200, then southwest
8 to 12 mph until 1500, then east around 10 mph
until 1600, then north around 8 mph until 1700,
then northwest.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1200, then fair until 1300, then
                    good until 1500, then poor.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  29  12  33  33  33  80  80  80  91  91  90
Weather cov.....            SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                        LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  70  70  70  70  80  80
Chc of thdr (%).0   0   0   10  10  10  60  60  60  70  80  80
Temp............55  54  56  60  68  70  73  70  69  70  68  67
RH..............72  77  80  69  51  47  43  49  55  53  59  61
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   NW  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   6   5   3   2   2   3   5   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.9   9   7   6   3   3   6   7   9   9   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.8 2.4 4.5 6.1 7.2 8.6 7.0 3.8 1.5 1.1
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   S   SW  S   E   N   NW
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   7   6   7   8   10  10  10  8   8
Vrate kt-ft/1K..4   4   6   14  23  36  50  77  63  34  10  7
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   F   G   G   P   P   P

$$
Forecaster...Barjenbruch
Requested by...Rachel Ferrell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619619.0/BOU
.DELDT 08/13/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL copbc@firenet.gov,rferrell@blm.gov