761
FNUS75 KBOU 261654
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for PINION COMMAND...COUNTY
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
1054 AM MDT Wed Jun 26 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Light winds will be the norm until showers and thunderstorms move
across the area. South to southwest is probably the preferred
direction over the fire, and winds should be 5-10 mph until
afternoon. The best chance of thunderstorms will be between 12-4
PM, with gusty and shifting winds 30-40 mph with the strongest
showers and storms. The gusty winds should be short lived (10-20
minutes at a time) Lightning, small hail and brief moderate rain
may occur with any storms that move over the fire. RH will be
around 30 percent, but as showers and thunderstorms impact the
area, RH will come up to at least 50%. Rain chances (40-60%)
continue from 4-8 PM, though amounts should be light after the
initial round of convection and lightning chances are lower.
Tonight, RH will recover to 70 percent, and west winds 6-12 mph
should occur all night long.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 1200, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 1200 until 1600. Showers likely after
                    1600.
CWR.................3 percent increasing to 52 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph until 1500.
                    Southwest around 6 mph after 1700. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Mixing height.......7300 ft AGL until 1400, then 5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 11 to 16 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1200, then good until 1400, then
                    fair.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........31  51  58  66  70  76  76
Weather cov.....    CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........    CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0   20  30  30  40  50  50
LAL.............1   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............73  73  73  73  73  73  73
RH..............34  35  36  37  39  40  41
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  12  10  9   9   9   10
Mix hgt (kft)...5.9 7.1 7.5 4.7 5.3 4.3 4.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  13  14  13  12  12  13
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Vrate kt-ft/1K..59  79  90  52  53  43  44
SmokeDispersion.F   G   G   F   F   F   F

$$
Forecaster...Schlatter
Requested by...c52
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416744.0/BOU
.DELDT 06/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gilpindispatch@gilpincounty.org