Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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FNUS75 KBOU 051208
FWSBOU

Spot Forecast for Lily Lake Pile Unit...NPS
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO
508 AM MST Tue Mar 5 2024

If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION... Today will start off mostly sunny and then will
cloud over in the afternoon. There may be a few snow showers in
the late afternoon with minimal, if any, snow accumulation. West
to southwest winds are expected with gusts up to 25 mph.
Considering there will be good mixing heights, good smoke
dispersal will develop today.

Wednesday will be similar to today with afternoon snow showers
possible. It will be slightly breezier and warmer and good smoke
dispersal is expected.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(40-50%) until 0900, then mostly
                    cloudy. Slight chance of snow after 1000 until
                    1200, then chance of snow until 1600, then
                    slight chance of snow.
CWR.................12 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 34.
Min humidity........44%.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 13-17 mph with gusts to around
                    25 mph until 1300, then 12-16 mph with gusts to
                    around 24 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0900, then 3800 ft AGL
                    until 1700, then 1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17-26 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1200, then
                    good until 1600, then fair until 1700, then
                    poor.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  47  49  51  53  55  59  63  66  70  74  78
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....                SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  20  20  30  30  30  30  20  20
Temp............18  18  21  24  28  30  33  33  34  33  32  31
RH..............68  66  64  59  51  48  44  45  46  49  51  56
20 FT wind dir..W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..16  14  13  14  13  13  14  15  15  14  13  12
20 FT wind gust.25  22  21  22  21  21  22  24  24  22  21  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.6 1.8 2.6 3.1 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.6 2.8 1.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp wind spd.21  17  18  20  18  21  24  26  26  25  23  17
Vrate kt-ft/1K..10  8   9   31  41  56  81  88  90  78  57  19
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   F   F   G   G   G   G   F   P

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(60-65%) until 2000, then partly
                    cloudy(30-40%). Slight chance of snow until
                    2300. Patchy blowing snow after 0200 until
                    0500.
CWR.................11 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 21.
Max humidity........69%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9-17 mph with gusts to around 28 mph
                    until 0100, then 17-23 mph with gusts to around
                    35 mph.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West 15-23 mph until 0100, then 23-28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.

TIME (MST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........66  55  43  38  38  24  23  23  23  25  27  28
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH             PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  SN  SN              BSN BSN BSN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  0
Temp............28  27  26  26  25  26  26  26  25  24  24  22
RH..............60  63  65  62  65  60  58  58  61  61  62  69
20 FT wind dir..SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..10  9   9   12  14  15  17  20  22  22  21  17
20 FT wind gust.16  15  15  18  22  24  28  31  35  35  33  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.16  15  15  16  18  21  23  26  25  26  26  24
Vrate kt-ft/1K..8   7   7   8   9   10  11  13  12  13  13  12
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P   P

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy(30-40%) until 1100, then mostly
                    cloudy(60-65%). Patchy blowing snow after 0800
                    until 1100. Chance of snow after 1100.
CWR.................14 percent.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 39.
Min humidity........38%.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 10-18 mph. Gusts up to 30 mph in the
                    morning and early afternoon.
Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0800, then 4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 20-29 mph until 1600, then 12-17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0900, then fair until 1000, then
                    good until 1600, then fair until 1700, then
                    poor.

TIME (MST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........29  28  28  31  38  59  59  59  59  59  59  60
Weather cov.....        PTY PTY PTY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....        BSN BSN BSN SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN  SN
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   40  40  40  40  40  40  40
Temp............24  25  27  31  33  36  38  38  38  38  37  35
RH..............64  63  61  51  47  42  39  38  38  41  43  48
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..17  16  16  16  16  17  18  17  15  13  10  9
20 FT wind gust.28  25  25  25  25  28  30  28  24  21  16  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.7 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.7 4.1 3.5 2.8
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.23  23  23  29  29  29  26  25  23  20  16  13
Vrate kt-ft/1K..12  12  25  50  69  87  91  94  95  70  49  31
SmokeDispersion.P   P   P   F   G   G   G   G   G   G   F   P

$$
Forecaster...Danielson
Requested by...Kelly Doggett
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2403911.6/BOU
.DELDT 03/05/24
.FormatterVersion 1.0.26
.EMAIL kelly_doggett@nps.gov


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