Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
666
UXUS97 KBOU 050127
SRGBOU
Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
1826 MST Thursday, December 4, 2025
This forecast is for Friday, December 5, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 48.5 F/9.2 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 0 ft/min (0.0 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 6752 ft MSL (1463 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 39.0 F/4.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... None
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 5788 ft MSL (499 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 12/06..... Poor
Wave Soaring Index............................. Poor
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1700 MST)......... No change
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... None
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1700 MST)................ Weak PVA
Potential height of wave....................... 39175 ft MSL (33886 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Saturday 12/06........ Good
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:05:52 / 16:34:46 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 9 hr 28 min 54 sec (568 min 54 sec)
Altitude of sun at 11:50:19 MST... 27.72 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 12/05/2025 at 0500 MST
Freezing level.................. Entire airmass below 32 F / 0 C
Convective condensation level... 16293 ft MSL (11004 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 11637 ft MSL (6348 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +12.5
K index......................... +11.3
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -58.2 -72.8 315 45 23 4.7 2.6 M M M M M
45000 -51.1 -60.0 315 53 27 4.3 2.3 M M M M M
40000 -45.7 -50.3 305 58 30 3.4 1.9 M M M M M
38000 -45.0 -49.0 300 59 30 -2.0 -1.1 M M M M M
36000 -46.2 -51.2 290 58 30 -1.9 -1.1 M M M M M
34000 -47.3 -53.1 285 58 30 -1.8 -1.0 M M M M M
32000 -47.8 -54.0 280 56 29 -0.6 -0.3 M M M M M
30000 -48.1 -54.6 275 53 27 0.8 0.4 M M M M M
29000 -46.1 -51.0 275 52 27 8.2 4.5 27.2 80.9 17.6 M M
28000 -43.0 -45.4 280 50 26 8.2 4.5 26.4 79.5 17.3 M M
27000 -40.6 -41.1 280 49 25 8.2 4.5 25.9 78.6 17.1 M M
26000 -38.1 -36.6 285 48 25 8.4 4.6 25.3 77.6 16.8 M M
25000 -35.6 -32.1 285 48 25 8.4 4.6 24.8 76.6 16.6 M M
24000 -33.1 -27.6 285 47 24 8.5 4.6 24.4 75.8 16.5 M M
23000 -30.7 -23.3 290 46 24 7.5 4.1 23.7 74.6 16.1 M M
22000 -28.5 -19.3 290 45 23 7.5 4.1 22.8 73.0 15.5 M M
21000 -26.3 -15.3 290 44 22 7.6 4.2 22.0 71.7 15.1 M M
20000 -24.3 -11.7 290 42 22 6.6 3.6 20.9 69.7 14.3 M M
19500 -23.3 -9.9 295 41 21 6.6 3.6 20.4 68.7 13.9 M M
19000 -22.3 -8.1 295 40 21 6.6 3.6 19.8 67.7 13.5 M M
18500 -21.3 -6.3 295 39 20 6.6 3.6 19.3 66.8 13.1 M M
18000 -20.4 -4.7 295 38 19 6.2 3.4 18.8 65.8 12.7 M M
17500 -19.5 -3.1 295 36 19 6.2 3.4 18.2 64.7 12.3 M M
17000 -18.5 -1.3 295 35 18 6.1 3.3 17.6 63.6 11.8 M M
16500 -17.7 0.1 295 33 17 5.8 3.2 16.9 62.4 11.2 M M
16000 -16.8 1.8 300 32 16 5.9 3.2 16.2 61.2 10.7 M M
15500 -16.0 3.2 300 30 16 5.7 3.1 15.6 60.0 10.2 M M
15000 -15.1 4.8 300 28 15 5.7 3.1 14.9 58.8 9.6 M M
14500 -14.2 6.4 300 26 14 6.4 3.5 14.3 57.7 9.1 M M
14000 -12.8 9.0 295 23 12 6.6 3.6 13.5 56.2 8.4 M M
13500 -11.7 10.9 295 20 10 7.8 4.3 13.1 55.5 8.1 M M
13000 -10.5 13.1 295 18 9 7.7 4.2 12.7 54.9 7.8 M M
12500 -9.3 15.3 295 17 9 8.4 4.6 12.5 54.4 7.6 M M
12000 -8.1 17.4 295 16 8 8.4 4.6 12.2 54.0 7.5 M M
11500 -7.0 19.4 295 15 8 7.0 3.8 11.9 53.4 7.2 M M
11000 -5.9 21.4 295 16 8 7.1 3.9 11.5 52.6 6.8 M M
10500 -5.0 23.0 295 16 8 5.3 2.9 10.9 51.6 6.3 M M
10250 -4.6 23.7 295 16 8 4.5 2.4 10.5 50.9 6.0 M M
10000 -4.2 24.4 295 16 8 8.5 4.6 10.2 50.3 5.7 M M
9750 -3.5 25.7 295 16 8 8.0 4.4 10.2 50.4 5.7 M M
9500 -3.1 26.4 295 16 8 3.4 1.9 9.8 49.6 5.3 M M
9250 -2.8 27.0 295 16 8 5.1 2.8 9.4 48.9 4.9 M M
9000 -2.5 27.5 290 16 8 2.9 1.6 9.0 48.1 4.6 M M
8750 -2.3 27.9 290 17 9 2.6 1.4 8.4 47.1 4.0 M M
8500 -2.0 28.4 290 17 9 3.9 2.2 7.9 46.2 3.6 M M
8250 -1.7 28.9 285 17 9 3.9 2.2 7.4 45.4 3.1 M M
8000 -1.5 29.3 285 16 8 2.2 1.2 7.0 44.5 2.7 M M
7750 -1.4 29.5 285 15 8 1.8 1.0 6.3 43.4 2.0 M M
7500 -1.2 29.8 285 13 7 3.4 1.8 5.8 42.4 1.5 M M
7250 -0.9 30.4 280 11 6 2.8 1.6 5.3 41.5 1.0 M M
7000 -0.7 30.7 280 9 5 3.0 1.7 4.8 40.6 0.5 M M
6750 -0.5 31.1 270 7 4 2.2 1.2 4.2 39.6 0.0 M M
6500 -0.4 31.3 255 6 3 1.6 0.9 3.6 38.5 -0.6 120 0.6
6250 -0.3 31.5 240 6 3 -0.8 -0.5 3.0 37.3 -1.2 111 0.6
6000 -0.5 31.1 225 6 3 -1.3 -0.7 2.1 35.7 -2.1 108 0.5
5750 -0.6 30.9 210 6 3 -5.6 -3.1 1.2 34.1 -3.0 106 0.5
5500 -1.7 28.9 200 7 3 -21.8 -12.0 -0.5 31.0 -4.8 129 0.7
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
12/05/2025 at 0800 MST | 12/05/2025 at 1100 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.9 | CAPE... +3.3 LI... +4.0
CINH... -0.2 K Index... +11.5 | CINH... -4.5 K Index... +13.3
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -57.7 -71.9 305 42 22 5.5 3.0 | -57.6 -71.7 300 45 23 5.2 2.9
45000 -49.5 -57.1 310 58 30 4.5 2.5 | -49.7 -57.5 305 56 29 4.5 2.5
40000 -45.1 -49.2 310 59 30 2.8 1.6 | -45.0 -49.0 310 61 31 3.1 1.7
38000 -44.3 -47.7 305 59 30 -1.6 -0.9 | -43.8 -46.8 310 61 31 -0.7 -0.4
36000 -45.3 -49.5 300 57 29 -1.6 -0.9 | -44.3 -47.7 305 58 30 -0.7 -0.4
34000 -46.2 -51.2 295 56 29 -1.5 -0.8 | -44.7 -48.5 305 56 29 -0.7 -0.4
32000 -47.0 -52.6 285 51 26 -1.3 -0.7 | -45.1 -49.2 295 52 27 -0.7 -0.4
30000 -47.7 -53.9 270 48 25 0.1 0.1 | -45.5 -49.9 285 50 26 -0.7 -0.4
29000 -46.1 -51.0 270 47 24 6.4 3.5 | -44.8 -48.6 280 49 25 3.4 1.8
28000 -44.2 -47.6 270 46 23 6.4 3.5 | -43.8 -46.8 280 49 25 3.3 1.8
27000 -42.3 -44.1 270 44 23 6.4 3.5 | -42.8 -45.0 280 49 25 3.4 1.9
26000 -40.2 -40.4 275 43 22 8.2 4.5 | -41.3 -42.3 280 49 25 8.2 4.5
25000 -37.7 -35.9 280 42 21 8.2 4.5 | -38.9 -38.0 280 50 26 7.9 4.3
24000 -35.3 -31.5 285 41 21 8.2 4.5 | -36.5 -33.7 285 51 26 7.9 4.3
23000 -32.9 -27.2 290 40 21 7.8 4.3 | -34.2 -29.6 285 51 26 7.6 4.2
22000 -30.5 -22.9 290 40 21 7.8 4.3 | -31.3 -24.3 290 50 26 7.6 4.2
21000 -28.2 -18.8 295 40 20 7.8 4.3 | -29.1 -20.4 290 49 25 7.7 4.2
20000 -25.5 -13.9 295 40 20 7.0 3.8 | -27.1 -16.8 295 47 24 6.2 3.4
19500 -24.5 -12.1 300 39 20 7.0 3.8 | -26.2 -15.2 295 45 23 6.2 3.4
19000 -23.4 -10.1 300 39 20 7.0 3.8 | -25.3 -13.5 300 44 23 6.2 3.4
18500 -22.4 -8.3 300 39 20 7.0 3.8 | -24.4 -11.9 300 43 22 6.3 3.4
18000 -21.4 -6.5 300 39 20 6.2 3.4 | -23.4 -10.1 300 42 21 6.3 3.5
17500 -20.5 -4.9 300 38 20 6.3 3.5 | -22.5 -8.5 300 40 21 6.3 3.5
17000 -19.6 -3.3 300 38 19 6.1 3.4 | -21.6 -6.9 305 39 20 6.4 3.5
16500 -18.7 -1.7 300 37 19 6.1 3.3 | -20.6 -5.1 305 38 19 6.4 3.5
16000 -17.8 -0.0 300 36 18 6.0 3.3 | -19.7 -3.5 305 36 19 6.4 3.5
15500 -16.9 1.6 300 35 18 5.8 3.2 | -18.7 -1.7 305 35 18 6.2 3.4
15000 -16.0 3.2 300 33 17 5.8 3.2 | -17.8 -0.0 305 33 17 6.2 3.4
14500 -15.1 4.8 300 32 16 5.9 3.2 | -16.9 1.6 305 32 16 6.2 3.4
14000 -14.3 6.3 300 30 16 5.9 3.2 | -16.0 3.2 305 30 15 6.2 3.4
13500 -13.4 7.9 300 28 15 6.1 3.4 | -15.0 5.0 305 28 14 6.4 3.5
13000 -12.5 9.5 300 26 14 6.0 3.3 | -14.1 6.6 305 25 13 6.3 3.4
12500 -11.5 11.3 295 25 13 6.6 3.6 | -13.1 8.4 305 23 12 7.2 4.0
12000 -10.5 13.1 295 23 12 6.5 3.6 | -12.0 10.4 305 22 11 7.1 3.9
11500 -9.5 14.9 295 21 11 7.1 3.9 | -10.9 12.4 305 20 10 7.8 4.3
11000 -8.5 16.7 295 20 10 7.2 4.0 | -9.8 14.4 305 19 10 7.9 4.3
10500 -7.5 18.5 295 19 10 5.7 3.1 | -8.7 16.3 305 18 9 7.2 4.0
10250 -7.1 19.2 295 20 10 4.7 2.6 | -8.1 17.4 305 18 9 6.4 3.5
10000 -6.7 19.9 295 20 10 9.3 5.1 | -7.6 18.3 305 19 10 9.9 5.4
9750 -5.8 21.6 300 18 9 10.1 5.5 | -6.7 19.9 305 18 9 9.8 5.4
9500 -5.3 22.5 300 17 9 5.7 3.1 | -6.2 20.8 305 17 9 6.2 3.4
9250 -4.8 23.4 300 16 8 7.7 4.2 | -5.7 21.7 310 17 9 7.5 4.1
9000 -4.3 24.3 300 16 8 3.9 2.1 | -5.2 22.6 310 16 8 6.0 3.3
8750 -4.1 24.6 295 16 8 4.2 2.3 | -4.7 23.5 310 15 8 6.7 3.7
8500 -3.6 25.5 295 15 7 7.8 4.3 | -4.1 24.6 310 14 7 8.3 4.5
8250 -3.0 26.6 295 13 7 7.2 3.9 | -3.5 25.7 310 13 7 8.2 4.5
8000 -2.5 27.5 295 12 6 5.5 3.0 | -2.9 26.8 310 12 6 6.9 3.8
7750 -2.2 28.0 295 11 6 4.9 2.7 | -2.5 27.5 315 11 5 5.8 3.2
7500 -1.7 28.9 295 9 5 6.4 3.5 | -2.0 28.4 315 9 5 6.6 3.6
7250 -1.3 29.7 290 7 4 5.7 3.1 | -1.5 29.3 315 8 4 6.1 3.3
7000 -0.9 30.4 290 6 3 5.3 2.9 | -1.1 30.0 315 6 3 5.1 2.8
6750 -0.5 31.1 290 6 3 4.9 2.7 | -0.7 30.7 320 5 3 5.4 3.0
6500 -0.1 31.8 280 4 2 4.5 2.5 | -0.3 31.5 325 4 2 6.0 3.3
6250 0.2 32.4 260 3 1 2.9 1.6 | 0.1 32.2 330 2 1 6.7 3.7
6000 0.3 32.5 245 3 1 1.4 0.8 | 0.7 33.3 325 2 1 7.9 4.4
5750 0.4 32.7 235 3 2 2.7 1.5 | 1.2 34.2 320 2 1 6.1 3.4
5500 0.4 32.7 210 3 2 -8.0 -4.4 | 1.6 34.9 330 1 1 6.0 3.3
12/05/2025 at 1400 MST | 12/05/2025 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +2.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.3
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +13.2 | CINH... -0.2 K Index... +8.1
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -57.7 -71.9 295 46 24 5.1 2.8 | -58.2 -72.8 300 50 26 4.3 2.4
45000 -50.1 -58.2 300 50 26 4.4 2.4 | -51.7 -61.1 305 51 26 4.0 2.2
40000 -45.1 -49.2 305 61 31 3.3 1.8 | -46.3 -51.3 305 63 32 3.6 2.0
38000 -43.7 -46.7 310 64 33 0.1 0.0 | -44.8 -48.6 310 66 34 0.5 0.3
36000 -43.7 -46.7 310 62 32 0.0 0.0 | -44.5 -48.1 315 65 33 0.5 0.3
34000 -43.7 -46.7 315 61 31 0.1 0.1 | -44.2 -47.6 320 64 33 0.8 0.5
32000 -43.2 -45.8 315 59 30 0.8 0.5 | -43.2 -45.8 330 70 36 1.6 0.9
30000 -42.7 -44.9 315 57 29 0.8 0.4 | -42.2 -44.0 335 78 40 1.8 1.0
29000 -42.0 -43.6 315 56 29 2.6 1.4 | -41.6 -42.9 335 76 39 2.2 1.2
28000 -41.2 -42.2 315 55 28 2.6 1.4 | -40.9 -41.6 335 74 38 2.2 1.2
27000 -40.5 -40.9 315 54 28 2.6 1.4 | -40.3 -40.5 335 71 37 2.2 1.2
26000 -39.4 -38.9 315 53 27 5.9 3.2 | -39.2 -38.6 335 69 35 6.4 3.5
25000 -37.7 -35.9 310 53 27 5.6 3.1 | -37.4 -35.3 335 66 34 6.1 3.4
24000 -36.1 -33.0 310 52 27 5.6 3.1 | -35.5 -31.9 335 64 33 6.1 3.4
23000 -34.4 -29.9 310 51 26 5.9 3.3 | -33.6 -28.5 330 62 32 7.0 3.9
22000 -32.6 -26.7 310 50 26 5.9 3.2 | -31.5 -24.7 330 59 30 6.9 3.8
21000 -30.8 -23.4 305 49 25 5.9 3.2 | -29.4 -20.9 325 56 29 6.9 3.8
20000 -28.6 -19.5 305 47 24 5.9 3.2 | -27.2 -17.0 325 51 26 5.3 2.9
19500 -27.7 -17.9 305 45 23 5.9 3.2 | -26.4 -15.5 325 49 25 5.3 2.9
19000 -26.9 -16.4 305 44 23 5.9 3.2 | -25.6 -14.1 320 46 24 5.3 2.9
18500 -26.0 -14.8 305 43 22 5.9 3.2 | -24.8 -12.6 320 44 23 5.3 2.9
18000 -25.1 -13.2 300 42 22 6.5 3.6 | -24.1 -11.4 320 42 22 5.4 3.0
17500 -24.1 -11.4 300 41 21 6.6 3.6 | -23.3 -9.9 320 40 21 5.4 3.0
17000 -23.2 -9.8 300 40 21 7.0 3.9 | -22.4 -8.3 315 38 20 5.9 3.2
16500 -22.1 -7.8 305 39 20 7.4 4.0 | -21.5 -6.7 315 38 19 6.3 3.5
16000 -21.0 -5.8 305 38 20 7.4 4.1 | -20.6 -5.1 310 37 19 6.4 3.5
15500 -19.9 -3.8 305 37 19 7.5 4.1 | -19.6 -3.3 310 36 19 6.8 3.7
15000 -18.8 -1.8 305 36 19 7.5 4.1 | -18.6 -1.5 310 36 18 6.8 3.7
14500 -17.6 0.3 305 35 18 7.6 4.2 | -17.6 0.3 305 35 18 6.8 3.7
14000 -16.5 2.3 305 33 17 7.7 4.2 | -16.7 1.9 305 34 17 6.7 3.7
13500 -15.4 4.3 300 32 16 7.2 3.9 | -15.6 3.9 305 32 17 8.0 4.4
13000 -14.3 6.3 300 30 16 7.1 3.9 | -14.4 6.1 300 31 16 8.0 4.4
12500 -13.2 8.2 300 29 15 7.9 4.3 | -13.2 8.2 300 29 15 8.2 4.5
12000 -12.1 10.2 295 27 14 7.9 4.4 | -12.0 10.4 300 28 14 8.2 4.5
11500 -10.9 12.4 295 26 13 7.9 4.3 | -10.8 12.6 300 26 14 8.4 4.6
11000 -9.7 14.5 295 24 12 8.0 4.4 | -9.5 14.9 300 24 13 8.5 4.6
10500 -8.6 16.5 295 23 12 6.9 3.8 | -8.3 17.1 300 23 12 7.8 4.3
10250 -8.1 17.4 300 22 11 6.4 3.5 | -7.8 18.0 295 23 12 7.3 4.0
10000 -7.6 18.3 300 21 11 8.4 4.6 | -7.2 19.0 295 22 12 9.3 5.1
9750 -6.9 19.6 300 20 10 7.7 4.3 | -6.4 20.5 295 22 11 9.4 5.1
9500 -6.5 20.3 300 18 9 5.2 2.9 | -5.8 21.6 295 21 11 7.3 4.0
9250 -6.1 21.0 305 17 9 6.2 3.4 | -5.3 22.5 295 19 10 8.0 4.4
9000 -5.6 21.9 305 15 8 4.9 2.7 | -4.7 23.5 295 18 9 7.3 4.0
8750 -5.3 22.5 310 13 7 4.9 2.7 | -4.2 24.4 295 17 9 5.9 3.2
8500 -4.9 23.2 310 12 6 6.0 3.3 | -3.8 25.2 295 14 7 5.3 2.9
8250 -4.4 24.1 315 10 5 5.7 3.1 | -3.4 25.9 290 12 6 5.4 3.0
8000 -4.0 24.8 320 8 4 5.8 3.2 | -3.0 26.6 290 10 5 5.5 3.0
7750 -3.6 25.5 330 7 3 5.5 3.0 | -2.6 27.3 280 8 4 4.9 2.7
7500 -3.2 26.2 340 5 3 5.0 2.7 | -2.3 27.9 275 7 4 4.3 2.4
7250 -2.8 27.0 360 4 2 5.6 3.1 | -1.9 28.6 265 5 3 4.6 2.5
7000 -2.4 27.7 025 3 2 7.2 4.0 | -1.6 29.1 245 5 2 5.3 2.9
6750 -1.8 28.8 045 3 2 8.2 4.5 | -1.2 29.8 220 4 2 5.5 3.0
6500 -1.2 29.8 055 3 2 8.2 4.5 | -0.8 30.6 200 5 3 5.2 2.8
6250 -0.6 30.9 060 3 2 8.9 4.9 | -0.4 31.3 190 6 3 5.6 3.1
6000 0.1 32.2 060 3 2 9.7 5.3 | 0.0 32.0 180 6 3 6.4 3.5
5750 0.8 33.4 060 3 2 9.2 5.0 | 0.5 32.9 175 6 3 4.9 2.7
5500 1.5 34.7 060 3 2 10.7 5.9 | 0.6 33.1 170 6 3 -4.3 -2.3
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC). It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at
North Latitude: 39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
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