Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
768
UXUS97 KBOU 020023
SRGBOU
Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
1720 MST Monday, December 1, 2025
This forecast is for Tuesday, December 2, 2025:
If the trigger temperature of 50.2 F/10.1 C is reached...then
Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
Maximum rate of lift........................ 112 ft/min (0.6 m/s)
Maximum height of thermals.................. 8309 ft MSL (3004 ft AGL)
Forecast maximum temperature................... 47.0 F/8.8 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... None
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1400 MST
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Overcast thin high
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7269 ft MSL (1965 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Wednesday 12/03.... Poor
Wave Soaring Index............................. Good
Wave Soaring Index trend (to 1700 MST)......... No change
Height of stable layer (12-18K ft MSL)......... 12431 ft MSL (7126 ft AGL)
Weak PVA/NVA (through 1700 MST)................ Neither
Potential height of wave....................... 34300 ft MSL (28995 ft AGL)
Wave soaring outlook for Wednesday 12/03....... Poor
Remarks...
Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:03:02 / 16:35:10 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 9 hr 32 min 8 sec (572 min 8 sec)
Altitude of sun at 11:49:06 MST... 28.11 degrees
Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 12/02/2025 at 0500 MST
Freezing level.................. 5661 ft MSL (356 ft AGL)
Additional freezing level....... 6772 ft MSL (1467 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 19138 ft MSL (13833 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 12933 ft MSL (7628 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +12.5
K index......................... +5.5
Height Temperature Wind Wind Spd Lapse Rate ConvectionT Thermal Lift Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft deg C deg F Index fpm m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -60.5 -76.9 285 33 17 0.2 0.1 M M M M M
45000 -60.2 -76.4 285 45 23 0.2 0.1 M M M M M
40000 -59.3 -74.7 290 53 28 0.6 0.3 M M M M M
38000 -58.5 -73.3 290 57 29 2.4 1.3 M M M M M
36000 -57.0 -70.6 295 61 31 2.4 1.3 M M M M M
34000 -55.4 -67.7 300 65 34 7.1 3.9 M M M M M
32000 -50.5 -58.9 300 65 33 8.1 4.5 M M M M M
30000 -45.6 -50.1 300 63 33 9.4 5.1 30.6 87.1 16.7 M M
29000 -42.1 -43.8 295 60 31 9.3 5.1 30.2 86.4 16.7 M M
28000 -39.3 -38.7 290 57 29 9.3 5.1 30.1 86.2 16.7 M M
27000 -36.6 -33.9 290 54 28 9.2 5.0 30.1 86.1 16.9 M M
26000 -33.9 -29.0 290 52 27 8.9 4.9 29.6 85.3 16.8 M M
25000 -31.3 -24.3 290 51 26 8.9 4.9 29.3 84.7 16.7 M M
24000 -28.6 -19.5 285 49 25 8.9 4.9 29.0 84.3 16.7 M M
23000 -26.2 -15.2 290 47 24 7.9 4.4 28.4 83.1 16.3 M M
22000 -23.9 -11.0 290 44 23 8.0 4.4 27.7 81.9 15.9 M M
21000 -21.5 -6.7 290 41 21 7.8 4.3 27.2 80.9 15.6 M M
20000 -19.3 -2.7 290 39 20 7.4 4.1 26.3 79.3 15.0 M M
19500 -18.2 -0.8 290 38 20 7.4 4.1 25.9 78.5 14.7 M M
19000 -17.1 1.2 290 37 19 7.4 4.1 25.5 77.8 14.5 M M
18500 -16.0 3.2 295 37 19 7.4 4.1 25.1 77.2 14.2 M M
18000 -14.9 5.2 295 36 18 7.3 4.0 24.7 76.5 13.9 M M
17500 -13.8 7.2 295 35 18 7.3 4.0 24.3 75.7 13.6 M M
17000 -12.8 9.0 295 34 17 6.8 3.7 23.8 74.9 13.3 M M
16500 -11.8 10.8 295 32 17 6.5 3.6 23.3 73.9 12.9 M M
16000 -10.8 12.6 300 31 16 6.4 3.5 22.7 72.9 12.5 M M
15500 -9.5 14.9 300 29 15 6.0 3.3 21.8 71.2 11.7 M M
15000 -8.6 16.5 300 28 14 5.5 3.0 21.2 70.1 11.2 M M
14500 -7.9 17.8 300 26 14 5.0 2.7 20.4 68.7 10.6 M M
14000 -7.1 19.2 300 25 13 4.5 2.4 19.6 67.3 9.9 M M
13500 -6.7 19.9 300 23 12 2.2 1.2 18.5 65.3 8.9 M M
13000 -6.3 20.7 300 20 11 2.2 1.2 17.3 63.1 7.9 M M
12500 -6.1 21.0 300 18 9 0.8 0.4 15.9 60.6 6.7 M M
12000 -6.0 21.2 295 16 8 0.8 0.5 14.5 58.1 5.4 M M
11500 -5.8 21.6 295 13 7 2.6 1.4 13.2 55.8 4.2 M M
11000 -5.4 22.3 295 10 5 2.4 1.3 12.0 53.6 3.1 M M
10500 -4.7 23.5 300 9 5 6.9 3.8 11.2 52.2 2.4 M M
10250 -4.2 24.4 305 9 5 5.5 3.0 11.0 51.7 2.1 M M
10000 -3.7 25.3 305 9 5 9.0 4.9 10.7 51.3 1.9 M M
9750 -2.9 26.8 310 10 5 10.0 5.5 10.8 51.4 1.9 M M
9500 -2.4 27.7 310 13 6 7.2 4.0 10.6 51.1 1.8 M M
9250 -1.8 28.8 310 15 8 8.6 4.7 10.5 50.9 1.7 M M
9000 -1.2 29.8 305 17 9 5.9 3.2 10.4 50.6 1.5 M M
8750 -0.9 30.4 305 19 10 2.0 1.1 9.9 49.8 1.1 M M
8500 -0.8 30.6 300 22 11 1.4 0.7 9.2 48.6 0.5 M M
8250 -0.7 30.7 295 24 12 2.0 1.1 8.6 47.5 -0.1 210 1.1
8000 -0.6 30.9 295 27 14 -0.3 -0.2 8.0 46.3 -0.8 199 1.0
7750 -0.7 30.7 290 25 13 -0.9 -0.5 7.1 44.8 -1.6 195 1.0
7500 -0.6 30.9 285 23 12 0.4 0.2 6.4 43.5 -2.3 187 0.9
7250 -0.6 30.9 280 21 11 1.2 0.7 5.6 42.2 -3.0 178 0.9
7000 -0.4 31.3 280 18 9 4.3 2.4 5.1 41.2 -3.5 164 0.8
6750 -0.0 32.0 275 14 7 4.8 2.7 4.7 40.5 -3.9 146 0.7
6500 0.3 32.5 265 11 6 4.7 2.6 4.4 39.8 -4.3 128 0.7
6250 0.6 33.1 255 9 5 0.9 0.5 3.9 39.0 -4.7 113 0.6
6000 0.5 32.9 240 8 4 -1.5 -0.8 3.0 37.5 -5.6 108 0.5
5750 0.4 32.7 225 8 4 -2.7 -1.5 2.2 36.0 -6.4 103 0.5
5500 -0.3 31.5 210 10 5 -22.2 -12.2 0.7 33.3 -7.9 119 0.6
* * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *
12/02/2025 at 0800 MST | 12/02/2025 at 1100 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.3 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +4.9
CINH... -0.1 K Index... +11.5 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +10.0
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.9 -75.8 280 32 16 1.2 0.6 | -59.9 -75.8 270 36 18 1.1 0.6
45000 -58.1 -72.6 285 42 22 1.3 0.7 | -58.2 -72.8 275 59 30 1.1 0.6
40000 -61.1 -78.0 280 65 33 -2.3 -1.2 | -61.3 -78.3 270 78 40 -2.4 -1.3
38000 -61.2 -78.2 280 71 36 4.6 2.5 | -61.3 -78.3 270 83 43 5.4 3.0
36000 -58.0 -72.4 280 68 35 4.7 2.6 | -58.0 -72.4 270 82 42 5.6 3.1
34000 -55.0 -67.0 280 65 33 8.6 4.7 | -54.1 -65.4 270 80 41 8.0 4.4
32000 -50.0 -58.0 280 60 31 8.3 4.5 | -49.3 -56.7 270 73 38 7.9 4.3
30000 -45.0 -49.0 280 56 29 8.3 4.6 | -44.5 -48.1 270 67 35 8.2 4.5
29000 -42.5 -44.5 280 53 28 8.4 4.6 | -42.1 -43.8 270 65 33 8.0 4.4
28000 -40.0 -40.0 280 51 26 8.4 4.6 | -39.7 -39.5 270 62 32 8.0 4.4
27000 -37.5 -35.5 280 49 25 8.4 4.6 | -37.4 -35.3 270 60 31 8.0 4.4
26000 -35.0 -31.0 280 47 24 8.5 4.6 | -35.0 -31.0 270 56 29 7.7 4.2
25000 -32.5 -26.5 280 46 24 8.5 4.7 | -32.7 -26.9 270 53 27 7.7 4.2
24000 -29.9 -21.8 280 44 23 8.6 4.7 | -30.5 -22.9 270 49 25 7.7 4.2
23000 -27.6 -17.7 280 42 21 7.6 4.2 | -28.2 -18.8 270 45 23 7.5 4.1
22000 -25.3 -13.5 285 38 20 7.7 4.2 | -26.0 -14.8 275 40 21 7.5 4.1
21000 -23.0 -9.4 285 35 18 7.6 4.2 | -23.7 -10.7 275 36 19 7.5 4.1
20000 -20.8 -5.4 285 34 17 7.3 4.0 | -21.6 -6.9 280 34 17 7.0 3.8
19500 -19.2 -2.6 290 32 17 7.3 4.0 | -20.6 -5.1 280 32 17 7.0 3.9
19000 -18.1 -0.6 290 32 16 7.3 4.0 | -19.5 -3.1 280 31 16 7.0 3.9
18500 -17.0 1.4 290 31 16 7.0 3.8 | -18.5 -1.3 285 30 16 7.1 3.9
18000 -16.0 3.2 290 30 15 6.7 3.7 | -17.0 1.4 285 28 15 6.8 3.7
17500 -15.1 4.8 295 29 15 6.7 3.7 | -16.0 3.2 285 27 14 6.8 3.7
17000 -14.1 6.6 295 28 14 6.3 3.5 | -15.0 5.0 290 27 14 6.7 3.7
16500 -13.2 8.2 295 27 14 6.4 3.5 | -14.0 6.8 290 26 13 6.7 3.7
16000 -12.2 10.0 295 26 13 6.2 3.4 | -13.0 8.6 290 26 13 6.7 3.7
15500 -11.3 11.7 300 25 13 6.1 3.3 | -12.0 10.4 295 25 13 6.7 3.7
15000 -10.4 13.3 300 25 13 6.0 3.3 | -11.0 12.2 295 25 13 6.6 3.6
14500 -9.6 14.7 300 24 13 5.9 3.2 | -10.0 14.0 295 24 13 6.2 3.4
14000 -8.7 16.3 300 24 12 5.8 3.2 | -9.1 15.6 300 24 12 6.2 3.4
13500 -7.9 17.8 300 24 12 5.1 2.8 | -8.2 17.2 300 24 12 5.9 3.3
13000 -7.1 19.2 300 23 12 5.2 2.8 | -7.3 18.9 300 24 12 6.0 3.3
12500 -6.4 20.5 295 23 12 4.5 2.5 | -6.5 20.3 305 24 12 5.5 3.0
12000 -5.7 21.7 295 23 12 4.5 2.5 | -5.6 21.9 305 24 12 5.6 3.1
11500 -5.0 23.0 295 23 12 4.9 2.7 | -4.8 23.4 305 24 12 5.2 2.9
11000 -4.3 24.3 295 22 11 4.8 2.7 | -4.1 24.6 305 23 12 5.4 2.9
10500 -3.5 25.7 295 22 11 5.2 2.9 | -3.4 25.9 305 23 12 4.1 2.2
10250 -3.2 26.2 290 22 11 4.2 2.3 | -3.1 26.4 300 23 12 3.3 1.8
10000 -2.8 27.0 290 22 11 7.8 4.3 | -2.8 27.0 300 24 12 7.0 3.8
9750 -2.0 28.4 290 20 10 9.7 5.3 | -2.1 28.2 300 22 11 6.9 3.8
9500 -1.5 29.3 290 20 10 7.2 4.0 | -1.8 28.8 300 22 11 3.5 1.9
9250 -0.9 30.4 295 20 10 8.4 4.6 | -1.5 29.3 295 22 11 3.5 1.9
9000 -0.3 31.5 295 20 10 6.2 3.4 | -1.2 29.8 295 22 11 6.8 3.7
8750 0.1 32.2 290 21 11 4.6 2.5 | -0.6 30.9 295 21 11 7.4 4.1
8500 0.5 32.9 290 21 11 5.2 2.9 | -0.2 31.6 290 21 11 4.1 2.3
8250 0.9 33.6 285 21 11 5.7 3.1 | 0.1 32.2 290 20 10 5.3 2.9
8000 1.3 34.3 285 21 11 3.2 1.7 | 0.5 32.9 285 19 10 3.7 2.0
7750 1.4 34.5 280 19 10 0.5 0.3 | 0.8 33.4 280 17 9 4.7 2.6
7500 1.4 34.5 280 18 9 0.9 0.5 | 1.2 34.2 280 15 8 6.8 3.7
7250 1.5 34.7 280 16 8 1.4 0.8 | 1.7 35.1 275 12 6 5.9 3.3
7000 1.7 35.1 275 14 7 3.6 2.0 | 2.1 35.8 270 10 5 4.0 2.2
6750 2.0 35.6 275 12 6 3.8 2.1 | 2.4 36.3 265 8 4 5.2 2.9
6500 2.3 36.1 270 9 5 3.5 1.9 | 3.0 37.4 260 6 3 7.5 4.1
6250 2.5 36.5 270 7 4 1.6 0.9 | 3.5 38.3 250 5 2 6.6 3.6
6000 2.5 36.5 260 5 3 -1.3 -0.7 | 4.0 39.2 240 4 2 6.0 3.3
5750 2.5 36.5 250 4 2 2.0 1.1 | 4.5 40.1 225 4 2 7.4 4.1
5500 2.3 36.1 215 5 3 -13.2 -7.2 | 5.2 41.4 235 3 2 13.0 7.1
12/02/2025 at 1400 MST | 12/02/2025 at 1700 MST
|
CAPE... 0.0 LI... +5.2 | CAPE... 0.0 LI... +3.7
CINH... 0.0 K Index... +8.0 | CINH... 0.0 K Index... +4.6
|
Height Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate | Temperature Wnd WndSpd Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft | deg C deg F Dir kt m/s C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
50000 -59.8 -75.6 275 35 18 1.4 0.8 | -59.9 -75.8 260 37 19 1.0 0.6
45000 -57.7 -71.9 270 62 32 1.3 0.7 | -58.4 -73.1 265 59 30 1.0 0.5
40000 -60.4 -76.7 265 88 45 -2.1 -1.1 | -58.8 -73.8 260 93 48 -0.4 -0.2
38000 -60.0 -76.0 265 96 49 5.8 3.2 | -58.2 -72.8 260 105 54 4.9 2.7
36000 -56.5 -69.7 265 100 51 5.7 3.1 | -54.8 -66.6 260 110 57 5.0 2.8
34000 -53.1 -63.6 265 104 53 6.3 3.5 | -51.8 -61.2 260 115 59 5.0 2.7
32000 -49.1 -56.4 265 93 48 6.7 3.7 | -48.8 -55.8 255 104 54 5.0 2.7
30000 -45.1 -49.2 260 83 42 8.0 4.4 | -45.7 -50.3 255 93 48 7.2 4.0
29000 -42.5 -44.5 260 79 41 8.5 4.7 | -43.2 -45.8 255 88 45 8.4 4.6
28000 -40.0 -40.0 260 76 39 8.5 4.7 | -40.7 -41.3 255 83 43 8.4 4.6
27000 -36.8 -34.2 260 72 37 8.5 4.7 | -38.2 -36.8 255 78 40 8.4 4.6
26000 -34.5 -30.1 260 68 35 7.7 4.2 | -35.9 -32.6 250 72 37 6.9 3.8
25000 -32.2 -26.0 260 64 33 7.7 4.2 | -33.8 -28.8 250 64 33 6.9 3.8
24000 -29.9 -21.8 260 61 31 7.8 4.3 | -31.8 -25.2 250 56 29 6.9 3.8
23000 -27.7 -17.9 260 56 29 7.0 3.8 | -29.9 -21.8 255 49 25 5.8 3.2
22000 -25.7 -14.3 265 51 26 7.0 3.9 | -28.1 -18.6 260 42 22 5.8 3.2
21000 -23.6 -10.5 265 46 23 7.1 3.9 | -26.4 -15.5 270 36 19 5.8 3.2
20000 -21.6 -6.9 265 40 21 6.4 3.5 | -24.6 -12.3 275 32 17 6.4 3.5
19500 -20.7 -5.3 270 37 19 6.4 3.5 | -23.6 -10.5 275 31 16 6.4 3.5
19000 -19.7 -3.5 270 35 18 6.4 3.5 | -22.2 -8.0 280 29 15 6.4 3.5
18500 -18.8 -1.8 275 32 16 6.5 3.6 | -21.2 -6.2 285 27 14 6.4 3.5
18000 -17.9 -0.2 275 29 15 6.0 3.3 | -20.1 -4.2 285 26 14 7.8 4.3
17500 -17.0 1.4 280 26 14 6.0 3.3 | -19.0 -2.2 285 25 13 7.7 4.2
17000 -16.1 3.0 280 23 12 6.1 3.4 | -17.8 -0.0 285 24 12 7.0 3.9
16500 -15.1 4.8 285 21 11 6.3 3.4 | -16.8 1.8 285 22 11 6.9 3.8
16000 -14.2 6.4 285 19 10 6.3 3.5 | -15.8 3.6 285 20 10 6.8 3.7
15500 -13.3 8.1 290 17 9 5.6 3.1 | -14.8 5.4 285 19 10 6.6 3.6
15000 -12.5 9.5 290 14 7 5.7 3.1 | -13.8 7.2 285 18 9 6.7 3.7
14500 -11.2 11.8 295 11 6 5.6 3.1 | -12.8 9.0 285 16 8 7.3 4.0
14000 -10.4 13.3 300 9 5 5.7 3.1 | -11.7 10.9 285 15 8 7.3 4.0
13500 -9.5 14.9 305 8 4 6.8 3.8 | -10.7 12.7 285 15 8 6.6 3.6
13000 -8.5 16.7 305 8 4 6.8 3.7 | -9.7 14.5 285 15 8 6.8 3.7
12500 -7.5 18.5 310 8 4 6.8 3.7 | -8.8 16.2 290 16 8 6.1 3.3
12000 -6.5 20.3 315 10 5 6.8 3.7 | -7.9 17.8 295 17 9 6.1 3.4
11500 -5.4 22.3 310 13 6 6.9 3.8 | -7.0 19.4 295 19 10 6.2 3.4
11000 -4.4 24.1 305 15 8 7.1 3.9 | -6.1 21.0 295 20 11 6.3 3.5
10500 -3.6 25.5 300 18 10 5.0 2.7 | -5.2 22.6 295 22 11 5.2 2.9
10250 -3.2 26.2 300 20 10 5.2 2.8 | -4.9 23.2 295 22 11 5.4 3.0
10000 -2.8 27.0 295 22 11 5.8 3.2 | -4.5 23.9 290 23 12 5.0 2.7
9750 -2.4 27.7 295 23 12 5.0 2.8 | -4.1 24.6 290 22 11 5.8 3.2
9500 -2.1 28.2 290 23 12 3.9 2.1 | -3.6 25.5 290 22 11 6.7 3.7
9250 -1.8 28.8 290 23 12 4.1 2.3 | -3.1 26.4 290 22 11 7.0 3.8
9000 -1.5 29.3 290 22 12 4.3 2.4 | -2.6 27.3 295 21 11 5.1 2.8
8750 -1.1 30.0 290 22 11 4.5 2.5 | -2.4 27.7 290 21 11 4.7 2.6
8500 -0.8 30.6 290 19 10 4.5 2.5 | -1.9 28.6 295 19 10 6.5 3.6
8250 -0.5 31.1 290 16 8 4.0 2.2 | -1.5 29.3 295 17 9 5.4 3.0
8000 -0.1 31.8 290 13 6 6.2 3.4 | -1.0 30.2 300 14 7 7.9 4.3
7750 0.4 32.7 295 9 5 8.0 4.4 | -0.3 31.5 305 11 6 8.6 4.7
7500 1.0 33.8 300 7 4 7.0 3.8 | 0.2 32.4 310 10 5 6.8 3.7
7250 1.5 34.7 305 5 3 7.5 4.1 | 0.8 33.4 315 8 4 7.4 4.1
7000 2.2 36.0 315 4 2 10.2 5.6 | 1.4 34.5 325 7 4 9.8 5.4
6750 3.0 37.4 315 4 2 10.1 5.5 | 2.2 36.0 335 6 3 9.8 5.4
6500 3.6 38.5 320 4 2 7.7 4.2 | 2.8 37.0 350 6 3 8.0 4.4
6250 4.3 39.7 320 4 2 9.6 5.3 | 3.5 38.3 360 6 3 8.7 4.8
6000 5.0 41.0 325 4 2 11.2 6.2 | 4.1 39.4 015 6 3 9.4 5.2
5750 5.9 42.6 325 4 2 10.4 5.7 | 4.8 40.6 025 6 3 7.8 4.3
5500 6.6 43.9 325 4 2 11.8 6.5 | 5.2 41.4 035 6 3 1.7 0.9
________________________________________________________________________________
This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC). It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.
The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the old Stapleton
Airport site in Denver, Colorado at
North Latitude: 39 deg 46 min 5.016 sec
West Longitude: 104 deg 52 min 9.984 sec
Elevation: 5285 feet (1611 meters)
and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains. Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground. Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.
The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice. Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page. To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.
DEFINITIONS:
CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
area on a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. Larger
values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms. Values around or
greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
convective activity develop.
CINH (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
a thermodynamic diagram. Units are Joules per kilogram. The more negative
this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection. This
inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)
Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
just becomes saturated. It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
produced by surface heating only.
Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level. It can be considered a
"trigger temperature" for that level.
Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.
Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists. The location and
existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
waves.
K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface. Larger
positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
thunderstorm development. One interpretation of K index values regarding
soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
and is reproduced in the following table:
below -10 no or weak thermals
-10 to 5 dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
5 to 15 good soaring conditions
15 to 20 good soaring conditions with occasional showers
20 to 30 excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
probability of showers and thunderstorms
above 30 more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms
Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
inversions.
Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.
Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
level. The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
feet of the airmass. Negative values are indicative of instability with
positive values showing stable conditions.
Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals. It is
computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
are applied to these calculations.
Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.
Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals. It
is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
above the ground. After this computation, further empirical adjustments
are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment.
Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds. Broken means that
between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
that little sunlight is reaching the ground.
Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
where the wind speed no longer increases with height
PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
sea level). Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.
Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
and the time of overdevelopment.
Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level. Negative values
are indicative of thermal lift.
Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:
Maximum rate of lift Adjective Rating
>= 800 fpm Excellent
>= 400 and < 800 fpm Good
>= 200 and < 400 fpm Fair
< 200 fpm Poor
Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
3. initiation of widespread precipitation
Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
reach the trigger temperature.
Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.
Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
soaring into a single index number. Objective points are assigned to
these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
movements.
042613