Regional Weather Synopsis
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
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NZUS99 KBOU 161649
SYNBOU
Hot-Air Balloon Forecast for Colorado
National Weather Service Denver/Boulder, Colorado
1045 MDT Wednesday, July 16, 2025
* * * * * Northeast Colorado * * * * *
METAR KFNL 161556Z 00000KT 10SM OVC016 19/15 A3015 RMK AO2 RAE12 SLP146
P0000 T01890150
METAR KFNL 161456Z 14005KT 7SM -RA BKN013 OVC024 18/16 A3016 RMK AO2
RAB54 SLP148 P0000 60000 T01830156 53004
METAR KFNL 161356Z 13008KT 6SM BR OVC009 18/17 A3014 RMK AO2 RAB06E38
SLP139 P0000 T01780167
SPECI KGXY 161639Z 10003KT 10SM BKN021 21/15 A3014 RMK AO2
SPECI KGXY 161614Z 13008KT 10SM SCT021 21/15 A3014 RMK AO2
METAR KGXY 161556Z 11008KT 10SM BKN021 BKN045 20/15 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP167
T02000150
METAR KLMO 161635Z AUTO 07003KT 7SM OVC018 21/15 A3015 RMK AO2 T02120150
METAR KLMO 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 7SM OVC018 21/15 A3015 RMK AO2 T02090153
METAR KLMO 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 7SM BKN012 OVC018 21/16 A3015 RMK AO2
T02090156
METAR KBDU 161635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC012 20/16 A3014 RMK AO2
METAR KBDU 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM BKN012 BKN037 19/16 A3014 RMK
AO2
METAR KBDU 161555Z AUTO 08003KT 10SM SCT010 SCT015 BKN037 19/16 A3015
RMK AO2
METAR KEIK 161635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT019 BKN150 20/16 A3013 RMK
AO2 T02000162
METAR KEIK 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT018 OVC150 20/16 A3012 RMK
AO2 T01960160
METAR KEIK 161555Z AUTO 17003KT 10SM SCT016 BKN040 OVC150 20/16 A3013
RMK AO2 T02010162
KBJC 161502Z 1615/1712 08006KT P6SM SCT007 BKN015
TEMPO 1615/1617 OVC005
FM161800 06006KT P6SM SCT025 SCT100 BKN150
FM162000 04008KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
TEMPO 1621/1701 VRB20G35KT 4SM TSRA BKN050CB
FM170100 VRB06KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN060 PROB30 1701/1706 6SM
-SHRA BR SCT010 BKN025
FM170600 35005KT P6SM FEW010 SCT025 BKN200
METAR KBJC 161545Z 09005KT 10SM BKN009 OVC100 19/16 A3017
METAR KBJC 161445Z 10006KT 10SM OVC004 18/16 A3017
METAR KBJC 161345Z 08007KT 10SM OVC002 18/16 A3018
KDEN 161441Z 1615/1718 10007KT P6SM SCT020 BKN150
TEMPO 1615/1617 BKN020
FM162100 13011KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
TEMPO 1621/1701 VRB20G35KT 4SM TSRA BKN050CB
FM170100 13011KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN060 PROB30 1701/1706 6SM
-SHRA BR SCT010 BKN025
FM170600 09007KT P6SM FEW005 SCT015 BKN200
FM171200 19009KT P6SM FEW015 SCT220
FM171600 VRB06KT P6SM SCT220
METAR KDEN 161553Z 14003KT 10SM BKN020 OVC150 19/14 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP138
T01890139
SPECI KDEN 161551Z 15005KT 10SM BKN020 OVC150 19/14 A3016 RMK AO2
METAR KDEN 161453Z 11007KT 10SM FEW035 SCT110 BKN200 19/14 A3015 RMK
AO2 SLP133 T01890139 50002
KBKF 161321Z 1609/1715 07006KT 9999 SCT008 BKN016 BKN024 OVC036
QNH3005INS
BECMG 1615/1616 00000KT 8000 -RA BKN009 OVC018 QNH3011INS
BECMG 1623/1700 09010G22KT 8000 +TSRA SCT018 BKN027CB
OVC065 QNH3004INS
BECMG 1706/1707 18003KT 8000 -SHRA BKN019 OVC028
QNH3020INS
BECMG 1713/1714 16003KT 8000 BR SCT010 BKN018 QNH3015INS
TX26/1622Z TN16/1712Z
METAR KBKF 161558Z 00000KT 10SM FEW009 FEW016 SCT055 BKN150 20/14 A3015
RMK AO2A SLP133 T02000143
METAR KBKF 161458Z VRB05KT 8SM SCT009 SCT016 BKN055 BKN150 19/14 A3016
RMK AO2A SLP137 T01940144 50005
SPECI KBKF 161424Z 12006KT 10SM FEW009 SCT016 BKN065 BKN150 18/14 A3016
RMK AO2A SLP137
KAPA 161127Z 1612/1712 03007KT P6SM SCT006 BKN015
TEMPO 1612/1615 SCT003 BKN006
FM161700 10006KT P6SM SCT025 SCT100 BKN150
FM162100 14010KT P6SM SCT060 BKN100
TEMPO 1621/1701 VRB20G35KT 4SM TSRA BKN050CB
FM170100 17010KT P6SM VCSH SCT030 BKN060 PROB30 1701/1706 6SM
-SHRA BR SCT010 BKN025
FM170600 11007KT P6SM FEW010 SCT025 BKN200
FM171000 17008KT P6SM FEW015 SCT220
METAR KAPA 161553Z 13003KT 10SM FEW012 BKN030 BKN120 19/14 A3017 RMK
AO2 SLP147 T01940139
SPECI KAPA 161525Z 15004KT 10SM SCT018 BKN032 19/14 A3017 RMK AO2
T01940139
METAR KAPA 161453Z 09005KT 10SM BKN015 BKN035 18/14 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP148
T01830144 51002
METAR KMNH 161635Z AUTO 04005KT 10SM CLR 19/13 A3025 RMK AO2
METAR KMNH 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 18/12 A3025 RMK AO2
METAR KMNH 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 18/12 A3027 RMK AO2
METAR KFMM 161635Z AUTO 17006KT 10SM OVC017 19/16 A3012 RMK AO2
METAR KFMM 161615Z AUTO 18005KT 10SM OVC016 20/16 A3011 RMK AO2
METAR KFMM 161555Z AUTO 13006KT 10SM OVC015 19/16 A3011 RMK AO2
METAR KSTK 161615Z AUTO 11005KT 10SM BKN020 22/16 A3007 RMK AO2
METAR KSTK 161555Z AUTO 02003KT 10SM OVC018 21/16 A3008 RMK AO2
METAR KSTK 161535Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC018 21/16 A3010 RMK AO2
SPECI KAKO 161618Z AUTO 10007KT 10SM SCT016 21/16 A3011 RMK AO2
T02060156
METAR KAKO 161553Z AUTO 10005KT 10SM OVC015 19/15 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP147
T01940150
SPECI KAKO 161534Z AUTO 10004KT 10SM OVC015 19/15 A3012 RMK AO2
T01890150
SPECI KLIC 161625Z AUTO 02007KT 350V060 10SM SCT015 19/13 A3014 RMK AO2
T01890133
METAR KLIC 161555Z AUTO 01009KT 10SM OVC015 18/13 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP147
T01830133
METAR KLIC 161455Z AUTO 01011KT 10SM OVC012 17/13 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP146
T01720133 51016
METAR K2V5 161635Z AUTO 09005KT 10SM BKN021 22/15 A3007 RMK AO2
METAR K2V5 161615Z AUTO 36004KT 10SM OVC019 21/15 A3008 RMK AO2
METAR K2V5 161555Z AUTO 01005KT 10SM OVC019 20/15 A3009 RMK AO2
METAR KITR 161553Z AUTO 02014KT 10SM OVC007 17/15 A3009 RMK AO2 CIG
006V010 SLP141 T01720150
SPECI KITR 161540Z AUTO 01014KT 10SM OVC005 17/15 A3009 RMK AO2 CIG
004V008 T01670150
SPECI KITR 161510Z AUTO 01014KT 8SM OVC004 16/15 A3009 RMK AO2
T01610150
Sunrise/Sunset for 07/16/2025
Fort Collins - 05:43:46 MDT / 20:29:06 MDT
Denver - 05:45:44 MDT / 20:26:16 MDT
Sterling - 05:36:04 MDT / 20:21:58 MDT
Denver/Boulder (KFTG) 07/16/25 16:37 UTC
Radar VAD winds Height Dir/Spd(kt)
28000 FT MSL...236/033
26000 FT MSL...243/029
25000 FT MSL...244/027
24000 FT MSL...245/027
22000 FT MSL...250/023
20000 FT MSL...263/020
19000 FT MSL...269/021
18000 FT MSL...273/021
17000 FT MSL...275/021
16700 FT MSL...275/021
16000 FT MSL...274/021
15000 FT MSL...239/014
14000 FT MSL...259/018
12000 FT MSL...273/015
11200 FT MSL...256/011
11000 FT MSL...282/012
10000 FT MSL...227/006
10000 FT MSL...235/006
9000 FT MSL...232/005
8900 FT MSL...212/004
8100 FT MSL...289/002
6600 FT MSL...155/003
Denver/Boulder Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1139 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday/...
Issued at 531 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
As expected, stratus has developed across the terminals over the
past couple of hours, and is expected to persist through at least
15z. There has been some reduced visibilities along with lower
ceilings (generally BKN004-006) closer to the Wyoming border, and
a couple of hours of IFR to perhaps LIFR conditions are possible
this morning before the stratus deck lifts and scatters out.
Convection is still expected to develop near 20-21z and spread
across the terminals through the afternoon hours. Some stronger
storms are still possible in the mid/late afternoon hours.
Additional showers or storms may redevelop this evening.
More uncertainty to the forecast by tonight/Thursday AM, with some
guidance hinting at stratus or fog redeveloping overnight. Did add
a mention of a FEW/SCT low clouds but didn`t have the confidence
to go with any lower prevailing conditions. We should see a return
to consistent VFR conditions sometime Thursday morning.
* * * * * Southeast Colorado * * * * *
METAR K4BM 161635Z AUTO 18003KT 10SM CLR 17/00 A3058 RMK AO2
METAR K4BM 161615Z AUTO 22003KT 10SM CLR 17/00 A3058 RMK AO2
METAR K4BM 161555Z AUTO 24003KT 10SM CLR 16/00 A3058 RMK AO2
METAR KAFF 161555Z 36007KT 10SM BKN200 21/13 A3019 RMK AO2A SLP127
T02080125
METAR KAFF 161455Z 01012KT 10SM BKN160 BKN220 20/13 A3020 RMK AO2A
SLP127 T01960128 51011
METAR KAFF 161355Z 01016KT 10SM FEW020 SCT180 19/13 A3019 RMK AO2A
SLP121 T01850127
KCOS 161120Z 1612/1712 32006KT P6SM SCT080 BKN120
FM161800 13010KT P6SM SCT080 BKN200
FM162000 14015KT P6SM VCTS BKN100CB PROB30 1620/1623 3SM
-TSRAGR BKN030CB
FM170000 08012KT P6SM VCSH BKN050 BKN100
FM170500 01010KT P6SM SCT050 BKN100
METAR KCOS 161554Z 32005KT 10SM FEW150 BKN200 BKN250 23/10 A3019 RMK
AO2 SLP131 T02280100 $
METAR KCOS 161454Z 34010KT 10SM FEW150 BKN250 22/13 A3019 RMK AO2 SLP130
T02220128 51010 $
METAR KCOS 161354Z 34014KT 10SM FEW150 SCT250 19/12 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP127
T01940122 $
METAR KABH 161555Z AUTO 34011KT 10SM FEW180 23/14 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP144
T02280138
METAR KABH 161455Z AUTO 36011KT 10SM SCT180 20/12 A3019 RMK AO2 SLP148
T02000122 52015
METAR KABH 161355Z AUTO 36013KT 10SM OVC180 18/14 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP142
T01770138
METAR KFLY 161635Z AUTO 33004KT 10SM CLR 22/11 A3024 RMK AO2 T02200112
METAR KFLY 161615Z AUTO 02007KT 10SM CLR 21/11 A3024 RMK AO2 T02120112
METAR KFLY 161555Z AUTO 01008KT 10SM CLR 21/12 A3024 RMK AO2 T02090117
KFCS 161535Z 1615/1718 31009KT 9999 SCT150 QNH3008INS
BECMG 1615/1616 17009KT 9999 SCT150 QNH3009INS
BECMG 1618/1619 17012G18KT 9000 -SHRA VCTS SCT100 BKN120CB
QNH3004INS
TEMPO 1621/1701 17035G45KT 4800 +TSRAGR BKN050CB OVC080
TEMPO 1702/1708 31009KT 9000 -SHRA BKN080 OVC120 QNH3011INS
BECMG 1708/1709 17006KT 3200 BR OVC005 QNH3015INS
BECMG 1714/1715 31009KT 9999 NSW BKN008 QNH3012INS
TX31/1619Z
TN14/1708Z
METAR KFCS 161555Z AUTO 36006KT 10SM OVC200 24/11 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP135
T02370114 $
METAR KFCS 161455Z AUTO 33011KT 10SM FEW200 23/13 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP135
T02330129 52012 $
METAR KFCS 161355Z AUTO 33014G19KT 10SM CLR 20/13 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP135
T01950125 $
KPUB 161120Z 1612/1712 03007KT P6SM SCT100 BKN150
FM161700 14010G20KT P6SM SCT080 BKN200
FM162200 05012G22KT P6SM -TSRA OVC070CB
TEMPO 1622/1701 VRB20G35KT 5SM -TSRA BKN050CB
FM170200 08015G25KT P6SM VCSH BKN060 BKN110
FM170400 35008KT P6SM FEW060 SCT110
METAR KPUB 161553Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/13 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP121 T02440128
$
METAR KPUB 161453Z 03008KT 10SM CLR 23/11 A3010 RMK AO2 SLP121 T02280111
51017 $
METAR KPUB 161353Z 01006KT 10SM CLR 21/12 A3008 RMK AO2 SLP114 T02110122
$
METAR KVTP 161635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 17/M38 A3059 RMK AO2
METAR KVTP 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 16/M37 A3058 RMK AO2
METAR KVTP 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 16/M39 A3058 RMK AO2
METAR KTAD 161554Z AUTO 06005KT 10SM CLR 27/08 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP113
T02670078 $
METAR KTAD 161454Z AUTO 28005KT 10SM CLR 23/07 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP114
T02330072 51015 $
METAR KTAD 161354Z AUTO 26007KT 10SM CLR 21/07 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP112
T02060067 $
METAR KSPD 161556Z AUTO 36014KT 26/17 A3004 RMK AO1 SLP101 T02560167
METAR KSPD 161456Z AUTO 35016KT 24/16 A3003 RMK AO1 SLP097 T02390161
53015
METAR KSPD 161356Z AUTO 35012KT 22/16 A3001 RMK AO1 SLP090 T02220156
Sunrise/Sunset for 07/16/2025
Burlington - 05:36:11 MDT / 20:14:18 MDT
Pueblo - 05:48:29 MDT / 20:20:47 MDT
Lamar - 05:40:58 MDT / 20:12:17 MDT
Pueblo Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1053 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 450 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Showers and thunderstorms will be possible at all 3 taf sites
later this afternoon and early evening. Some small hail and
gusty winds will be possible with the storms. Best chance will
be late afternoon and early evening. Otherwise anticipate VFR
conditions will diurnal wind flow.
* * * * * Northwest Colorado * * * * *
METAR KCAG 161553Z AUTO 05008KT 10SM CLR 24/04 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP127
T02440044
METAR KCAG 161453Z AUTO 08009KT 10SM CLR 22/06 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP128
T02220056 53000
METAR KCAG 161353Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 17/07 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP129
T01720067
METAR KSBS 161635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/05 A3018 RMK AO1 T02300054
METAR KSBS 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 22/06 A3018 RMK AO1
T02220062
METAR KSBS 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 21/06 A3019 RMK AO1 T02060061
METAR KC07 161635Z AUTO 23003KT 10SM CLR 17/03 A3047 RMK AO2
METAR KC07 161615Z AUTO 24003KT 10SM CLR 16/03 A3047 RMK AO2
METAR KC07 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 16/03 A3047 RMK AO2
METAR KEEO 161553Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/06 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP111
T02440056
METAR KEEO 161453Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 22/05 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP112
T02170050 52003
METAR KEEO 161353Z AUTO VRB05KT 10SM CLR 19/05 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP107
T01940050
METAR K20V 161635Z AUTO 13004KT 10SM CLR 23/M07 A3024 RMK AO2
METAR K20V 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/M07 A3025 RMK AO2
METAR K20V 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 20/M06 A3026 RMK AO2
METAR KGNB 161635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 19/05 A3033 RMK AO2 T01920045
METAR KGNB 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 18/05 A3033 RMK AO2 T01790045
METAR KGNB 161555Z AUTO 18003KT 10SM CLR 17/04 A3034 RMK AO2 T01700039
METAR KC99 161620Z AUTO 23003KT 10SM SCT120 16/02 A3050 RMK AO2
METAR KC99 161604Z AUTO 22005KT 10SM BKN120 15/01 A3050 RMK AO2
METAR KC99 161540Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT120 14/01 A3050 RMK AO2
KGJT 161233Z 1613/1712 10009KT 6SM FU FEW110 SCT250
FM161600 16006KT 6SM FU FEW130 FEW250
FM161800 28010G18KT 6SM FU BKN250
FM170100 30009KT P6SM FEW120 SCT250
FM170300 02007KT P6SM FEW120 SCT250
METAR KGJT 161553Z 12011KT 8SM FU CLR 28/06 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP083 T02830056
METAR KGJT 161453Z 12010KT 4SM FU SCT038 26/06 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP086
T02610056 53001
SPECI KGJT 161429Z 11011KT 4SM FU FEW031 26/04 A3003 RMK AO2
T02610044
KRIL 161120Z 1612/1712 09006KT P6SM FEW120 SCT250
FM161600 27006KT 6SM FU FEW120 FEW250
FM161800 32012G22KT P6SM BKN250 PROB30 1619/1622 VRB25G45KT
6SM -TSRA BKN120CB
FM170100 17008KT P6SM SCT110 BKN200
FM170700 08005KT 6SM FU FEW100 SCT250
METAR KRIL 161553Z AUTO 01004KT 10SM CLR 27/05 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP101
T02670050
METAR KRIL 161453Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 23/06 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP105
T02330061 50000
METAR KRIL 161353Z AUTO 06004KT 10SM CLR 21/06 A3010 RMK AO2 SLP106
T02060056
METAR K5SM 161635Z AUTO 10SM CLR 18/01 A3052 RMK AO2
METAR K5SM 161615Z AUTO 10SM CLR 17/01 A3052 RMK AO2
METAR K5SM 161555Z AUTO 10SM CLR 17/01 A3052 RMK AO2
KEGE 161120Z 1612/1712 11005KT P6SM FEW100 SCT200
FM161400 00000KT P6SM FEW100 SCT200
FM161800 28012G20KT P6SM BKN250 PROB30 1618/1623 VRB25G45KT
6SM -TSRA BKN100CB
FM170100 34009KT P6SM FEW090 SCT200
FM170600 VRB02KT P6SM SCT090 BKN250
METAR KEGE 161556Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/04 A3020 RMK AO2 SLP124 T02390039
$
METAR KEGE 161456Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 19/04 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP135 T01940044
58004 $
METAR KEGE 161356Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 18/04 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP136 T01830044
$
KASE 161120Z 1612/1712 20006KT P6SM FEW110 SCT250
FM161800 34012G19KT P6SM BKN250 PROB30 1618/1623 VRB25G45KT
6SM -TSRA OVC100CB
FM170100 28005KT P6SM FEW090 SCT200
FM170300 18006KT P6SM FEW090 SCT200
FM170700 16005KT P6SM FEW090 SCT200
METAR KASE 161553Z 00000KT 10SM FU CLR 22/04 A3026 RMK AO2 SLP109 T02170039
METAR KASE 161453Z VRB03KT 10SM CLR 18/06 A3026 RMK AO2 SLP119 T01830056
58001
METAR KASE 161353Z 00000KT 10SM CLR 16/05 A3028 RMK AO2 SLP119 T01560050
METAR KLXV 161553Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 15/04 A3046 RMK AO2 SLP151
T01500039
METAR KLXV 161453Z AUTO 31003KT 10SM CLR 13/03 A3046 RMK AO2 SLP140
T01330033 51004
METAR KLXV 161353Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 11/02 A3045 RMK AO2 SLP133
T01060022
Sunrise/Sunset for 07/16/2025
Rangely - 05:59:58 MDT / 20:42:34 MDT
Grand Junction - 06:01:55 MDT / 20:38:48 MDT
Steamboat Springs - 05:51:00 MDT / 20:35:53 MDT
Grand Junction Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1147 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 546 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Expect mostly VFR conditions through the TAF period though smoke
from local wildfires will have minor impacts on visibilities at most
TAF sites along and south of the I-70 corridor. Widely scattered
showers with embedded thunderstorms will develop around 18Z favoring
the higher terrain, and will last to about 01Z before diminishing
with a few lingering showers continuing through 06Z. Primary threats
from these storms are lightning and strong outflow winds gusting 45
kts.
* * * * * Southwest Colorado * * * * *
METAR KAJZ 161635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC001 31/04 A3008 RMK AO2 T03050041
PWINO
METAR KAJZ 161615Z AUTO 02004KT 10SM OVC001 29/05 A3009 RMK AO2 T02890053
PWINO
METAR KAJZ 161555Z AUTO 06003KT 10SM BKN001 27/06 A3009 RMK AO2 T02700057
PWINO
KMTJ 161120Z 1612/1712 13007KT P6SM FEW120 SCT200
FM161800 33010KT 6SM FU BKN250
FM162100 33010G19KT 6SM FU FEW130 SCT200
FM162300 25010G19KT 6SM FU FEW120 SCT200
FM170200 06008KT 6SM FU FEW120 SCT250
FM170500 14006KT 6SM FU FEW120 SCT200
METAR KMTJ 161553Z AUTO 06003KT 10SM CLR 26/06 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP104
T02560056
METAR KMTJ 161453Z AUTO 15011KT 10SM CLR 25/05 A3014 RMK AO2 SLP106
T02500050 50003
METAR KMTJ 161353Z AUTO 15006KT 9SM CLR 19/06 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP123
T01890061
METAR KGUC 161556Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 19/05 A3031 RMK AO2 SLP163
T01890050 $
METAR KGUC 161456Z AUTO 01003KT 10SM CLR 16/05 A3032 RMK AO2 SLP176
T01560050 50006 $
METAR KGUC 161356Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 13/05 A3033 RMK AO2 SLP184
T01280050 $
METAR K7BM 161632Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT110 22/02 A3043 RMK AO2
METAR K7BM 161612Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT110 21/02 A3044 RMK AO2
METAR K7BM 161552Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 20/03 A3044 RMK AO2
METAR KAEJ 161635Z AUTO 09005KT CLR 24/01 A3028 RMK AO2 T02350013 PWINO
METAR KAEJ 161615Z AUTO 00000KT CLR 22/02 A3029 RMK AO2 T02200021
PWINO
METAR KAEJ 161555Z AUTO 00000KT SCT110 21/02 A3030 RMK AO2 T02060016
PWINO
METAR KANK 161635Z AUTO 03003KT 10SM CLR 23/05 A3024 RMK AO2 T02300046
$
METAR KANK 161615Z AUTO 35004KT 10SM CLR 22/04 A3025 RMK AO2 T02160044
$
METAR KANK 161555Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 21/05 A3025 RMK AO2 T02100050
$
METAR KMYP 161635Z AUTO 28009KT 10SM CLR 13/01 A3072 RMK AO2
METAR KMYP 161615Z AUTO 30011G14KT 10SM CLR 12/00 A3072 RMK AO2
METAR KMYP 161555Z AUTO 27007G14KT 10SM CLR 13/01 A3072 RMK AO2
KTEX 161125Z 1612/1712 13004KT P6SM FEW090 SCT150
FM161800 29006G15KT P6SM SCT080 SCT150 PROB30 1618/1621
VRB25G45KT 6SM -SHRA BKN090 BKN100
FM162200 29009KT 6SM FU SCT090 BKN150 PROB30 1700/1703
VRB20G35KT 6SM -SHRA BKN090 BKN100
FM170400 13004KT P6SM FEW090 SCT200
METAR KTEX 161635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 20/03 A3042 RMK AO2
METAR KTEX 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 18/03 A3042 RMK AO2
METAR KTEX 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 18/05 A3042 RMK AO2
METAR K04V 161627Z AUTO 13004KT 10SM CLR 21/05 A3033 RMK AO2 PWINO
METAR K04V 161607Z AUTO 15005KT 10SM CLR 21/06 A3033 RMK AO2 PWINO
METAR K04V 161547Z AUTO 14004KT 10SM CLR 20/06 A3033 RMK AO2 PWINO
METAR KCEZ 161553Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 23/06 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP121
T02280061
METAR KCEZ 161453Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 21/06 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP125
T02110061 51008
METAR KCEZ 161353Z AUTO 06003KT 10SM CLR 18/06 A3016 RMK AO2 SLP124
T01780061
KDRO 161120Z 1612/1712 VRB04KT P6SM FEW110 SCT250
FM161800 30012G22KT 6SM FU BKN250
FM161900 26010G18KT 6SM FU FEW110 SCT200 PROB30 1619/1622
VRB25G45KT 6SM -TSRA BKN110CB
FM162200 33013G22KT 6SM FU SCT120 BKN200 PROB30 1700/1702
VRB20G35KT 6SM -TSRA BKN110CB
FM170200 35009KT P6SM SCT110 BKN200
FM170600 09005KT P6SM FEW090 SCT200
METAR KDRO 161553Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 23/07 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP134
T02330067
METAR KDRO 161453Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 19/06 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP143
T01940061 51007
METAR KDRO 161353Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 13/07 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP152
T01330067
METAR KPSO 161635Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 24/01 A3029 RMK AO2
METAR KPSO 161615Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 23/02 A3029 RMK AO2
METAR KPSO 161555Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 22/02 A3030 RMK AO2
METAR KCPW 161635Z AUTO 31003KT 10SM CLR 14/00 A3065 RMK AO2
METAR KCPW 161615Z AUTO 33004KT 10SM CLR 13/01 A3065 RMK AO2
METAR KCPW 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 14/00 A3065 RMK AO2
KALS 161120Z 1612/1712 VRB05KT P6SM SCT200
FM161800 10010KT P6SM SCT200
FM162000 27012G22KT P6SM FEW100 SCT200 PROB30 1620/1623 -TSRA
BKN050CB
FM170200 15010KT P6SM BKN100 BKN200
FM170600 14005KT P6SM BKN250
METAR KALS 161552Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM 20/07 A3028 RMK AO2 SLP145 T02000067
$
Sunrise/Sunset for 07/16/2025
Vail - 05:51:35 MDT / 20:31:35 MDT
Durango - 06:04:06 MDT / 20:31:10 MDT
Alamosa - 05:55:38 MDT / 20:23:40 MDT
Grand Junction Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1147 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 546 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Expect mostly VFR conditions through the TAF period though smoke
from local wildfires will have minor impacts on visibilities at most
TAF sites along and south of the I-70 corridor. Widely scattered
showers with embedded thunderstorms will develop around 18Z favoring
the higher terrain, and will last to about 01Z before diminishing
with a few lingering showers continuing through 06Z. Primary threats
from these storms are lightning and strong outflow winds gusting 45
kts.
* * * * * Arizona * * * * *
KPGA 161120Z 1612/1712 19003KT P6SM VCSH FEW120
FM162000 28010G18KT P6SM VCTS SCT110CB PROB30 1621/1623
VRB10G20KT P6SM -TSRA OVC080CB
FM170300 20006KT P6SM BKN110
METAR KPGA 161553Z AUTO VRB03KT 8SM CLR 27/09 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP110
T02720089 $
METAR KPGA 161453Z AUTO 00000KT 7SM CLR 27/08 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP105
T02670083 51011 $
METAR KPGA 161353Z AUTO 13003KT 6SM HZ CLR 26/09 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP102
T02560094 $
METAR KRQE 161553Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 22/07 A3024 RMK AO2 SLP109
T02220072
METAR KRQE 161453Z AUTO 03003KT 10SM CLR 19/08 A3025 RMK AO2 SLP124
T01940078 53010
METAR KRQE 161353Z AUTO 34003KT 10SM CLR 18/08 A3023 RMK AO2 SLP111
T01780078
Flagstaff Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1141 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION...Wednesday 16/12Z through Thursday 17/12Z...SHRA/TSRA is
expected to develop N/E of KCMR-KPAN line after 19Z, then gradually
move southwest through 06Z. Some lingering SHRA will be possible
thereafter. Brief MVFR conditions and gusty, erratic winds will be
possible in and around TS. HZ/FU possible near KGCN/KPGA due to
nearby wildfires. Otherwise, VFR conditions with winds SW-NW 5-15 kts
with gusts 20-25 kts in the afternoon.
OUTLOOK...Thursday 17/12Z through Saturday 19/12Z...Widespread
SHRA/TSRA continues, with strongest storms likely between 18Z-04Z
each afternoon/evening. Brief MVFR conditions and gusty, erratic
winds will be possible in and around TS. Otherwise, VFR conditions
with W/SW winds 5-15 kts on Thursday, becoming S/SW on Friday.
* * * * * Utah * * * * *
KSLC 161450Z 1615/1718 14007KT P6SM SCT120
FM161800 32011KT P6SM FEW120 SCT150
FM170300 15008KT P6SM FEW150
METAR KSLC 161554Z 20004KT 10SM FEW140 SCT220 28/10 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP091
T02780100 $
METAR KSLC 161454Z 17005KT 10SM FEW140 SCT230 27/10 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP089
ACC SE-S T02720100 51015 $
METAR KSLC 161354Z 10005KT 10SM FEW130 SCT220 25/08 A2997 RMK AO2 SLP083
ACSL DSNT E T02500078 $
KVEL 161120Z 1612/1712 24009KT P6SM SCT120 BKN250
FM161800 23012G20KT P6SM OVC250
FM162100 26009KT P6SM SCT120 BKN200
FM162300 36008KT P6SM FEW130 SCT200
FM170400 30006KT P6SM FEW130 FEW250
METAR KVEL 161553Z AUTO 15005KT 10SM CLR 26/08 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP108
T02610078
METAR KVEL 161453Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 24/09 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP110
T02390089 51003
METAR KVEL 161353Z AUTO 33004KT 10SM CLR 22/08 A3007 RMK AO2 SLP104
T02170078
METAR KPUC 161553Z AUTO 14006KT 10SM CLR 27/04 A3011 RMK AO2 SLP083
T02720039
METAR KPUC 161453Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 25/03 A3010 RMK AO2 SLP086
T02500033 51010
METAR KPUC 161353Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 22/03 A3009 RMK AO2 SLP089
T02220028
KCNY 161120Z 1612/1712 VRB04KT P6SM FEW120 SCT250
FM161800 26008KT P6SM BKN250
FM162000 28014G25KT P6SM BKN250
FM170000 30010G18KT 6SM FU FEW140 SCT250
FM170500 15006KT 6SM FU FEW130 SCT250
METAR KCNY 161553Z AUTO 11003KT 10SM CLR 31/05 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP079
T03110050
METAR KCNY 161453Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 29/05 A2999 RMK AO2 SLP080
T02890050 52007
METAR KCNY 161353Z AUTO 02003KT 10SM CLR 27/04 A2998 RMK AO2 SLP078
T02670044
Salt Lake City Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1003 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION...KSLC...VFR conditions will persist at the KSLC terminal
through this period. Drainage flow is currently taking hold with
northwesterly winds expected to develop around 18-19z. Following
this, drainage flow will occur once again around 04z.
.REST OF UTAH AND SOUTHWEST WYOMING...VFR conditions are settling in
across all terminals this morning. While VFR conditions will persist
across the majority of our TAF sites, particularly KBCE and KCDC
following 19z. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are possible near
these sites with gusty and erratic winds possible at and near the
terminals. Following sunset, VFR conditions will settle in across
all sites once again.
* * * * * Wyoming * * * * *
KEVW 161122Z 1612/1712 18010KT P6SM SCT080
FM161600 24012KT P6SM SCT100
FM161800 25015G25KT P6SM FEW100
FM170400 29009KT P6SM SKC
FM170600 17006KT P6SM SKC=
METAR KEVW 161553Z AUTO 23013KT 10SM CLR 23/06 A3019 RMK AO2 SLP114
T02280056
METAR KEVW 161453Z AUTO 22006KT 10SM CLR 19/06 A3019 RMK AO2 SLP119
T01940061 51008
METAR KEVW 161353Z AUTO 16005KT 10SM CLR 15/06 A3018 RMK AO2 SLP118
T01500061
KRKS 161120Z 1612/1712 08006KT P6SM SCT090 BKN200
FM161730 29014G24KT P6SM FEW200 PROB30 1621/1701 VRB20G35KT
6SM -TSRA BKN100CB
FM170200 21012KT P6SM SCT200
FM170600 15006KT P6SM SKC
METAR KRKS 161554Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 21/08 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP129
T02060078
METAR KRKS 161454Z AUTO VRB04KT 10SM CLR 18/08 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP131
T01830083 51005
METAR KRKS 161354Z AUTO 06007KT 10SM FEW120 15/09 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP132
T01500089
KRWL 161131Z 1612/1712 VRB05KT P6SM SCT120
FM161600 24009KT P6SM SCT120
FM161800 26015G23KT P6SM SCT120
FM162000 27016G24KT P6SM SCT060 PROB30 1622/1702 VRB20G35KT
3SM TSRA BKN025CB
FM170300 06008KT P6SM SCT100
METAR KRWL 161553Z AUTO VRB03KT 10SM CLR 22/08 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP116
T02220083
METAR KRWL 161453Z AUTO 08005KT 10SM CLR 18/09 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP121
T01830094 56002
METAR KRWL 161353Z AUTO 12005KT 10SM CLR 16/10 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP115
T01560100
KLAR 161131Z 1612/1712 17008KT P6SM SCT120
FM161700 27010KT P6SM SCT120
FM162000 31012G20KT P6SM VCSH BKN080 PROB30 1621/1702
VRB20G35KT 2SM TSRA BKN025CB
FM170300 15015G23KT P6SM SCT100
FM171000 17010KT P6SM SCT100
METAR KLAR 161553Z AUTO 20009KT 10SM FEW065 OVC100 18/07 A3022 RMK
AO2 SLP118 T01830072
METAR KLAR 161453Z AUTO 21010KT 10SM FEW100 18/08 A3021 RMK AO2 SLP114
60000 T01830078 51002
METAR KLAR 161353Z AUTO 15012KT 10SM BKN100 14/11 A3019 RMK AO2 RAB07E22
SLP112 P0000 T01440111
KCYS 161250Z 1613/1712 13008KT 1/2SM FG OVC002
TEMPO 1613/1614 6SM BR BKN006
FM161400 14008KT 6SM BR OVC007
FM161500 15008KT P6SM BKN015
FM161700 14012G20KT P6SM BKN050
FM161900 12012G20KT P6SM BKN050 PROB30 1621/1702 VRB15G28KT
2SM TSRA BKN025CB
FM170800 10010KT P6SM BKN007
SPECI KCYS 161637Z 19012KT 10SM FEW008 BKN013 OVC019 17/14 A3017 RMK AO2
T01720144
SPECI KCYS 161602Z 19010KT 10SM BKN006 OVC011 16/14 A3017 RMK AO2
T01610144
METAR KCYS 161553Z 19009KT 10SM BKN004 OVC010 16/15 A3017 RMK AO2 SLP140
T01610150
Riverton Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1204 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 455 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Showers and isolated thunderstorms are ongoing over northern
portions of the CWA this morning. These showers have pushed east past
KCOD and KWRL terminals, but will likely impact KBYG from 12Z to 15Z.
VLIFR to LIFR conditions are in place at KJAC and KCOD, with conditions
expected to improve at KJAC after sunrise and VFR conditions returning
by 16Z. LIFR to MVFR ceilings will remain in place across northern
portions throuygh 18Z/19Z. MVFR ceilings are expected to develop over
the Wind River Basin after sunrise, with VFR conditions returning by 17Z/18Z.
Showers and thunderstorms will redevelop over southern portions this
afternoon, impacting KRKS between 21Z and 01Z. Wind gusts around 25 kt
will also impact terminals west of the Divide, except KJAC. Clouds
will scatter out across the west this afternoon, with SKC skies in place
for most areas by sunset this evening. Lingering SCT-BKN FL040 clouds over
portions of Johnson/Natron counties through the TAF period.
Cheyenne Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1142 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 540 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Low CIGs and areas of fog/mist have moved in over most of the
High Plains, leading to MVFR to IFR conditions this morning at
all terminals east of the Laramie range. Occasional LIFR will
also continue for the next few hours at KCYS and KSNY. In
addition, showers will produce areas of moderate rainfall near
KCDR and KAIA for a few more hours. CIGs may temporarily lift
during periods of rainfall. Expect gradual improvement to MVFR
by mid morning, and VFR by early afternoon as CIGs lift and
break up.
Attention shifts back to thunderstorms for the afternoon hours
with several rounds of storms expected across the area. The
highest probability for storms is at KCYS and KLAR, but all
terminals will have the potential to see aviation impacts due to
thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. The strongest storms
will be between about 21z and 03z. Heavy rainfall, gusty/erratic
winds, lightning, and hail are all possible. Expect this
activity to clear out late in the evening, before low CIGs surge
in again towards Thursday morning.
* * * * * Nebraska * * * * *
METAR KIBM 161635Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC007 17/16 A3015 RMK AO2
T01710157
METAR KIBM 161615Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC007 17/16 A3014 RMK AO2
T01680157
METAR KIBM 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM OVC005 17/16 A3014 RMK AO2
T01650157
KSNY 161131Z 1612/1712 03010KT 4SM -RA BR OVC003
FM161300 04008KT 6SM BR OVC008
FM161500 05008KT P6SM OVC012
FM161800 07010KT P6SM SCT050 PROB30 1622/1703 VRB20G35KT 2SM
TSRA BKN025CB
FM170300 12010KT P6SM SCT100
FM171000 15008KT 6SM BR OVC008
SPECI KSNY 161638Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM SCT016 20/15 A3010 RMK AO2
T02000150
SPECI KSNY 161605Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM BKN014 BKN070 19/15 A3010 RMK AO2
T01940150
METAR KSNY 161553Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM FEW009 SCT013 BKN070 19/16 A3011
RMK AO2 SLP150 T01940156
METAR KOGA 161635Z AUTO 03009KT 10SM OVC013 20/16 A3008 RMK AO2
T02010157
METAR KOGA 161620Z AUTO 04005KT 10SM OVC013 20/16 A3007 RMK AO2
T01960156
METAR KOGA 161555Z AUTO 04005KT 10SM OVC011 19/16 A3007 RMK AO2
T01900155
METAR KIML 161553Z AUTO 01006KT 10SM OVC012 19/16 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP154
T01890156
METAR KIML 161453Z AUTO 01012KT 10SM BKN010 OVC022 19/16 A3007 RMK AO2
SLP154 T01890156 50011
SPECI KIML 161443Z AUTO 36011KT 10SM BKN010 OVC022 19/16 A3007 RMK AO2
CIG 008V013 T01890156
KMCK 161120Z 1612/1712 04009KT P6SM OVC007
FM161400 04011KT P6SM OVC015
FM162100 05012KT P6SM BKN035
FM170200 04013G22KT P6SM BKN015 PROB30 1706/1709 4SM -TSRA
OVC015CB
FM171000 06008KT P6SM BKN005
METAR KMCK 161553Z AUTO 02011KT 10SM OVC019 20/16 A3003 RMK AO2 SLP149
T02000161
METAR KMCK 161453Z AUTO 03014KT 10SM OVC016 20/16 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP136
T02000161 51008
METAR KMCK 161353Z AUTO 01013KT 10SM OVC015 19/16 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP134
T01940161
North Platte Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1122 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 620 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
For the KLBF terminal: Expect IFR ceilings this morning around
700 FT AGL, lifting to MVFR ceilings of 1200 to 2500 FT AGL this
afternoon. Skies will remain cloudy tonight with ceilings
falling back to around 1500 FT AGL overnight. For the KVTN
terminal: IFR ceilings of 400 to 700 FT AGL will continue this
morning before increasing to 1300 to 2000 FT AGL this
afternoon. Ceilings will increase further to 3000 to 5000 FT AGL
before falling to 1500 FT AGL overnight tonight. Some patchy
fog will impact the terminal through 15z this morning with
visibilities as low as 4 miles.
* * * * * Kansas * * * * *
KGLD 161526Z 1615/1712 04014G21KT P6SM OVC007
FM161800 02011KT P6SM OVC015
FM161900 06012G20KT P6SM SCT045
FM170200 05011G25KT P6SM BKN020 PROB30 1702/1705 3SM TSRA
OVC015CB
FM170600 09010KT P6SM OVC005
SPECI KGLD 161634Z AUTO 03013KT 10SM OVC011 19/16 A3006 RMK AO2
T01890156
METAR KGLD 161553Z AUTO 03017G22KT 10SM OVC009 18/16 A3005 RMK AO2
SLP133 T01780156
METAR KGLD 161453Z AUTO 04014G21KT 10SM OVC007 17/16 A3005 RMK AO2
SLP137 T01720156 51013
KGCK 161120Z 1612/1712 19010KT P6SM FEW250
FM161500 24009KT P6SM BKN120 PROB30 1622/1702 4SM -TSRA
BKN040CB
FM170200 09010KT 6SM -TSRA OVC035CB
FM170600 02011KT P6SM OVC010
METAR KGCK 161554Z 02010KT 9SM CLR 26/19 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP104
T02560194
METAR KGCK 161454Z 27008KT 8SM CLR 25/19 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP099 T02500189
53012
METAR KGCK 161354Z 20009KT 10SM CLR 24/19 A2992 RMK AO2 SLP093
T02390189
METAR KLBL 161556Z AUTO 22010KT 10SM CLR 29/19 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP103
T02940194 PNO $
METAR KLBL 161456Z AUTO 21015KT 10SM CLR 27/19 A2995 RMK AO2 SLP104
6//// T02720189 51008 PNO $
METAR KLBL 161356Z AUTO 20013KT 10SM CLR 25/19 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP102
T02500189 PNO $
METAR KEHA 161635Z AUTO 36012KT 10SM CLR 28/17 A3002 RMK AO2
T02770170
METAR KEHA 161615Z AUTO 35011KT 10SM CLR 27/17 A3002 RMK AO2
T02710170
METAR KEHA 161555Z AUTO 35014KT 10SM CLR 28/17 A3002 RMK AO2
T02760172
Dodge City (KDDC) 07/16/25 16:36 UTC
Radar VAD winds Height Dir/Spd(kt)
16000 FT MSL...014/012
15000 FT MSL...020/009
14000 FT MSL...358/009
13900 FT MSL...357/008
13000 FT MSL...345/009
12000 FT MSL...347/003
11700 FT MSL...053/002
11000 FT MSL...156/007
10000 FT MSL...141/008
9800 FT MSL...133/008
9000 FT MSL...161/011
8300 FT MSL...177/012
8000 FT MSL...192/014
7100 FT MSL...207/018
7000 FT MSL...203/017
6000 FT MSL...217/017
5900 FT MSL...218/017
5100 FT MSL...221/013
5000 FT MSL...224/013
4300 FT MSL...224/010
4000 FT MSL...229/010
3700 FT MSL...233/009
3200 FT MSL...227/011
3000 FT MSL...227/011
3000 FT MSL...227/011
Goodland Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1637 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1033 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
MVFR ceilings are forecast to continue for the majority of the
day in wake of a cold frontal passage this morning. So peaks of
some are possible during the mid to late afternoon hours
however. With the quicker movement of the front do think that
any severe threat has shifted to the south of each terminal;
however the threat for storms still remains for KGLD but may be
dependent on how far south the front sags and if any northward
moving outflow can emanate from a cluster of storms to the south
of the terminal. So will maintain the PROB30 for now; still
can`t completely rule out some showers or isolated storms for
KMCK but confidence is not at 30% to warrant a PROB30. Strong
signal for more stratus to develop behind the rain along with
some fog potential as well, currently favoring the KGLD terminal
for the fog.
Dodge City Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1005 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 503 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Main focus this morning will be on chance for thunderstorms
today and early tonight followed by low clouds (IFR conditions)
spreading into southwest Kansas after midnight behind a cold
frontal passage.
A stalled surface boundary across southwest Kansas will be the
primary forcing mechanism for afternoon thunderstorms developing
after 2 PM. Short term models are coming into better agreement
that this boundary will likely be located south of Hays, between
Dodge City and Garden City, by late today. This results in a
30% chance of thunderstorms at these TAF sites this afternoon. A
higher chance (60-80%) of thunderstorms is expected across all
of southwest Kansas after 00Z Thursday. This is due to an upper
level trough exiting the Rockies and crossing western Kansas.
BUFR soundings, HREF ceiling probabilities, and LAMP guidance
all indicate VFR conditions today, with VFR ceilings developing
this afternoon (9000 to 15000ft AGL). Ceilings are expected to
lower to 2500 to 4000 ft AGL after 00Z Thursday. After 06Z there
is a greater than 60% chance of ceilings falling below 1000 ft
AGL as gusty north winds develop behind a cold frontal passage.
* * * * * Texas/Oklahoma * * * * *
KGUY 161120Z 1612/1712 20010KT P6SM FEW250
FM170000 14010KT P6SM FEW230 PROB30 1700/1703 4SM TSRA BR
BKN230CB
FM170400 09009KT 6SM -TSRA BR BKN120CB
FM170600 01009KT 6SM SHRA BR BKN080 PROB30 1706/1712 4SM TSRA
BR OVC025CB=
METAR KGUY 161553Z AUTO 23013KT 10SM CLR 31/17 A2994 RMK AO2 SLP081
T03060172
METAR KGUY 161453Z AUTO 21015KT 10SM CLR 27/17 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP083
T02720172 51006
METAR KGUY 161353Z AUTO 22012KT 10SM CLR 25/17 A2993 RMK AO2 SLP082
T02500167
KDHT 161120Z 1612/1712 20009KT P6SM FEW250
FM170100 15009KT P6SM SCT240 PROB30 1701/1704 4SM TSRA BR
BKN240CB
FM170400 05009KT P6SM SCT120 PROB30 1710/1712 4SM TSRA BR
OVC025CB
METAR KDHT 161553Z AUTO 23010KT 10SM CLR 28/17 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP096
T02830167
METAR KDHT 161453Z AUTO 23013KT 10SM CLR 26/17 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP097
T02610167 51005
METAR KDHT 161353Z AUTO 23008KT 10SM CLR 23/17 A3001 RMK AO2 SLP097
T02280167
Amarillo Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1058 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 449 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025
VFR conditions expected to prevail through 00Z Thursday for KDHT
and KGUY, 06Z Thursday for KAMA. During the overnight period
thunderstorm chances increase after 00Z Thu mainly across the
northern combined OK/TX Panhandle. Conditions from heavy rain and
even low clouds going into 12Z tomorrow may fall to IFR even LIFR
are times. Winds will should remain southerly until a
front/outflow boundary move in from the north along with the
thunderstorm activity bringing winds to the north to easterly.
Some of the storms may be strong to severe with torrential
rainfall.
* * * * * New Mexico * * * * *
KFMN 161137Z 1612/1712 09007KT P6SM FEW200
FM161900 28011G19KT P6SM SCT150 BKN200 PROB30 1702/1706
VRB15G25KT -SHRA BKN120
FM170600 08010KT P6SM FEW120 BKN200
METAR KFMN 161553Z 12004KT 10SM CLR 26/05 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP127 T02560050
$
METAR KFMN 161453Z 13003KT 10SM CLR 23/06 A3013 RMK AO2 SLP129 T02330061
51008 $
METAR KFMN 161353Z 09006KT 10SM CLR 20/06 A3012 RMK AO2 SLP128 T02000056
$
KLVS 161137Z 1612/1712 02006KT P6SM FEW200
FM161700 14009KT P6SM FEW120
TEMPO 1620/1623 VRB20G35KT -TSRA BKN080CB
FM170200 07010KT P6SM BKN100 BKN200 PROB30 1703/1706
VRB15G25KT -SHRA BKN040
FM170600 03011KT P6SM BKN060 AMD NOT SKED
METAR KLVS 161553Z AUTO 10SM CLR 24/ A3020 RMK AO2 SLP106 T0244 $
METAR KLVS 161453Z AUTO 10SM CLR 21/ A3020 RMK AO2 SLP106 T0211 51008
$
METAR KLVS 161353Z AUTO 10SM CLR 18/ A3020 RMK AO2 SLP109 T0178 $
METAR KRTN 161553Z AUTO 05008KT 10SM CLR 26/13 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP103
T02610128
METAR KRTN 161453Z AUTO 05010KT 10SM CLR 23/12 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP102
T02330117 50005
METAR KRTN 161353Z AUTO 07006KT 10SM CLR 18/10 A3015 RMK AO2 SLP117
T01780100
METAR KCAO 161555Z AUTO 00000KT 10SM CLR 28/13 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP100
T02830133
METAR KCAO 161455Z AUTO 25008KT 10SM CLR 25/14 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP105
T02500139 51007
METAR KCAO 161355Z AUTO 24010KT 10SM CLR 23/14 A3006 RMK AO2 SLP099
T02330144
Albuquerque Aviation Discussion
Issued at 1147 UTC Wednesday, July 16, 2025
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 538 AM MDT Wed Jul 16 2025
Light winds and VFR conditions will prevail this morning. Storms
will develop over the high terrain of western and northern NM
around 18Z and increase in coverage through the afternoon. Storm
motion will be slow and erratic, driven mainly by outflow
boundaries. Gusts of 30 to 40 kts will be commonplace with these
outflow boundaries. A backdoor front will intrude from the
northeast around 00Z, surging south and westward overnight. Storms
may initiate along the boundary and continue past 06Z in the
northeast quadrant of the state. Gusty east winds (20 to 35 kts)
are likely at KABQ at the tail end of the TAF period from this
backdoor front as it surges through the gaps of the central
mountain chain.
* * * * * Winds and Temperatures Aloft Forecasts * * * * *
DATA BASED ON 161200Z
VALID 161800Z FOR USE 1700-2100Z. TEMPS NEG ABV 24000
FT 3000 6000 9000 12000 18000 24000 30000 34000 39000
SLC 9900 2411+17 2520+10 2621-10 2715-22 300937 251445 253253
BCE 2609+10 2611-09 2416-21 232735 234243 254252
LND 2110+10 2626+08 2831-09 2727-22 283138 263545 264054
RKS 2609 2719+09 2833-10 2626-21 262837 254046 264453
GJT 2708+19 2715+11 2617-08 2521-21 233936 254344 254652
FMN 2909+18 3410+11 2105-08 2412-19 242733 253942 263954
ABQ 3305+18 0208+12 9900-08 2113-17 221932 242142 301954
MBW 9900 2618+08 2630-10 2538-21 254736 255346 265353
DEN 2208+15 2507+11 2520-08 2629-20 253535 264144 264253
PUB 2605+16 2305+11 2510-07 2516-19 242334 272844 263153
ALS 9900+11 2306-07 2314-19 242933 264043 273253
TCC 2008 1909+18 9900+11 9900-07 2212-16 251632 282342 281754
BFF 1105 9900+09 2719+08 2633-09 2543-21 255336 265345 265352
GLD 0513 1706+18 2312+10 2516-07 2425-18 242335 272644 263353
GCK 9900+19 1915+18 2010+10 2305-07 2213-18 231734 262243 272653
GAG 2312+21 9900+15 9900+09 9900-05 2312-16 261233 261542 271653
AMA 2010 2405+16 0706+09 9900-06 2308-15 281832 302842 261653
---------------------------------------------------------------------
DATA BASED ON 161200Z
VALID 170000Z FOR USE 2100-0600Z. TEMPS NEG ABV 24000
FT 3000 6000 9000 12000 18000 24000 30000 34000 39000
SLC 9900 3012+19 2920+11 2624-08 2514-21 290936 281845 262654
BCE 3014+12 2810-08 2216-20 224233 234442 243852
LND 9900+12 2515+10 2725-09 2722-21 263337 263946 254554
RKS 2417 2919+11 2920-09 2820-21 243335 234045 254155
GJT 3315+20 2913+12 2415-07 2523-19 244534 245244 254653
FMN 2913+22 3011+13 9900-07 1912-18 242832 243942 252453
ABQ 9900+22 9900+13 1706-06 2310-17 232031 222042 270854
MBW 9900 2807+10 2736-09 2733-20 273936 264845 254752
DEN 1415+14 0906+08 3034-07 2545-19 246033 246143 245153
PUB 1410+15 2217+10 2415-07 2523-17 263731 264241 284253
ALS 2405+11 2319-06 2523-16 252732 252942 263154
TCC 1611 1711+20 1809+11 3206-06 2708-15 242131 242342 232255
BFF 1216 1615+10 2710+07 2824-09 2848-20 256435 256945 266653
GLD 0913 9900+17 2408+11 2712-07 2521-19 263834 264143 264752
GCK 1119+22 1716+16 2311+11 2409-06 2621-17 283933 273943 273653
GAG 1612+23 9900+15 0207+10 9900-05 2716-16 282932 283343 263054
AMA 1511 1610+17 9900+09 3105-05 2708-15 261931 272642 272455
---------------------------------------------------------------------
DATA BASED ON 161200Z
VALID 171200Z FOR USE 0600-1700Z. TEMPS NEG ABV 24000
FT 3000 6000 9000 12000 18000 24000 30000 34000 39000
SLC 9900 2211+18 2415+11 2918-09 2709-21 251136 252745 253453
BCE 3409+10 1209-08 2314-19 223633 224243 243753
LND 2817+15 2930+10 2923-08 2930-21 273938 265046 275354
RKS 2821 2725+10 2916-07 2917-20 262936 264245 264654
GJT 2405+16 9900+10 3008-08 2518-19 244733 245443 254653
FMN 3511+15 9900+11 1918-08 2116-17 212032 203042 212254
ABQ 1009+17 2006+10 1915-06 2119-17 192131 192542 182854
MBW 2522 2731+09 2822-07 2922-20 263736 265545 265555
DEN 2706+16 3011+10 3020-07 2731-18 265133 245843 245454
PUB 2011+12 2709+09 3014-06 2626-17 242732 223242 223955
ALS 2707+10 2909-06 2521-17 222132 222642 213254
TCC 1007 2608+17 2612+10 9900-06 2213-16 201631 202042 212654
BFF 1822 2220+12 2614+08 2715-09 2825-20 264735 266544 256554
GLD 2106 2110+13 9900+08 3217-06 2825-18 263732 254142 234855
GCK 2610+17 2326+12 2228+07 2613-07 3026-15 282631 262641 243855
GAG 2515+20 9900+13 2005+07 2312-05 2912-16 282330 272841 252254
AMA 2520 2307+16 2605+08 2406-05 2109-16 261030 231442 232254
---------------------------------------------------------------------
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