Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
392 FXUS64 KBRO 120447 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1047 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, CLIMATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 923 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025 -Life-threatening rip currents are expected along the lower Texas coast into next week. -Breezy, warm, and dry conditions persist across Deep South Texas into next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 923 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025 A deep 500mb trough across the Great Lakes and eastern CONUS gradually swings into New England into the weekend, with high pressure building across Deep South Texas. Low pressure drops down the Pacific coast and rolls northeast into the Southern Plains by Sunday night. Breezy southerly winds persist every afternoon into next week due to the strengthened pressure gradient. The chance of rain remains very low to near zero with well above normal highs and lows Wednesday into next week. Forecast highs may approach record highs across the RGV Saturday through Tuesday. A cold front approaches, but stalls north of Deep South Texas early next week. RH values across Zapata, Jim Hogg, and Starr county drop below 30 percent Wednesday afternoon, with 20 foot winds generally under 15 mph and gusts under 20 mph. Will continue to message wildfire prevention without issuing a Fire Danger Statement at this time. Life-threatening rip currents are expected along the lower Texas coast. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 923 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025 VFR conditions prevail through the TAF period with breezy southeasterly winds returning Wednesday morning into Wednesday evening. && .MARINE... Issued at 923 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025 Breezy southeasterly winds persist each afternoon into next week due to a strong pressure gradient. SCEC to borderline SCA conditions are possible nearly every day, especially across the bay. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 923 PM CST Tue Nov 11 2025 Daily record high temperatures may be approached, tied, or broken across the RGV Saturday through Tuesday. Brownsville Record Highs Sat, Nov 15...90/1989 Sun, Nov 16...91/2011 Mon, Nov 17...91/2015 Tue, Nov 18...92/2024 Harlingen Record Highs Sat, Nov 15...92/1951 Sun, Nov 16...93/2011 Mon, Nov 17...92/1938 Tue, Nov 18...91/2024 McAllen Record Highs Sat, Nov 15...94/1951 Sun, Nov 16...93/2011 Mon, Nov 17...92/2024 Tue, Nov 18...96/2024 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 59 85 67 86 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 56 86 60 87 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 59 87 64 89 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 53 89 60 90 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 66 80 73 81 / 0 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 61 84 66 84 / 0 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM CST Wednesday for GMZ150-155-175. && $$ SHORT TERM...56-Hallman LONG TERM....56-Hallman AVIATION...56-Hallman