Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
731 FXUS64 KBRO 160430 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1030 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, CLIMATE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1029 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025 - Breezy, warm, and dry conditions will continue across Deep South Texas through mid week. - There is a medium, 30 to 40 percent, chance of rain Thursday into Friday with the passage of the next cold front. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1029 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025 Mid level ridging over Deep South Texas will move eastward mid to late week. This will result in rain-free conditions and above normal temperatures across region through at least Wednesday. The unseasonably temperatures may lead to record or near record high temperatures across the area Sunday through Thursday. Highs will be in the low to mid 90s, except for the 80s near the coast, each day under partly cloudy skies. Lows tonight are expected to fall in the 60s, except for the 70s along the beaches, will gradually increase into the upper 60s and into the 70s by early next week as low level moisture increases. Gusty southeast winds are expected each afternoon with a slight increase in winds Tuesday through Thursday as the pressure gradient strengthens. A 500mb trough approaching from the west on Thursday will bring a low to medium (20-50%) chance of rain/thunderstorms Thursday into Thursday night as a weak cold front may push into the region early Friday. Some slightly drier and cooler air may arrive by late week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1029 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025 Light southeast winds with some high clouds prevail across Deep South Texas late this evening. Winds are expected to continue to decrease through the overnight hours. Winds will increase mid to late morning becoming moderate to gusty in the afternoon. There is a low (10-20%) chance of some fog later tonight/near daybreak as winds become very light, especially at MFE. Otherwise, VFR conditions will continue for the next 24 hours. && .MARINE... Issued at 1029 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025 Moderate to breezy southeasterly winds will prevail each afternoon through late week due to an enhanced pressure gradient along the lower Texas coast. Exercise caution to borderline Small Craft Advisory conditions will be possible each day, especially Tuesday through Thursday. The next frontal boundary arrives Friday morning with winds briefly shifting to the north. && .CLIMATE... Issued at 1029 PM CST Sat Nov 15 2025 Well above normal temperatures may lead to record or near record high temperatures across the area Sunday through Thursday, especially at McAllen. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 85 69 88 72 / 0 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 87 64 90 68 / 0 0 0 0 MCALLEN 90 68 93 71 / 0 0 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 91 64 93 68 / 0 0 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 81 74 82 76 / 10 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 84 66 87 70 / 10 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...63-KC LONG TERM....63-KC AVIATION...63-KC