


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Issued by NWS Brownsville, TX
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
383 FXUS64 KBRO 141729 AFDBRO Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Brownsville TX 1229 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1220 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 High pressure is expected to dominate over the region this next week, bringing a typical summer hot and dry weather pattern to Deep South Texas. Little-to-no precipitation is expected anywhere throughout Deep South Texas between tonight through early next week, with mostly cloudy skies giving way to mostly sunny skies by the weekend. High temperatures are expected to gradually warm through the weekend from the mid-90s to the upper-90s/lower 100s. Low temperatures are expected to stay consistent in the mid to upper 70s. The heat risk throughout the week is expected to remain moderate. Due to slightly increased swell and wave heights, there is a moderate rip current risk at area beaches through tomorrow. Swimmers at area beaches will need to remain situationally aware for the presence of dangerous rip currents. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1220 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 VFR conditions are expected throughout the afternoon into the evening. Conditions could briefly drop to MVFR overnight into early morning but confidence is not high enough at this time to include into the forecast package. Winds should remain southeasterly and could become gusty around 20-21z. && .MARINE... Issued at 1220 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Low to moderate seas are expected throughout the week into early next week. Winds should remain south-southeasterly, briefly approaching Small Craft Exercise Caution criteria tomorrow and Wednesday afternoons. Wave heights are expected to remain low, between 2-4 feet. There is a low chance a disturbance could form in the eastern Gulf over the next week. Though no impacts to the Lower South Texas coast are expected at this time, if a disturbance does indeed form it could cause slightly rougher seas into next week for our area. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... BROWNSVILLE 80 93 79 94 / 10 0 0 0 HARLINGEN 77 95 76 96 / 10 10 0 0 MCALLEN 80 97 79 99 / 0 10 0 0 RIO GRANDE CITY 77 98 76 100 / 10 10 0 0 SOUTH PADRE ISLAND 80 87 80 87 / 10 0 0 0 BAYVIEW/PORT ISABEL 79 92 79 92 / 10 0 0 0 && .BRO WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...55-MM LONG TERM....55-MM AVIATION...55-MM