Avalanche Weather Guidance
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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387
FWUS41 KBTV 020808
AVGBTV

Avalanche Weather Guidance
National Weather Service Burlington VT
405 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026


...Smugglers Notch, VT (3370 ft)...

Date               Friday 10/02/26                         Saturday 10/03/26
Time (LT)          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08
                   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a

Cloud Cover        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   CL   CL   CL   CL   FW   SC
Cloud Cover (%)    90   90   90   85   80   45   30   40   45   10   20    5    5    5    5   20   30
Temperature        60   59   56   54   53   51   48   45   44   46   48   48   43   40   39   37   38
Max/Min Temp                           60                  44                  50                  36
Wind Dir            W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    E   SE   SE   SE
Wind (mph)         13    8    9   10   10    9    8    8    6    6    6    5    3    4    5    8   10
Wind Gust (mph)
Precip Prob (%)    80   90   30   10    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
Precip Type         R    R    R
6 Hour QPF                 0.40      0.06      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
12 Hour QPF                          0.46                0.00                0.00                0.00
 Low End QPF                         0.14                0.00                0.00                0.00
 High End QPF                        0.74                0.00                0.00                0.00
6 Hour Snow                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 Hour Snow                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 Low End Snow                         0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 High End Snow                        0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
6 Hour Ice                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     0    0    0    0    1    1    2    2    2    2    1    1    1    1    2    2    2

Date               Sun 10/04/26   Mon 10/05/26        Tue 10/06/26        Wed 10/07/26        Thu 10/08/26
Time (LT)          14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20
                   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p

Cloud Cover        BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK
Cloud Cover (%)    55   55   60   70   60   60   35   35   35   20   15   15   20   35   40   55   55   55
Temperature        55   50   47   46   45   42   36   35   39   38   32   33   48   45   42   42   53   50
Max/Min Temp            55        46        48        33        42        31        51        40        56
Wind Dir            S    S    S    W    W    W    W    W   NW    W    W    S   SW    S    S    S   SW    S
Wind (mph)         12   12   17   14   17   33   34   31   19   16    9    8    9   17   19   14   11   14
Wind Gust (mph)              34
Precip Prob (%)     0   10   40   50   40   20    5    0    0    0    0    0    0   10   10    5   10   40
Precip Type                   R    R    R    S                                                           R
12 Hour QPF           0.00      0.01
12 Hour Snow           0.0       0.0
12 Hour Ice           0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     1    1    1   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM


...Mount Marcy, NY (5,344 ft)...

Date               Friday 10/02/26                         Saturday 10/03/26
Time (LT)          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08
                   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a

Cloud Cover        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC
Cloud Cover (%)    95   90   95   85   90   50   25   30   30   20   35   10   10   10   10   25   30
Temperature        54   51   48   46   44   42   41   39   37   43   46   45   38   37   37   36   37
Max/Min Temp                           54                  37                  47                  36
Wind Dir            W   NW    W    W   NW   NW   NW    N    N    N    N    N    E    E   SE   SE    S
Wind (mph)         26   17   18   17   21   20   18   16   12    6    5    4    8    6    6   10   17
Wind Gust (mph)
Precip Prob (%)    80   70   30   30    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
Precip Type         R    R    R    R
6 Hour QPF                 0.15      0.03      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
12 Hour QPF                          0.18                0.00                0.00                0.00
 Low End QPF                         0.02                0.00                0.00                0.00
 High End QPF                        0.49                0.00                0.00                0.00
6 Hour Snow                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 Hour Snow                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 Low End Snow                         0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 High End Snow                        0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
6 Hour Ice                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     0    0    0    0    2    2    3    3    2    2    2    2    1    1    2    2    2

Date               Sun 10/04/26   Mon 10/05/26        Tue 10/06/26        Wed 10/07/26        Thu 10/08/26
Time (LT)          14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20
                   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p

Cloud Cover        BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
Cloud Cover (%)    60   55   70   60   50   35   30   25   10   15   15    5   25   35   45   45   55   55
Temperature        46   46   44   40   38   35   31   29   33   31   28   30   45   42   40   40   48   45
Max/Min Temp            47        40        40        28        35        28        46        38        49
Wind Dir            S    S   SW    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
Wind (mph)         21   27   33   28   27   21   21   19   12   10    8    6    8   10   13   10   10   10
Wind Gust (mph)                             44   44   40
Precip Prob (%)     0   10   40   20   20    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5    5   10   30
Precip Type                   R    R    S                                                                R
12 Hour QPF           0.00      0.01
12 Hour Snow           0.0       0.0
12 Hour Ice           0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     2    1    2   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM


...Algonquin Peak, NY (5,114 ft)...

Date               Friday 10/02/26                         Saturday 10/03/26
Time (LT)          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08
                   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a

Cloud Cover        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   SC   FW   CL   FW   FW   FW   SC
Cloud Cover (%)    95   90   95   90   90   45   25   35   40   20   35   10    5    5   10   20   30
Temperature        56   53   52   50   47   45   43   41   39   45   49   49   41   39   38   37   37
Max/Min Temp                           56                  39                  50                  36
Wind Dir            W   NW    W   NW   NW   NW    N    N    N    N    N    N    E    E   SE   SE    S
Wind (mph)         16   11   12   12   14   16    6    6    5    4    4    3    3    3    3    5   10
Wind Gust (mph)
Precip Prob (%)    90   70   30   30    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
Precip Type         R    R    R    R
6 Hour QPF                 0.17      0.03      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
12 Hour QPF                          0.20                0.00                0.00                0.00
 Low End QPF                         0.04                0.00                0.00                0.00
 High End QPF                        0.51                0.00                0.00                0.00
6 Hour Snow                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 Hour Snow                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 Low End Snow                         0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 High End Snow                        0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
6 Hour Ice                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     0    0    0    0    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1    2    2    1

Date               Sun 10/04/26   Mon 10/05/26        Tue 10/06/26        Wed 10/07/26        Thu 10/08/26
Time (LT)          14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20
                   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p

Cloud Cover        BK   BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
Cloud Cover (%)    60   50   70   60   55   35   25   25   10   15   10    5   25   30   40   50   50   55
Temperature        50   48   46   42   41   37   33   30   37   34   30   31   48   44   41   41   51   47
Max/Min Temp            51        41        42        29        38        29        50        39        53
Wind Dir            S    S   SW    W    W    W   NW   NW    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
Wind (mph)         12   13   17   12   14   18   19   16   10    6    4    4    6    8   10    6    8    8
Wind Gust (mph)
Precip Prob (%)     0   10   40   30   20    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5    5   10   30
Precip Type                   R    R    R                                                                R
12 Hour QPF           0.00      0.01
12 Hour Snow           0.0       0.0
12 Hour Ice           0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     1    1    1   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM


...Whiteface Mountain, NY (4,867 ft)...

Date               Friday 10/02/26                         Saturday 10/03/26
Time (LT)          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08
                   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a

Cloud Cover        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   SC   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   CL   CL   FW   FW   SC
Cloud Cover (%)    95   90   90   85   85   40   25   30   25   20   25   10    0    5    5   25   40
Temperature        55   52   50   47   45   45   42   41   39   44   46   45   39   38   37   38   38
Max/Min Temp                           55                  39                  47                  37
Wind Dir            W    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    E   SE   SE    S    S
Wind (mph)         18   18   17   16   17   16   10    8    6    4    4    4    4    3    4    5   11
Wind Gust (mph)
Precip Prob (%)    90   60   30   30    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
Precip Type         R    R    R    R
6 Hour QPF                 0.24      0.03      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
12 Hour QPF                          0.27                0.00                0.00                0.00
 Low End QPF                         0.02                0.00                0.00                0.00
 High End QPF                        0.57                0.00                0.00                0.00
6 Hour Snow                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 Hour Snow                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 Low End Snow                         0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 High End Snow                        0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
6 Hour Ice                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     0    0    0    0    2    2    3    3    3    3    2    2    1    1    2    2    2

Date               Sun 10/04/26   Mon 10/05/26        Tue 10/06/26        Wed 10/07/26        Thu 10/08/26
Time (LT)          14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20
                   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p

Cloud Cover        BK   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   BK   BK   BK
Cloud Cover (%)    60   50   65   65   50   40   25   30   15   10   10   10   25   35   40   55   55   55
Temperature        50   46   47   42   39   36   34   31   35   32   31   32   46   42   43   42   49   45
Max/Min Temp            50        42        42        31        37        30        48        40        51
Wind Dir            S    S   SW    W    W    W    W    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
Wind (mph)         12   19   25   19   16   27   28   21   12   11    9    9    6   13   16   12    9   12
Wind Gust (mph)
Precip Prob (%)     0    5   40   30   20    5    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5    5   10   30
Precip Type                   R    R    S                                                                R
12 Hour QPF           0.00      0.00
12 Hour Snow           0.0       0.0
12 Hour Ice           0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     1    1    2   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM


...Dix Mountain, NY (4,857 ft)...

Date               Friday 10/02/26                         Saturday 10/03/26
Time (LT)          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08
                   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a

Cloud Cover        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC
Cloud Cover (%)    90   90   95   85   85   40   20   20   20   15   35   25   10    5   10   30   30
Temperature        57   54   53   51   48   47   44   42   40   46   49   49   41   39   38   37   37
Max/Min Temp                           57                  40                  51                  37
Wind Dir            W   NW    W   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    N    N    N   NE   NE   NE   SE    S    S
Wind (mph)         20   11    8   11   18   19   13   11    9    5    4    4    5    4    4    5   11
Wind Gust (mph)
Precip Prob (%)    80   70   20   20    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
Precip Type         R    R    R    R
6 Hour QPF                 0.09      0.02      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
12 Hour QPF                          0.11                0.00                0.00                0.00
 Low End QPF                         0.00                0.00                0.00                0.00
 High End QPF                        0.45                0.00                0.00                0.00
6 Hour Snow                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 Hour Snow                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 Low End Snow                         0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 High End Snow                        0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
6 Hour Ice                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     0    0    0    0    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1    2    2    2

Date               Sun 10/04/26   Mon 10/05/26        Tue 10/06/26        Wed 10/07/26        Thu 10/08/26
Time (LT)          14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20
                   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p

Cloud Cover        BK   BK   BK   BK   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
Cloud Cover (%)    60   50   70   55   45   30   25   20   10   10   10    5   25   30   40   40   50   50
Temperature        49   47   45   43   43   38   32   30   38   34   29   30   48   43   41   40   51   47
Max/Min Temp            50        43        44        30        40        29        50        38        53
Wind Dir            S    S   SW    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
Wind (mph)         14   19   24   18   18   19   19   16   10    6    5    5    6   10   12    9    9    9
Wind Gust (mph)                             39   37   33
Precip Prob (%)     0    5   30   10   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5    0   10   20
Precip Type                   R                                                                          R
12 Hour QPF           0.00      0.00
12 Hour Snow           0.0       0.0
12 Hour Ice           0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     1    1    1   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM


...Mount Colden, NY (4,715 ft)...

Date               Friday 10/02/26                         Saturday 10/03/26
Time (LT)          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08
                   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a

Cloud Cover        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   SC   SC   SC   SC   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC
Cloud Cover (%)    95   90   95   85   90   50   25   40   40   20   35   10   10   10   15   25   30
Temperature        55   52   51   48   45   44   42   40   38   45   48   47   39   38   37   37   37
Max/Min Temp                           55                  38                  49                  36
Wind Dir            W   NW    W   NW   NW   NW    N    N    N    N    N    N    E    E   SE   SE    S
Wind (mph)         19   12   13   14   18   18   11   10    8    5    4    4    4    4    5    6   14
Wind Gust (mph)
Precip Prob (%)    80   70   30   30    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
Precip Type         R    R    R    R
6 Hour QPF                 0.17      0.03      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
12 Hour QPF                          0.20                0.00                0.00                0.00
 Low End QPF                         0.02                0.00                0.00                0.00
 High End QPF                        0.49                0.00                0.00                0.00
6 Hour Snow                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 Hour Snow                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 Low End Snow                         0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 High End Snow                        0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
6 Hour Ice                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     0    0    0    0    1    1    2    2    2    2    2    2    1    1    2    2    2

Date               Sun 10/04/26   Mon 10/05/26        Tue 10/06/26        Wed 10/07/26        Thu 10/08/26
Time (LT)          14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20
                   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p

Cloud Cover        BK   BK   OV   BK   BK   SC   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   BK   BK
Cloud Cover (%)    65   50   70   65   55   40   30   25   15   15   15    5   25   35   45   50   55   55
Temperature        50   45   45   42   40   36   32   29   36   32   29   30   47   42   41   40   50   45
Max/Min Temp            50        42        42        29        37        28        48        39        51
Wind Dir            S    S   SW    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW   NW    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
Wind (mph)         17   21   25   17   18   23   23   19   13   10    8    8    9   11   13   10   11   11
Wind Gust (mph)                             40   40
Precip Prob (%)     0   10   40   20   20    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5    5   10   30
Precip Type                   R    R    R                                                                R
12 Hour QPF           0.00      0.01
12 Hour Snow           0.0       0.0
12 Hour Ice           0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     1    1    2   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM


...Mount Colvin, NY (4,080 ft)...

Date               Friday 10/02/26                         Saturday 10/03/26
Time (LT)          08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08   11   14   17   20   23   02   05   08
                   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a   11a  2p   5p   8p   11p  2a   5a   8a

Cloud Cover        OV   OV   OV   OV   OV   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   SC
Cloud Cover (%)    90   90   95   85   85   35   15   10   15   10   30   20   10    5   10   25   30
Temperature        61   59   59   56   53   50   47   43   42   49   52   52   45   42   40   38   39
Max/Min Temp                           61                  42                  54                  37
Wind Dir            W   NW    W   NW   NW   NW    N    N    N    N    N   NE   NE    N    N    S    S
Wind (mph)         10    5    4    5    8    6    4    4    4    3    4    3    2    0    0    1    3
Wind Gust (mph)    27
Precip Prob (%)    80   60   20   20    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    0
Precip Type         R    R    R    R
6 Hour QPF                 0.08      0.02      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
12 Hour QPF                          0.10                0.00                0.00                0.00
 Low End QPF                         0.00                0.00                0.00                0.00
 High End QPF                        0.44                0.00                0.00                0.00
6 Hour Snow                 0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0       0.0
12 Hour Snow                          0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 Low End Snow                         0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
 High End Snow                        0.0                 0.0                 0.0                 0.0
6 Hour Ice                 0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     0    0    0    0    1    1    1    1    2    2    1    1    1    1    2    2    1

Date               Sun 10/04/26   Mon 10/05/26        Tue 10/06/26        Wed 10/07/26        Thu 10/08/26
Time (LT)          14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20   02   08   14   20
                   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p   2a   8a   2p   8p

Cloud Cover        BK   SC   BK   BK   SC   SC   FW   FW   FW   FW   FW   CL   FW   SC   SC   SC   SC   SC
Cloud Cover (%)    55   50   65   55   40   30   25   20   10   10   10    5   25   30   40   40   50   50
Temperature        52   49   46   44   46   40   34   31   41   36   30   31   51   45   42   41   54   49
Max/Min Temp            53        44        46        30        42        30        52        39        55
Wind Dir            S    S   SW    W    W   NW   NW   NW   NW    W    W    W   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW   SW
Wind (mph)          9    8    9   10   12   13   13   11    8    4    2    3    5    5    6    5    8    5
Wind Gust (mph)              26             34   35   29
Precip Prob (%)     0    5   30   10   10    5    0    0    0    0    0    0    0    5    5    0   10   20
Precip Type                   R                                                                          R
12 Hour QPF           0.00      0.00
12 Hour Snow           0.0       0.0
12 Hour Ice           0.00      0.00
Snow Ratio (:1)     1    1    1   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM   MM

$$

--- Precip Type Codes ---

CODE   TYPE
 T     Thunderstorms
 R     Rain
 S     Snow
 I     Sleet
 Z     Freezing Rain