Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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359
FNUS51 KBTV 120711
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

...Breezy Winds Today, Rain Arriving Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions are expected to continue for much of the day today,
with increasing cloud cover ahead of our next chances for
precipitation. Breezy easterly winds are expected across southern
Vermont today, with gusts up to 25 mph with localized higher
gusts the western slopes of the southern Greens. Minimum RH values
this afternoon will generally be between 40% and 50% this
afternoon. Breezy easterly winds will continue with downsloping
off the western slopes tonight, however, precipitation will arrive
late tonight into Monday, which should mitigate any fire weather
concern heading into Monday. Wetting rain between 0.5-1" is
expected in southern Vermont by Monday afternoon, with up to 0.25
inches in the Adirondacks and central Vermont. Much drier
conditions are expected near the international border and the St.
Lawrence Valley.

VTZ030-122030-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Columbus Day

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            40           50
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          66           43           56
20ftWnd AM(mph)       E  5                      NE  6 G18
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SE  7 G17    E  6         NE  7 G18
Precip amount         0.00         0.03         0.21
Precip duration                    2            9
Precip begin                       12 AM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          41           99           64
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            1
Mixing hgt            4440                      1620
Transport wnd (mph)   E 14                      NE 12
Ventilation rate      62160                     19440
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-122030-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Columbus Day

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            70           80
Precip type           None         Showers      Rain
Max/Min Temp          63           43           52
20ftWnd AM(mph)       E  6 G20                  NE 10 G27
20ftWnd PM(mph)       E 10 G21     E 10 G26     NE  9 G25
Precip amount         0.00         0.18         0.49
Precip duration                    5            9
Precip begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          50           100          80
Chance thunder (%)    0            1            2
Mixing hgt            3730                      2090
Transport wnd (mph)   E 18                      NE 16
Ventilation rate      67140                     33440
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-122030-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Columbus Day

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            70           70
Precip type           None         Showers      Rain
Max/Min Temp          60           41           51
20ftWnd AM(mph)       E  9 G25                  E 12 G35
20ftWnd PM(mph)       E 11 G25     E 11 G32     NE 11 G34
Precip amount         0.00         0.17         0.50
Precip duration                    5            9
Precip begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          52           100          83
Chance thunder (%)    0            1            2
Mixing hgt            3340                      1980
Transport wnd (mph)   E 20                      E 18
Ventilation rate      66800                     35640
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-122030-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Columbus Day

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            40           60
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          64           41           53
20ftWnd AM(mph)       E  5 G17                  NE  6 G20
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SE  8 G20    E  6 G21     NE  7 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.05         0.27
Precip duration                    1            9
Precip begin                       12 AM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          45           99           73
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            1
Mixing hgt            4200                      1710
Transport wnd (mph)   E 17                      E 14
Ventilation rate      71400                     23940
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-122030-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Columbus Day

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            30           50
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          63           40           54
20ftWnd AM(mph)       E  5 G19                  E  6 G20
20ftWnd PM(mph)       SE  8 G20    E  6 G20     E  7 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.12
Precip duration                    1            2
Precip begin                       1 AM         Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          43           89           57
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            1
Mixing hgt            4110                      1830
Transport wnd (mph)   E 18                      E 15
Ventilation rate      73980                     27450
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-122030-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Columbus Day

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            30           50
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          64           41           56
20ftWnd AM(mph)       Lgt/Var                   NE  7 G20
20ftWnd PM(mph)       E  8 G17     SE  6 G17    NE  8 G19
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.15
Precip duration                    2            9
Precip begin                       12 AM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          43           100          64
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            1
Mixing hgt            4280                      1770
Transport wnd (mph)   E 14                      NE 13
Ventilation rate      59920                     23010
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-122030-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Columbus Day

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            50           50
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          60           40           53
20ftWnd AM(mph)       E  6 G20                  E 10 G31
20ftWnd PM(mph)       E  9 G21     E  8 G25     NE 10 G29
Precip amount         0.00         0.04         0.22
Precip duration                    2            9
Precip begin                       11 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          46           100          77
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            1
Mixing hgt            3660                      1700
Transport wnd (mph)   E 16                      E 16
Ventilation rate      58560                     27200
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-122030-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Columbus Day

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            40           40
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          64           40           57
20ftWnd AM(mph)       E  5 G17                  E  7 G20
20ftWnd PM(mph)       E  8 G18     E  7 G19     E  8 G20
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.07
Precip duration                    1            2
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          38           100          66
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            1
Mixing hgt            4230                      1610
Transport wnd (mph)   E 16                      E 14
Ventilation rate      67680                     22540
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-122030-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
311 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Columbus Day

Cloud cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            30           30
Precip type           None         Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          68           42           59
20ftWnd AM(mph)       E  6 G17                  NE  8 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       E  9 G17     E  7 G17     NE  9 G21
Precip amount         0.00         0.01         0.02
Precip duration                    1            2
Precip begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          37           96           58
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            1
Mixing hgt            5070                      1720
Transport wnd (mph)   E 16                      NE 15
Ventilation rate      81120                     25800
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with rain likely. Lows in the mid 40s.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 60. North winds around
5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest
winds around 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Northwest
winds around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. North winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Northwest winds
around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Northwest
winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. West winds
around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$