Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS51 KBTV 161748
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

...Lighter Winds Through Saturday, Gusty on Sunday...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry weather will continue through the weekend. Compared to today
when we have seen frequent gusts of 25 to 32 MPH in much of the
Champlain Valley and central Vermont, winds will be notably
lighter tonight into tomorrow. Lowest relative humidities through
the next several days, falling to near 30%, are expected on
Saturday but winds will be light. Looking ahead to Sunday, we
will have increased fire weather concerns, especially during the
afternoon with increasingly strong southerly winds with a high
likelihood of gusts exceeding 25 MPH, especially in the western
Adirondacks and Champlain Valley.

VTZ030-170830-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          30           55           31           61
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N  6 G18                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  8 G27     N  8 G19     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          91           43           92           37
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3670                      2670
Transport wnd (mph)                N 14                      S  8
Ventilation rate                   51380                     21360
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-170830-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          31           57           28           63
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N  7 G18                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  9 G29     N  8 G19     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          87           41           95           35
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4120                      3230
Transport wnd (mph)                N 15                      W  5
Ventilation rate                   61800                     16150
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-170830-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          30           55           29           60
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N  7 G19                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N 10 G33     N  7 G19     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          86           45           90           36
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3640                      3020
Transport wnd (mph)                N 14                      W  5
Ventilation rate                   50960                     15100
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-170830-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          29           54           27           61
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N  5 G17                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  8 G28     N  6 G18     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          93           43           100          35
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4090                      3150
Transport wnd (mph)                N 14                      SW  5
Ventilation rate                   57260                     15750
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-170830-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          28           53           27           60
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  7 G26     N  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          97           45           100          35
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3980                      3160
Transport wnd (mph)                N 13                      SW  5
Ventilation rate                   51740                     15800
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-170830-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          27           56           30           60
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW  6 G17                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  8 G27     N  7 G17     Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          87           39           85           38
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3970                      2670
Transport wnd (mph)                N 12                      S  8
Ventilation rate                   47640                     21360
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-170830-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          24           54           27           61
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW  5 G17                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  9 G31     N  5         Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          88           38           88           38
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3870                      2500
Transport wnd (mph)                N 10                      SW  7
Ventilation rate                   38700                     17500
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-170830-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          23           52           28           62
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  6 G21     NW  5        Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          98           40           91           40
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3290                      2410
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     SW  8
Ventilation rate                   26320                     19280
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-170830-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
148 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            10
Precip type           None         None         None         Showers
Max/Min Temp          26           56           33           64
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration                                              0
Precip begin                                                 2 PM
Precip end                                                   Continuing
Humidity (%)          94           37           82           39
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         3860                      2910
Transport wnd (mph)                NW  8                     S  9
Ventilation rate                   30880                     26190
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 70. South winds around
10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
lower 50s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the
mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the
upper 50s. South winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows
in the lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 50s. West winds around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$