Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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FNUS51 KBTV 151811
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

...Gusty North Winds and Dry Conditions Thursday...

.DISCUSSION...
Drier air with abundant sunshine has returned to the region this
afternoon as relative humidities have dropped into the upper 30 to
mid 40 percent range as winds gust as high as 25 MPH in the the
Champlain Valley and central Vermont. Given further drying and
longer term extreme drought conditions, somewhat stronger peak
wind gusts above 25 MPH on Thursday will support fire weather
concerns, especially where a Special Weather Statement has been
issued. Terrain-driven convergence of low level north-northwest
winds favor strongest winds in the corridor from near Panton to
Castleton, Vermont, where frequent gusts will likely exceed 30
MPH.

VTZ030-160815-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          33           51           30           55
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N 14 G31                  N  7 G18
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  9 G26     N 15 G33     N  9 G24     N  8 G19
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          80           41           96           43
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         5170                      3930
Transport wnd (mph)                N 23                      N 14
Ventilation rate                   118910                    55020
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-160815-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          31           51           30           57
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N 11 G31                  N  7 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  8 G20     N 14 G34     N  9 G23     N  8 G19
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          84           41           93           40
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4680                      4400
Transport wnd (mph)                N 25                      N 15
Ventilation rate                   117000                    66000
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-160815-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          30           48           29           54
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW 12 G29                 NW  8 G26
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  9 G26    N 14 G28     N  9 G32     N  8 G19
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          89           45           94           44
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4190                      3970
Transport wnd (mph)                N 25                      N 14
Ventilation rate                   104750                    55580
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-160815-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          30           48           28           55
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N 11 G26                  N  5 G18
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  8 G23     N 13 G26     N  9 G21     N  7 G18
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          86           46           99           43
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4490                      4370
Transport wnd (mph)                N 23                      N 14
Ventilation rate                   103270                    61180
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-160815-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          29           47           28           54
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW 10 G24                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  8 G23     N 11 G24     N  8 G20     NW  5 G17
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          87           48           100          44
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4010                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)                N 22                      N 14
Ventilation rate                   88220                     60200
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-160815-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          29           52           28           56
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N 12 G27                  NW  6 G17
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  8 G24    N 13 G31     N  8 G25     N  7 G17
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          86           37           91           38
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         5260                      4220
Transport wnd (mph)                N 23                      N 12
Ventilation rate                   120980                    50640
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-160815-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          27           49           24           54
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW 11 G32                 NW  5 G19
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  9 G27    N 12 G27     N  8 G33     N  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          94           36           95           38
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4540                      4110
Transport wnd (mph)                N 23                      N 10
Ventilation rate                   104420                    41100
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-160815-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Mclear       Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          26           50           24           52
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW  9 G20                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  6        N 11 G21     N  5 G17     NW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          98           39           100          40
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4650                      3560
Transport wnd (mph)                N 22                      N 10
Ventilation rate                   102300                    35600
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-160815-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
211 PM EDT Wed Oct 15 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Mclear       Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          29           55           27           56
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW  8 G20                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  5        N 11 G20     N  5         Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          89           34           100          37
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         5320                      3930
Transport wnd (mph)                N 20                      NW  9
Ventilation rate                   106400                    35370
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 60. Northeast winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the lower
60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 40s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 50s. South winds around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$