Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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950
FNUS51 KBTV 251757
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

...Breezy Today with Wetting Rain Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...
Breezy southerly winds will bring gusts to 20 to 25 mph in the
Champlain Valley, with 10 to 15 mph winds elsewhere. Warming
weather is expected to continue tonight as a warm front pass
through the region. Minimum relative humidity values are expected
to remain at or above 50 percent. Rain will lift north overnight
with rainfall amounts of 0.10-0.4" expected through Wednesday.
Shower will become more scattered with drizzle tomorrow with
continued southerly light flow to 10 mph. Snow showers and gusty
winds in the St. Lawrence Valley are anticipated by Thursday as a
lake effect band develops. No fire weather concerns are expected.

VTZ030-260915-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           50           80           30
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          38           53           30           42
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  5 G17                  SW 16 G32
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  7 G23     S  6 G17     S  8 G24     SW 17 G33
Precip amount         0.21         0.06         0.14         0.01
Precip duration       7            2            6            1
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          84           99           51
Chance thunder (%)    1            3            7            2
Mixing hgt                         1020                      5810
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      SW 28
Ventilation rate                   10200                     162680
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-260915-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          30           60           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      None
Max/Min Temp          36           55           30           40
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   SW 14 G33
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  5         Lgt/Var      S  6 G25     SW 15 G33
Precip amount         0.30         0.06         0.06         0.00
Precip duration       7            2            5
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   4 AM
Humidity (%)          100          84           100          50
Chance thunder (%)    1            2            8            0
Mixing hgt                         1370                      5740
Transport wnd (mph)                S  9                      SW 29
Ventilation rate                   12330                     166460
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-260915-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud cover           Cloudy       Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          40           60           0
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      None
Max/Min Temp          36           53           27           38
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    S  5 G17                  SW 16 G34
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  6 G17     S  5 G18     SW  8 G24    SW 15 G33
Precip amount         0.36         0.08         0.10         0.00
Precip duration       8            2            5
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   4 AM
Humidity (%)          100          88           100          57
Chance thunder (%)    1            2            9            0
Mixing hgt                         1150                      5320
Transport wnd (mph)                S  9                      W 31
Ventilation rate                   10350                     164920
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-260915-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          50           80           10
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          34           51           28           39
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   SW 12 G31
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  5 G17     Lgt/Var      S  5 G21     SW 12 G32
Precip amount         0.28         0.06         0.11         0.00
Precip duration       7            2            6            1
Precip begin          7 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          88           100          55
Chance thunder (%)    1            2            8            2
Mixing hgt                         1030                      5380
Transport wnd (mph)                S  9                      SW 28
Ventilation rate                   9270                      150640
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-260915-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           50           80           10
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          33           47           28           38
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   SW  9 G28
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  5         Lgt/Var      S  5 G19     SW 10 G29
Precip amount         0.20         0.06         0.15         0.01
Precip duration       6            2            7            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          89           100          58
Chance thunder (%)    1            1            7            3
Mixing hgt                         840                       4980
Transport wnd (mph)                S  9                      SW 25
Ventilation rate                   7560                      124500
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-260915-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           60           70           30
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          34           52           28           42
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   SW 16 G36
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  5 G20     S  5 G17     SW  9 G33    SW 17 G36
Precip amount         0.19         0.06         0.07         0.01
Precip duration       6            3            5            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          85           99           52
Chance thunder (%)    1            3            6            2
Mixing hgt                         950                       5810
Transport wnd (mph)                S  9                      SW 31
Ventilation rate                   8550                      180110
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-260915-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          60           70           50
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Snow/Rain    Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          33           49           25           35
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   SW 15 G40
20ftWnd PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      S  6 G17     SW 11 G33    SW 16 G40
Precip amount         0.25         0.06         0.08         0.03
Precip duration       7            3            6            2
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          89           100          62
Chance thunder (%)    1            5            5            1
Mixing hgt                         1170                      5230
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 10                     SW 35
Ventilation rate                   11700                     183050
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-260915-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     100          60           80           60
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Snow/Rain    Snow Showers
Max/Min Temp          34           51           25           35
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   SW 16 G37
20ftWnd PM(mph)       S  5         S  5 G18     SW 10 G29    SW 16 G37
Precip amount         0.22         0.10         0.11         0.13
Precip duration       6            5            7            5
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          90           100          70
Chance thunder (%)    1            5            5            4
Mixing hgt                         1020                      4040
Transport wnd (mph)                S 10                      SW 32
Ventilation rate                   10200                     129280
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-260915-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
1257 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

                      Tonight      Wed          Wed Night    Thanksgiving Day

Cloud cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Chance precip (%)     90           80           90           70
Precip type           Showers      Showers      Showers      Showers
Max/Min Temp          36           53           29           38
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    Lgt/Var                   SW 19 G41
20ftWnd PM(mph)       Lgt/Var      SE  5 G20    SW 12 G34    SW 19 G40
Precip amount         0.22         0.14         0.10         0.11
Precip duration       7            8            7            10
Precip begin          6 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Humidity (%)          100          82           96           67
Chance thunder (%)    1            5            5            5
Mixing hgt                         1120                      4100
Transport wnd (mph)                S 13                      SW 31
Ventilation rate                   14560                     127100
KBDI                  <=200        <=200        <=200        <=200

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely. Areas of
blowing snow. Highs in the mid 30s. Southwest winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
in the mid 20s. West winds around 15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 30s. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow. Lows in
the lower 20s. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain likely. Highs around
40. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with rain likely and a chance of
snow. Lows in the upper 20s. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Highs in
the upper 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow.
Lows around 20. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain. Highs in
the lower 30s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$