Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6
991
FNUS51 KBTV 081743
FWFBTV

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central/Northern Vermont and
Northern New York
National Weather Service Burlington VT
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

...Cold with Low Relative Humidity, Especially Friday...

.DISCUSSION...

Outside parts of the St. Lawrence Valley along Route 11, almost
everyone received 0.67-1.75" of rain. From about Camels Hump
south, areas along and west received as much as 2-2.5". The rain
is much appreciated. Steady north winds at 7 to 15 mph with gusts
of 20 to 25 mph will prevail much of the day. Relative humidity
values have crept down to the mid 40 to 55 percent range.
Additional scattered showers are expected, which will help
minimize fire weather concerns.

The remainder of the period will shift back towards very dry
conditions. On Thursday, cool high temperatures of less than 55 F
will keep relative humidity values from falling too far. Minimum
relative humidity values will range between 30 and 40 percent.
There will remain abundant sunshine and another breezy day of 7 to
15 mph winds. The strength of gusts will likely not be as great,
with mostly 20 mph gusts. Friday will be the driest day with
relative humidity falling to 23 to 33 percent. The Champlain and
St. Lawrence Valley will switch to a south wind at 7 to 15 mph
with gusts approaching 20 again. So by Friday afternoon, these
conditions could pose fire weather concerns.

VTZ030-090815-
Champlain Valley of Vermont-
Including the cities of Burlington, Shelburne, Middlebury,
Vergennes, St. Albans, Swanton, Enosburg Falls, and Bristol
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        Mclear
Chance precip (%)     40           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          34           53           27           59
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N 10 G28                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N 11 G31     N  9 G21     Lgt/Var      S  6 G17
Precip amount         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          6 PM
Precip end            1 AM
Humidity (%)          87           37           98           30
Chance thunder (%)    4            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         5630                      3800
Transport wnd (mph)                N 17                      SW 13
Ventilation rate                   95710                     49400
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ033-035-090815-
Northern Taconics-Lower Connecticut Valley North-
Including the cities of Fair Haven, Rutland, Danby, Springfield,
White River Junction, and Woodstock
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        Clear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          33           54           26           61
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N  9 G20                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  8 G19     N  9 G20     Lgt/Var      SW  5
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          91           33           96           27
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         5500                      4320
Transport wnd (mph)                N 20                      SW 12
Ventilation rate                   110000                    51840
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ034-090815-
South Central Greens-
Including the cities of Ripton, East Wallingford, Killington,
Bethel, and Ludlow
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        Clear
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          31           51           26           58
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N  9 G24                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  9 G23    NW  8 G21    Lgt/Var      SW  5
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 PM
Precip end            12 AM
Humidity (%)          93           37           90           29
Chance thunder (%)    2            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         5050                      3820
Transport wnd (mph)                N 18                      SW 10
Ventilation rate                   90900                     38200
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ032-090815-
Central Vermont-
Including the cities of Richmond, Underhill, Johnson, Stowe,
Montpelier, Waitsfield, Starksboro, Bradford, Randolph,
and St. Johnsbury
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        Mclear
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          32           52           25           59
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N  7 G20                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  7 G20     NW  7 G20    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          6 PM
Precip end            12 AM
Humidity (%)          90           37           99           28
Chance thunder (%)    3            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         5810                      4150
Transport wnd (mph)                N 18                      SW 10
Ventilation rate                   104580                    41500
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ031-090815-
Northeast Kingdom-
Including the cities of Derby, Newport, Island Pond, Lunenburg,
and Hardwick
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          30           49           24           57
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW  7 G20                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       NW  7 G20    NW  6 G19    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          87           38           98           27
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         5800                      4110
Transport wnd (mph)                N 20                      SW 12
Ventilation rate                   116000                    49320
KBDI                  401-500      401-500      401-500      401-500

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ205-090815-
Champlain Valley of New York-
Including the cities of Champlain, Plattsburgh, Port Henry,
Ticonderoga, and Schroon Lake
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     30           0            0            0
Precip type           Showers      None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          30           54           26           60
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW  9 G26                 Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  9 G28     N  8 G20     Lgt/Var      S  6
Precip amount         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          6 PM
Precip end            12 AM
Humidity (%)          88           34           93           30
Chance thunder (%)    5            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         5670                      4560
Transport wnd (mph)                N 15                      SW 12
Ventilation rate                   85050                     54720
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ204-090815-
Adirondack High Peaks-
Including the cities of Lake Placid, Keene, Mount Van Hoevenberg,
Newcomb, and Wilmington
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Clear        Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          26           50           23           58
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N  7 G23                  Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N 10 G25     N  5 G18     Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          96           34           98           29
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4940                      4240
Transport wnd (mph)                N 15                      SW 12
Ventilation rate                   74100                     50880
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ203-090815-
Northern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Star Lake, Tupper Lake, Pauls Smiths,
and Wanakena
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Pcldy        Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          27           50           24           58
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    N  5                      Lgt/Var
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  7 G19     NW  5        Lgt/Var      SW  6
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          98           37           100          30
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4540                      4280
Transport wnd (mph)                N 13                      SW 13
Ventilation rate                   59020                     55640
KBDI                  201-300      201-300      201-300      201-300

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ202-090815-
St. Lawrence-
Including the cities of Massena, Norfolk, Fort Covington, Malone,
Ogdensburg, Potsdam, Brasher Falls, and Gouverneur
143 PM EDT Wed Oct 8 2025

                      Tonight      Thu          Thu Night    Fri

Cloud cover           Mclear       Clear        Mclear       Mclear
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0            0
Precip type           None         None         None         None
Max/Min Temp          30           53           29           60
20ftWnd AM(mph)                    NW  5                     S  5
20ftWnd PM(mph)       N  7 G19     NW  6        Lgt/Var      SW  7
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Humidity (%)          88           33           89           28
Chance thunder (%)    0            0            0            0
Mixing hgt                         4980                      4340
Transport wnd (mph)                N 10                      SW 14
Ventilation rate                   49800                     60760
KBDI                  301-400      301-400      301-400      301-400

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. South winds
around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. South winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. North winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. East winds
around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 60s. North winds
around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$