799
FNUS71 KBTV 141547
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Little Discovery Fire...NYSDEC Foresat Rangers
National Weather Service Burlington VT
1147 AM EDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 EDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms brought briefly heavy
rainfall to portions of the western Champlain Valley yesterday,
with 24 hour amounts ranging from a tenth to almost half an inch.
Another round of showers and thunderstorms is expected again
today. A few isolated showers will develop from now through mid-
afternoon, but precipitation chances decrease towards the late
afternoon by 5PM. Current radar shows a few showers already
bubbling up around the Elizabethtown area with some producing
lightning. Showers will push south of the Elizabethtown area
thereafter as a cold front crosses the region. Overall rainfall
totals through today will mainly be around a tenth to two-tenths
of an inch, but locally higher amounts are possible since
thunderstorms will be capable of producing periods of heavy
rainfall. Winds will remain out of the south prior to the frontal
passage, generally 6 to 12 mph, but they will turn to the west by
late afternoon after the front moves through. Thunderstorms will
also be capable of producing gusty winds. Once showers end late
this afternoon, a period of dry but seasonably hot weather is
expected through mid week. Minimum relative humidity values will
be around 50 percent Tuesday afternoon, with nighttime recovery to
around 80 percent.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the afternoon. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon. Slight chance
                    of showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph early in the afternoon
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 6 to 8 mph.
LAL.................

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  62  54  62  60  54
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).40  40  40  30  20  10
Temp............81  81  82  83  84  83
RH..............74  72  67  65  61  61
20 FT wind dir..SE  S   S   S   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   5   3   2
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 3.4 3.7 3.9 3.5 2.3
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   8   7   7   7   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 6 mph increasing to 5 to 8 mph in the
                    late evening and overnight.
LAL.................

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........57  66  57  64  48  27  24  11  9   9   10  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............82  81  78  76  74  73  71  70  69  69  68  67
RH..............58  58  69  71  74  73  76  76  76  73  70  73
20 FT wind dir..W   W   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.6   5   5   5   5   7   8   7   8   7   8   7

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 90.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 8 mph.
LAL.................

TIME (EDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........8            2            11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE         NONE         NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0            0            0
Temp............67           80           88
RH..............75           58           47
20 FT wind......SW 1G3       SE 1G5       SE 5G9
Mix hgt (ft)....500          2900         6700
Transport wind..W 7          W 6          W 8

$$
Forecaster...Danzig
Requested by...Ranger Odell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517979.0/BTV
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL david.mccasland@dec.ny.gov