512
FNUS71 KBTV 101111
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Mt. Tabor Rx Piles...Federal or State Agency
National Weather Service Burlington VT
711 AM EDT Tue Jun 10 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on June 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The antecedent conditions have been quite wet, with around 2.5
inches of rain falling since the beginning of the month and the
Mt. Tabor RAWS has seen about an inch in the last 3 days, and
about 0.05 inches in the last 24 hours. Wetting rainfall is
expected this morning from a frontal passage with scattered
showers and possibly a thunderstorm this afternoon. Additional
rainfall between 0.2-0.5 inches is expected. Overall winds today
will be light from the south-southeast 5-10 mph, but by this
evening, winds will shift to the west by 8PM becoming light and
variable overnight. Winds could become stronger and more erratic
if thunderstorms develop and pass over the burn area. Humidity
values 70-90% will stay elevated throughout the day with shower
activity.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (60-70 percent). Showers early in the
                    morning, then showers likely and slight chance
                    of thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........68 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph early in the morning
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 6
                    mph in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest
                    late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........97     97     96     93     69
Weather cov.....LIKELY DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........                            S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).70     90     60     70     40
Chc of thdr (%).M      M      M      M      M
Temp............61     64     67     68     69
RH..............87     81     84     81     73
20 ft wind......SE 8   SE 5   SE 6   S 6    SE 6
20 ft wind gust.       8      8      7      9
Mix hgt (ft)....1000   1300   1800   2400   2600
Transport wind..S 9    S 9    S 8    S 9    SW 12

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    clear (0-10 percent). Rain showers likely and
                    slight chance of thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southwest 5 to 6
                    mph in the late evening and overnight. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 9 to 13 mph.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........67     59     36     18     3      4
Weather cov.....LIKELY
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).60     10     0      0      0      0
Chc of thdr (%).M      M      M      M      M      M
Temp............70     67     62     59     57     56
RH..............71     78     78     78     75     74
20 ft wind......SW 5   W 3    SW 5   SW 5   SW 5   SW 5
20 ft wind gust.10     9      8      8      7      8
Mix hgt (ft)....2200   1200   1000   1000   1000   1000
Transport wind..W 13   W 9    W 10   W 10   W 10   W 10

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph increasing to 20 to 24 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........5      5      9      16     24     13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      10     10
Chc of thdr (%).M      M      M      M      M      M
Temp............55     62     70     75     77     78
RH..............80     70     55     46     45     45
20 ft wind......SW 6   SW 7   W 9    W 12   W 13   SW 13
20 ft wind gust.9      13     16     18     20     21
Mix hgt (ft)....1100   2100   3500   4500   5200   4700
Transport wind..W 10   W 15   W 21   W 23   W 23   W 24

$$
Forecaster...Danzig
Requested by...Robert Goulding
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515571.1/BTV
.DELDT 06/10/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL joshua.shanto@usda.gov,keith.sargent@usda.gov,robert.a.goulding@usda.gov