482
FNUS71 KBTV 132133
FWSBTV

Spot Forecast for Kats Way Fire...NYS Forest Rangers
National Weather Service Burlington VT
533 PM EDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1700 EDT on July 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Scattered thunderstorms are roughly organized southwest to
northeast across the western Adirondacks early this evening,
moving northeastward while lines gradually move eastward towards
Keeseville this evening. The highest chances for heavy rain
remains between 7 and 8 PM, with some lingering chances for
showers through midnight tonight. Precipitation chances are high
through tonight at 75 to 80%, with most likely rainfall amounts of
only a few tenths of an inch. If the core of a thunderstorm moves
overhead this evening, upwards of an inch of rain can be
expected. In the unlikely event that showers and storms miss the
area tonight, there is another chance of showers on Monday, which
leads to about a 90% chance of at least 0.1" of rainfall through
tomorrow night. Southerly winds will be be gusty through the
the next few hours to near 25 mph with prevailing winds around
10-15 mph. Winds will become variable as the showers move into the
area, trending light tonight, and becoming more westerly on
Monday. Minimum RH today and tomorrow will be moderately high
with values greater than 60%.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........59 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 18 mph.
LAL.................

TIME (EDT)      5 PM
Sky (%).........62
Weather cov.....CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Chc of pcpn (%).30
Chc of thdr (%).M
LAL.............M
Temp............86
RH..............61
20 ft wind......S 14
20 ft wind gust.23
Mix hgt (ft)....2100
Transport wind..S 18

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers with
                    thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
                    showers likely and chance of thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 71.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms early in the evening. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    overnight.
Mixing height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 16 mph.
LAL.................

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........70     86     82     79     78     79
Weather cov.....CHANCE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).40     80     40     40     60     30
Chc of thdr (%).M      M      M      M      M      M
LAL.............M      M      M      M      M      M
Temp............84     79     76     75     74     73
RH..............63     74     82     84     84     87
20 ft wind......S 12   SW 9   S 8    S 7    S 7    S 6
20 ft wind gust.21     16     15     14     12     12
Mix hgt (ft)....1800   400    300    300    300    400
Transport wind..S 16   S 14   S 15   S 12   S 12   S 12

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    in the morning. Chance of thunderstorms through
                    the day. Showers likely in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of thunder...MISSING.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 6 mph shifting to the west
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    northwest late in the afternoon shifting to the
                    east around 5 mph late in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning, then gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 8 to 12 mph shifting to the west 8 to 9
                    mph late in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    south around 9 mph late in the afternoon.
LAL.................

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........79     56     53     74     68     61
Weather cov.....S CHC         CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........              S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20     10     30     60     40     20
Chc of thdr (%).M      M      M      M      M      M
LAL.............M      M      M      M      M      M
Temp............72     75     79     80     82     84
RH..............87     84     79     77     69     63
20 ft wind......S 6    S 6    S 6    S 6    W 6    E 5
20 ft wind gust.12     12     10     10     9      8
Mix hgt (ft)....400    900    1500   2000   2800   2300
Transport wind..S 10   S 10   S 8    S 8    W 8    W 9

$$
Forecaster...Kutikoff
Requested by...Forest Ranger David Russell
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517922.0/BTV
.DELDT 07/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL RayBrook.Dispatch@dec.ny.gov