


Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
124 FNUS71 KBTV 060527 FWSBTV Spot Forecast for Hardscrabble Rd Fire 2...NYS Department of Environmental Conservation National Weather Service Burlington VT 127 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on October 06. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Southwest winds will remain light, generally less than 5 mph, through daybreak Monday morning, along with relative humidity values of 75 to 85 percent. However, fire weather conditions are expected to deteriorate through the daylight hours across the St Lawrence Valley. Efficient daytime mixing will allow southwest winds to increase to 10 to 15 mph, with gusts of 20 to 30 mph from late morning through the afternoon. Meanwhile, expect another day of full sunshine with minimum relative humidity values dropping to 30 to 35 percent this afternoon. Overnight recovery tonight will see relative humidity peaking around 80 percent, though south to southwest winds will remain 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph much of the night. Rain showers spread into the region Tuesday morning, becoming widespread Tuesday afternoon into the evening. Isolated thunderstorms are possible. Rainfall amounts around an inch are expected. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Chance of thunder...0 percent. Begin/end of pcpn... Max temperature.....Around 83. Min humidity........33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 23 mph increasing to 22 to 24 mph late in the afternoon. LAL................. TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........21 22 21 20 19 23 27 29 14 13 5 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M Temp............58 62 66 70 74 77 79 80 81 83 80 RH..............69 62 58 51 46 42 41 38 35 33 38 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 9 10 12 12 13 14 14 13 20 FT wind gust.14 14 18 20 20 21 24 23 24 25 26 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.7 3.9 5.1 4.9 4.3 2.9 Transp wind dir.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.15 15 16 16 16 20 20 22 23 24 22 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Chance of pcpn......10 percent. Chance of thunder...1 percent. Begin/end of pcpn... Min temperature.....Around 61. Max humidity........78 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph early in the evening. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 18 mph. LAL................. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........5 6 15 20 32 39 28 23 23 26 29 33 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M Temp............77 74 71 70 68 67 66 65 65 64 64 63 RH..............43 50 55 57 61 63 65 68 68 67 70 72 20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S 20 FT wind spd..12 9 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 20 FT wind gust.25 24 21 17 13 9 10 10 10 12 12 13 Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S Transp wind spd.18 15 15 14 15 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely in the morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through the day. Showers in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......100 percent. Chance of thunder...31 percent. Begin/end of pcpn... Max temperature.....Around 75. Min humidity........64 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms late in the morning. Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 22 mph. LAL................. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........44 56 68 74 79 85 89 92 100 100 99 100 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Chc of pcpn (%).30 40 50 50 50 70 70 70 100 100 100 90 Chc of thdr (%).0 0 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M Temp............63 61 63 67 71 74 74 73 71 70 69 68 RH..............72 78 75 70 66 64 66 71 76 78 81 84 20 FT wind dir..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW 20 FT wind spd..10 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 20 FT wind gust.13 14 15 18 21 23 23 26 23 22 22 18 Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.2 Transp wind dir.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW Transp wind spd.15 15 16 17 20 21 22 22 22 21 18 16 $$ Forecaster...Hastings Requested by...Andrew Flynn Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2523011.0/BTV .DELDT 10/06/25 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL RayBrook.Dispatch@dec.ny.gov