Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
124
FNUS71 KBTV 060527
FWSBTV
Spot Forecast for Hardscrabble Rd Fire 2...NYS Department of Environmental Conservation
National Weather Service Burlington VT
127 AM EDT Mon Oct 6 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 EDT on October 06.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact our office at (802) 658-0207, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.
.DISCUSSION...
Southwest winds will remain light, generally less than 5 mph,
through daybreak Monday morning, along with relative humidity
values of 75 to 85 percent. However, fire weather conditions are
expected to deteriorate through the daylight hours across the St
Lawrence Valley. Efficient daytime mixing will allow southwest
winds to increase to 10 to 15 mph, with gusts of 20 to 30 mph from
late morning through the afternoon. Meanwhile, expect another day
of full sunshine with minimum relative humidity values dropping
to 30 to 35 percent this afternoon. Overnight recovery tonight
will see relative humidity peaking around 80 percent, though south
to southwest winds will remain 5 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph
much of the night. Rain showers spread into the region Tuesday
morning, becoming widespread Tuesday afternoon into the evening.
Isolated thunderstorms are possible. Rainfall amounts around an
inch are expected.
.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 23 mph increasing to 22 to 24
mph late in the afternoon.
LAL.................
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21 22 21 20 19 23 27 29 14 13 5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............58 62 66 70 74 77 79 80 81 83 80
RH..............69 62 58 51 46 42 41 38 35 33 38
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 9 10 12 12 13 14 14 13
20 FT wind gust.14 14 18 20 20 21 24 23 24 25 26
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 2.7 3.9 5.1 4.9 4.3 2.9
Transp wind dir.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.15 15 16 16 16 20 20 22 23 24 22
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of thunder...1 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Min temperature.....Around 61.
Max humidity........78 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph
early in the evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 14 to 18 mph.
LAL.................
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........5 6 15 20 32 39 28 23 23 26 29 33
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............77 74 71 70 68 67 66 65 65 64 64 63
RH..............43 50 55 57 61 63 65 68 68 67 70 72
20 FT wind dir..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT wind spd..12 9 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9
20 FT wind gust.25 24 21 17 13 9 10 10 10 12 12 13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
Transp wind spd.18 15 15 14 15 14 14 14 14 15 15 15
.TUESDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
cloudy (90-100 percent). Showers likely in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms through
the day. Showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......100 percent.
Chance of thunder...31 percent.
Begin/end of pcpn...
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 10 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26
mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty
and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
late in the morning.
Mixing height.......2900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 22 mph.
LAL.................
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........44 56 68 74 79 85 89 92 100 100 99 100
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).30 40 50 50 50 70 70 70 100 100 100 90
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30 30
LAL.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Temp............63 61 63 67 71 74 74 73 71 70 69 68
RH..............72 78 75 70 66 64 66 71 76 78 81 84
20 FT wind dir..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT wind spd..10 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12
20 FT wind gust.13 14 15 18 21 23 23 26 23 22 22 18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.2 2.7 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.2
Transp wind dir.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
Transp wind spd.15 15 16 17 20 21 22 22 22 21 18 16
$$
Forecaster...Hastings
Requested by...Andrew Flynn
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2523011.0/BTV
.DELDT 10/06/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL RayBrook.Dispatch@dec.ny.gov