878
FNUS51 KBUF 150305
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure will build across the region tonight, and support a
brief period of mainly dry weather into Saturday morning.
Temperatures will rise to around 10 degrees above normal Saturday,
ahead of the next storm system that will bring a period of rain
Saturday afternoon and Saturday night. Behind a cold front Sunday
rain showers will change over to snow, with a little lake effect
snow southeast of the Lakes Sunday night.

NYZ201-150900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy       Cloudy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0           80          100           80
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       23           55           36           44
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           60          100           54
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                  W 15 G30
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var     S  7 G20    SW  9 G24     W 15 G31
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.16         0.22         0.17
Precip Duration                                  3           12           11
Precip Begin                                 12 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        1830                      6500
Transport Wind (kts)             N  7        SE  6        SW 16        NW 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        10980            0       175500
Dispersion Index                    0           11            0          176
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-150900-
Southern Tier-
1004 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0           70           90           70
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           20            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       27           56           34           40
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           62          100           49
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                  W 14 G28
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var    SW  8 G21     W 10 G24     W 15 G29
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.09         0.12         0.12
Precip Duration                                  3            8            8
Precip Begin                                 11 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2170                      6210
Transport Wind (kts)             W  6         S 14         W 17        NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        30380            0       198720
Dispersion Index                    0           30            0          199
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain
showers likely. Lows in the upper 20s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers.
Highs in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
around 30. Highs in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and
freezing rain. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...West around 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 15 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$