251
FNUS51 KBUF 121405
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Early morning clouds and scattered showers across portions of the
area will end, allowing for increasing amounts of sunshine today.
Low pressure moving north along the eastern seaboard will then
spread clouds back into the area overnight through Monday, with rain
showers spreading into the eastern Lake Ontario region and Central
NY, possibly as far west as the Genesee Valley. A ridge of high
pressure will build back into the eastern Great Lakes Tuesday, with
a return to dry weather.

NYZ201-122000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0           40           50
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       68           46           62
Min/Max Humidity (%)               36          100           59
AM Wind (mph)                    E  5                     NE  5
PM Wind (mph)                    E  8         E  6        NE  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.03         0.05
Precip Duration                                  1            2
Precip Begin                                 12 AM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5500                      3290
Transport Wind (kts)             E 13         E 11        NE 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               71500            0        46060
Dispersion Index                   72            0           46
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-122000-
Southern Tier-
1004 AM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0           30           40
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       67           44           62
Min/Max Humidity (%)               43          100           56
AM Wind (mph)                    E  5                     NE  5
PM Wind (mph)                    E  8         E  5        NE  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.05         0.08
Precip Duration                                  1            2
Precip Begin                                  2 AM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5390                      3340
Transport Wind (kts)             E 13         E 10        NE 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               70070            0        53440
Dispersion Index                   70            0           53
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Cooler. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in
the lower 50s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower
60s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Northwest around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...South around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$