104
FNUS51 KBUF 072005
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A sharp cold front will slowly ease its way south across our area
through this evening...and in the process will generate some
desperately- needed rainfall. In its wake...strong Canadian
high pressure will build across our region Wednesday and
Thursday and provide us with dry weather...along with the
coolest temperatures of the fall so far. Expect highs mainly in
the 50s both Wednesday and Thursday...with Wednesday and
Thursday nights both likely to feature a frost or freeze across
many areas away from the immediate lakeshores. Continued dry
weather and a gradual warming trend will then follow for Friday
and the weekend as the high slides off the New England coast.

NYZ201-080800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       46           62           32           56
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           42          100           34
AM Wind (mph)                                 N  7                      N  5
PM Wind (mph)                    W  7         N 10         N  7         N  5
Precip Amount                    0.62         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    10
Precip Begin                     6 PM
Precip End                       5 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6560                      5420
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 12         N 16         N 13         N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       104960            0        48780
Dispersion Index                    0          105            0           49
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-080800-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                              Tonight          Wed    Wed Night          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       45           60           33           56
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           37          100           31
AM Wind (mph)                                NW  8                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    W  7         N 10         N  6        NE  5
Precip Amount                    0.45         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     9
Precip Begin                     6 PM
Precip End                       6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6160                      5370
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 10        NW 17         N 11        NE 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       104720            0        59070
Dispersion Index                    0          105            0           59
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Clear. Areas of frost. Lows in the mid 30s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...East around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$