678
FNUS51 KBUF 100604
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A complex storm system will continue to produce freezing rain and a
wintry mix across the North Country this evening, with wet snow and
rain elsewhere. All precipitation will transition to snow overnight
as colder air arrives. An early winter flow of arctic air will lend
to chilly conditions for Monday with temperatures well below normal,
brisk winds and lake effect snow, that will increase in intensity
Monday evening southeast of the Lakes. Accumulating lake snows will
continue southeast of the lakes through Tuesday before slightly
milder air arrives Wednesday, allowing snow to mix back with rain.

NYZ201-100900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

                            Overnight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain Snow Showers         Snow         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                  40           50           70           80
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       25           34           20           38
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           72          100           59
AM Wind (mph)                                NW  6                  W 10 G23
PM Wind (mph)                                NW  7         W  6     W 13 G25
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.05         0.10         0.12
Precip Duration                     1            5           12            9
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            340         3410          140         5430
Transport Wind (kts)             N 10        NW 12         W 14         W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                3400        40920         1960       130320
Dispersion Index                    3           41            2          130
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-100900-
Southern Tier-
104 AM EST Mon Nov 10 2025

                            Overnight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers     Frz Rain     Frz Rain         Snow
Chance Precip (%)                  50           60           60           60
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       23           32           21           36
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           58          100           53
AM Wind (mph)                                NW  7                  W 12 G24
PM Wind (mph)                                NW  8        NW  8     W 13 G25
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.05         0.06         0.10
Precip Duration                     1            3            6           12
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            440         4200                      6210
Transport Wind (kts)             N 13        NW 14        NW 15         W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                5720        58800            0       186300
Dispersion Index                    6           59            0          186
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Snow. Lows around 30.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain and snow. Highs in the lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Rain and a chance of snow showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$