Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
435
FNUS51 KBUF 140305
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A mix of lake effect rain and snow showers will taper down tonight
and early Friday across far western NY with dry weather expected
Friday, while at least scattered lake effect light rain and higher
elevation snow showers continue from the lower Genesee Valley and
Finger Lakes eastward, before high pressure will then bring a brief
period of mainly dry weather to the entire area Friday night into
Saturday morning. Temperatures will rise to around 10 degrees above
normal Saturday, ahead of the next storm system that will bring a
period of rain Saturday afternoon and Saturday night. Behind a cold
front Sunday rain showers will change over to snow, with a little
lake effect snow southeast of the Lakes Sunday night.
NYZ201-140900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Frz Rain None Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 0 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 24 44 22 55
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 62 100 58
AM Wind (mph) NW 5 Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph) W 6 NW 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.05 0.01 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 4 2 4
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing 1 PM
Precip End Continuing 5 PM Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 4330 2480
Transport Wind (kts) NW 13 NW 13 N 7 S 8
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 56290 0 19840
Dispersion Index 0 56 0 20
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ200-140900-
Southern Tier-
1004 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain None None Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%) 30 0 0 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 27 45 25 55
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 49 100 52
AM Wind (mph) NW 6 Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph) W 8 NW 7 Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.05
Precip Duration 2 6
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM
Precip End 5 AM Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 5180 2360
Transport Wind (kts) NW 14 NW 18 N 7 S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 93240 0 28320
Dispersion Index 0 93 0 28
Remarks...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely. Highs
in the lower 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain showers likely. Lows
around 30. Highs in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower
40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers and
freezing rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast around 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West around 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$