Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
998
FNUS51 KBUF 120605
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect snow will continue tonight, becoming a more concentrated
single band as a southwest flow aligns through the night. Through
early Wednesday morning a few inches of wet snow is likely in
the Buffalo and Niagara Falls Metro areas, as well as Watertown
and communities to the north before warming through the day
changes falling snow over to a cold rain. Mid to late week
warming will change the bulk of the precipitation back to plain
rain as unsettled weather ends just before the start of the
weekend.
NYZ201-120900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Overnight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Snow Snow/rain Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 80 80 70 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 25 44 29 44
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 76 100 67
AM Wind (mph) SW 9 G20 W 8 G20
PM Wind (mph) SW 9 G23 W 8 G22 W 9 G22
Precip Amount 0.07 0.19 0.15 0.09
Precip Duration 5 12 8 11
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 3300 4560
Transport Wind (kts) SW 15 SW 15 W 16 W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 49500 0 77520
Dispersion Index 0 50 0 78
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ200-120900-
Southern Tier-
104 AM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Overnight Wed Wed Night Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Snow Showers Snow/rain Showers Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 80 80 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 24 42 31 43
Max/Min Humidity (%) 99 65 100 55
AM Wind (mph) SW 10 G22 W 10 G21
PM Wind (mph) W 9 G22 W 9 G22 W 10 G22
Precip Amount 0.01 0.16 0.12 0.03
Precip Duration 1 11 9 6
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 3500 5660
Transport Wind (kts) SW 16 SW 20 W 16 W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 70000 0 141500
Dispersion Index 0 70 0 142
Remarks...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely and a
chance of rain showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of snow showers. Highs in
the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s.
.SUNDAY...Rain with freezing rain likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs around 40.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers and
freezing rain. Lows around 30. Highs around 40.
WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$