Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
038
FNUS51 KBUF 261805
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
.DISCUSSION...
A strong cold front will usher in a much colder airmass tonight
through the end of the week, with an extended period of strong wind
gusts lasting through Friday. Localized lake effect snow will
develop northeast of the lakes tonight near Buffalo and Watertown,
then move quickly south into the traditional snowbelts east and
southeast of the lakes Thursday through Friday night where locally
heavy accumulations will occur. The gusty winds will produce blowing
and drifting snow. Outside of the main lake effect areas, passing
snow showers will produce minor accumulations Thursday night through
Friday. High pressure will bring a brief respite of dry weather
Saturday before another system brings wind and mixed precipitation
by Sunday.
NYZ201-262100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Snow Snow
Chance Precip (%) 70 50 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 58 29 40
Min/Max Humidity (%) 69 100 52
AM Wind (mph) S 5 G23 SW 16 G39
PM Wind (mph) SW 10 G34 SW 13 G39 SW 17 G37
Precip Amount 0.13 0.13 0.08
Precip Duration 5 11 12
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 4210 5270
Transport Wind (kts) SW 17 SW 22 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 71570 0 158100
Dispersion Index 72 0 158
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ200-262100-
Southern Tier-
104 PM EST Wed Nov 26 2025
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Snow Showers Snow
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Max/Min Temp 58 25 37
Min/Max Humidity (%) 58 93 46
AM Wind (mph) SW 6 G22 SW 17 G37
PM Wind (mph) SW 11 G29 SW 15 G37 W 16 G34
Precip Amount 0.06 0.04 0.14
Precip Duration 6 4 12
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 4 PM Continuing Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 4570 5370
Transport Wind (kts) SW 21 SW 24 W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 95970 0 161100
Dispersion Index 96 0 161
Remarks...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Snow. Patchy blowing snow. Lows in the upper
20s.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with snow showers likely. Patchy blowing snow.
Highs in the mid 30s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.
.SUNDAY...Rain and snow showers. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.
WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 15 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 15 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Light winds.
WIND MONDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...East around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$