017
FNUS51 KBUF 122005
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
405 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

.DISCUSSION...
No significant fire weather concerns are expected.

NYZ201-130800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
405 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                  60           40           50            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           20           20            0
Min/Max Temp                       62           79           49           67
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           66          100           42
AM Wind (mph)                                SW  5                     NW  7
PM Wind (mph)                    S  7         W  6         W  6        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.17         0.06         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration                     6            2            2
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing         2 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            420         3630          420         6760
Transport Wind (kts)             S 12         W 11        NW 11        NW 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                5040        39930         4620        74360
Dispersion Index                    3           47            4           80
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-130800-
Southern Tier-
405 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026

                              Tonight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers        Tstms         None
Chance Precip (%)                  70           40           60            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50            0           50            0
Min/Max Temp                       62           79           49           65
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           63          100           44
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     NW  7
PM Wind (mph)                    S  6         W  6        NW  6         N  6
Precip Amount                    0.32         0.08         0.08         0.00
Precip Duration                     5            1            4
Precip Begin                     6 PM         4 PM   Continuing
Precip End                       5 AM   Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)            430         4130          420         5470
Transport Wind (kts)             S 10         W 13        NW 11         N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                4300        53690         4620        54700
Dispersion Index                    4           57            4           68
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 60s. Highs in the mid 70s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the upper 60s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$