197
FNUS51 KBUF 162005
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Seasonable and dry weather will continue this afternoon through
Friday. Active weather will then arrive for the weekend and last
throughout the next week with two systems approaching and riding
across the region. Overall, expect much needed rain this weekend and
through the first half of the next week.

NYZ201-170800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       30           58           35           69
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           36           96           37
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var         S  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4320                      2980
Transport Wind (kts)             N  9        NW  7        NW  4         S 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        30240            0        29800
Dispersion Index                    0           30            0           30
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-170800-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EDT Thu Oct 16 2025

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud Cover                    Mclear        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       31           58           39           69
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           37           91           33
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      S  5
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var         S  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4640                      2940
Transport Wind (kts)            NW  8        NW  9        NW  4         S 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        41760            0        38220
Dispersion Index                    0           42            0           38
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Highs in the upper
60s.
.MONDAY...Showers, cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the mid 50s.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast around 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...South around 15 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...South 5 to 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...South 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$