368
FNUS51 KBUF 140905
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect snow and rain showers continue this morning, before
tapering off throughout the day today from west to east. The
majority of the lake effect shower activity will lie east of the
lower Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes. High pressure building
overhead tonight, will support a brief period of mainly dry weather
across much of Friday night into Saturday morning. Temperatures will
rise to around 10 degrees above normal Saturday, ahead of the next
storm system that will bring a period of rain Saturday afternoon and
Saturday night. Behind a cold front Sunday rain showers will change
over to snow, with a little lake effect snow southeast of the Lakes
Sunday night.

NYZ201-142100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                   Showers         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30            0           90
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0           20
Max/Min Temp                       45           24           56
Min/Max Humidity (%)               60          100           60
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  6      Lgt/Var         S  6
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.00         0.10
Precip Duration                     2                         5
Precip Begin                     6 AM                     10 AM
Precip End                      10 AM                Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4090                      2090
Transport Wind (kts)             W 13         N  6         S 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               53170            0        22990
Dispersion Index                   53            0           23
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-142100-
Southern Tier-
404 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Sat
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0           90
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0           20
Max/Min Temp                       44           28           56
Min/Max Humidity (%)               47          100           59
AM Wind (mph)                    W  5                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                   NW  6      Lgt/Var     S  7 G20
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.09
Precip Duration                                               6
Precip Begin                                              10 AM
Precip End                                           Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5180                      2360
Transport Wind (kts)             W 18        NW  6        SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               93240            0        35400
Dispersion Index                   93            0           35
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Rain showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely. Highs
in the lower 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain showers likely. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 40.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast around 10 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West around 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West 10 to 15 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$