851
FNUS51 KBUF 220604
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Hilltop low clouds and fog will dissipate tonight behind a
recently departed cold front. High pressure sliding across the
region Saturday will grant fair weather, with variable
cloudiness and afternoon temperatures just a few degrees below
normal. Clear skies Saturday evening, especially east of Lake
Ontario will allow for temperatures to cool into the upper 20s
east of Lake Erie, and upper teens east of Lake Ontario before
clouds thicken from the west, temperatures moderate, and light
precipitation reaches western New York Sunday morning.

NYZ201-220900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025

                            Overnight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0           70
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       29           43           24           46
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           55          100           63
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      S  6
PM Wind (mph)                                NW  6      Lgt/Var    SW  9 G21
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.06
Precip Duration                                                            8
Precip Begin                                                            7 AM
Precip End                                                        Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4250                      3620
Transport Wind (kts)            NW  6        NW 11         S  8        SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        46750            0        57920
Dispersion Index                    0           47            0           58
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-220900-
Southern Tier-
104 AM EST Sat Nov 22 2025

                            Overnight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0           40
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       31           43           26           45
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           48          100           55
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     SW  7
PM Wind (mph)                                NW  6      Lgt/Var         W 10
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                                                            2
Precip Begin                                                            7 AM
Precip End                                                        Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4670                      4060
Transport Wind (kts)             W  5        NW 11         W  5         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        51370            0        85260
Dispersion Index                    0           51            0           85
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...West around 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southeast around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$