Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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264
FNUS51 KBUF 181504
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A few light lake effect flurries will linger this morning southeast
of Lake Ontario from Wayne to southern Oswego County, otherwise dry
weather will return today with less wind than the past few days.
Weak low pressure will then pass south of the region tonight and may
spread some light rain and wet snow across the Southern Tier with
little or no accumulation. High pressure will then build into the
Great Lakes with dry weather and a gradual warming trend Wednesday
through Thursday.

NYZ201-182100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       41           21           43
Min/Max Humidity (%)               47          100           54
AM Wind (mph)                    W  6                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                    W  6      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4520                      3910
Transport Wind (kts)             W 14        SW  5        NW  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               63280            0        19550
Dispersion Index                   63            0           20
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-182100-
Southern Tier-
1004 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       42           24           43
Min/Max Humidity (%)               41          100           47
AM Wind (mph)                    W  5                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5740                      4090
Transport Wind (kts)             W 14        SW  4        NW  4
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               80360            0        16360
Dispersion Index                   80            0           16
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the upper 40s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND THURSDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$