679
FNUS51 KBUF 282105
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Cold air flowing across the open waters of the lower Great Lakes
will continue to support localized heavy lake effect snow east and
southeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario through tonight, along with
gusty winds that will produce areas of blowing and drifting snow.
Lake snows will weaken later tonight into Saturday morning as
transient high pressure crosses the area bringing a brief period of
mainly dry weather on Saturday, before another area of low pressure
brings a round of light rain and snow, along with breezy to windy
conditions later Saturday night and Sunday.

NYZ201-290900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy       Cloudy
Precip Type              Snow Showers         None Snow Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  40            0           90          100
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       21           36           21           42
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           51          100           65
AM Wind (mph)                                 W  7                  S 13 G25
PM Wind (mph)                W 12 G28         W  5      Lgt/Var     S 13 G27
Precip Amount                    0.08         0.00         0.07         0.14
Precip Duration                     4                         6           12
Precip Begin                     6 PM                      6 PM   Continuing
Precip End                       6 AM                Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4650                      3720
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 22         W 14         S  7        SW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        65100            0        74400
Dispersion Index                    0           65            0           74
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-290900-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers         None Snow Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  60            0           80           90
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       21           35           24           40
Max/Min Humidity (%)               97           44           93           57
AM Wind (mph)                                 W  6                  S 15 G28
PM Wind (mph)                W 12 G27      Lgt/Var        SE  5    SW 14 G28
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.00         0.06         0.07
Precip Duration                     4                         6           12
Precip Begin                     6 PM                      6 PM   Continuing
Precip End                       6 AM                Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        5000                      3870
Transport Wind (kts)             W 20         W 11        SE  7        SW 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        55000            0        92880
Dispersion Index                    0           55            0           93
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of snow and rain showers. Lows in the
lower 20s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 20s.
.TUESDAY...Cloudy with snow likely. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs
in the lower 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the lower 20s. Highs in the lower 30s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows
around 15. Highs in the upper 20s.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...South around 15 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Light winds.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...South around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$