531
FNUS51 KBUF 170206
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1005 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Summertime heat and humidity will continue through Thursday, along
with a few rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms, with the
greatest coverage of storms expected through this evening from the
Southern Tier into the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes, and Thursday
east of  Lake Ontario. While a few storms may produce localized
gusty winds and heavy rainfall, other areas may receive little or no
rain with very uneven coverage. Following the passage of a cold
front, drier and cooler air will then overspread our region for
Friday and Saturday.

NYZ201-170800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1005 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  60           60            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           50            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       70           87           54           77
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           60          100           40
AM Wind (mph)                            SW  7 G25                      N  5
PM Wind (mph)                    S  5    SW 13 G32     W 10 G26      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.10         0.12         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     3            3
Precip Begin                     7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        4950          400         6460
Transport Wind (kts)             S  8        SW 25         W 21         N  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       123750         8400        32300
Dispersion Index                    0          124            8           32
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-170800-
Southern Tier-
1005 PM EDT Wed Jul 16 2025

                              Tonight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  70           60            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50           50            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       67           85           56           74
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           54          100           48
AM Wind (mph)                            SW  9 G21                      N  5
PM Wind (mph)                    S  5     W 14 G25     W 10 G23      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.22         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     6            3
Precip Begin                     6 PM         9 AM
Precip End                 Continuing         5 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        5770          160         4950
Transport Wind (kts)            SW  9         W 28        NW 16         N  4
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       161560         2560        19800
Dispersion Index                    0          162            3           20
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around
80.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper
70s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Northwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$