990
FNUS51 KBUF 170605
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
204 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Summertime heat and humidity will continue through Thursday, along
with a few rounds of scattered showers and thunderstorms, with the
greatest coverage of storms expected through this evening from the
Southern Tier into the Genesee Valley and Finger Lakes, and Thursday
east of  Lake Ontario. While a few storms may produce localized
gusty winds and heavy rainfall, other areas may receive little or no
rain with very uneven coverage. Following the passage of a cold
front, drier and cooler air will then overspread our region for
Friday and Saturday.

NYZ201-170800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
204 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  50           60            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           50            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       70           86           54           77
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           56          100           38
AM Wind (mph)                            SW  9 G33                      N  5
PM Wind (mph)                            SW 15 G35     W 12 G33      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.21         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            5
Precip Begin                     2 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        5140          170         5970
Transport Wind (kts)             S 10         W 26         N 13        NW  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       133640         2210        29850
Dispersion Index                    0          134            2           30
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-170800-
Southern Tier-
204 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                            Overnight          Thu    Thu Night          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms        Tstms         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  30           30            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              20           30            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       67           85           56           75
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           55          100           43
AM Wind (mph)                            SW 10 G30                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                             W 14 G31     W 10 G25      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            2
Precip Begin                     2 AM        10 AM
Precip End                       5 AM         3 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        6220          250         5190
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 11         W 27         W 17        NW  4
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       167940         4250        20760
Dispersion Index                    0          168            4           21
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around
80.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...South around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$