Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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254
FNUS51 KBUF 170205
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Canadian high pressure will maintain quiet weather through tonight.
A series of low pressure systems will lift a stalled boundary to our
south back northwards as a warm front Tuesday, opening the door to
warmer air and unsettled weather through midweek. On and off chances
for showers and thunderstorms through the weekend before more
substantial heat and humidity builds early next week.

NYZ201-170800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           40           40           40
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           20           20           40
Min/Max Temp                       60           79           63           83
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           61          100           61
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  5                     SW  5
PM Wind (mph)                    S  5         S  7         S  7        SW  5
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.05         0.04         0.07
Precip Duration                                  2            2            2
Precip Begin                                 12 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        3950           10         4650
Transport Wind (kts)             S  9         S 13        SW 10         W  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        51350          100        41850
Dispersion Index                    0           51            0           42
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-170800-
Southern Tier-
1004 PM EDT Mon Jun 16 2025

                              Tonight          Tue    Tue Night          Wed
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                   0           50           40           50
Chance of Thunder (%)               0           20           20           50
Min/Max Temp                       59           77           64           83
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           64          100           59
AM Wind (mph)                                 S  6                     SW  5
PM Wind (mph)                    S  5         S  7         S  6        SW  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.12         0.08         0.08
Precip Duration                                  2            2            2
Precip Begin                                 12 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        3550                      6060
Transport Wind (kts)             S 10         S 13         S 12        SW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        46150            0        60600
Dispersion Index                    0           46            0           61
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 70s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the
upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the upper
50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid
80s.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...South around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$