706
FNUS51 KBUF 121805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect rain and wet snow focused northeast of both lakes early
this morning will continue to change over to rain through the course
of the day. Lake effect precipitation will continue Thursday and
into Friday, though milder temperatures will allow for mostly plain
rain. A brief period of areawide dry weather expected early this
weekend before unsettled weather returns by early next week.

NYZ201-122100-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Thu
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                 Snow/rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  80           70           70
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       44           29           44
Min/Max Humidity (%)               64          100           65
AM Wind (mph)               SW  8 G22                  W  8 G21
PM Wind (mph)               SW 10 G23     W  9 G22     W  9 G22
Precip Amount                    0.17         0.12         0.10
Precip Duration                    12            6            7
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3520                      4790
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 15         W 16        NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               52800            0        76640
Dispersion Index                   53            0           77
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-122100-
Southern Tier-
104 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                 Snow/rain      Showers     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)                  80           80           40
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       43           30           43
Min/Max Humidity (%)               60          100           57
AM Wind (mph)               SW 10 G23                  W 10 G21
PM Wind (mph)                W 11 G23     W  9 G23     W 10 G22
Precip Amount                    0.16         0.10         0.05
Precip Duration                    11            4            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3370                      4980
Transport Wind (kts)             W 20         W 15        NW 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               67400            0       119520
Dispersion Index                   67            0          120
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers,
snow showers and freezing rain. Lows in the lower 30s.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s.
.SUNDAY...Rain with snow showers and freezing rain likely. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain showers likely. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 40s.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$