263
FNUS51 KBUF 090604
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

.DISCUSSION...
An area of low pressure will approach the area tonight. Besides a
few scattered light showers, mostly dry weather will continue this
evening, before much more unsettled weather then makes a quick
return later tonight and Sunday as the area of low pressure crosses
the area. Expect mainly rain south of Lake Ontario and a possible
wintry mix across the North Country eventually giving way to snow
Sunday afternoon and night as much colder air wraps in behind the
departing low. The much colder airmass will also eventually bring a
period of accumulating lake snows southeast and east of the lakes
Monday night and Tuesday.

NYZ201-090900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

                            Overnight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy       Cloudy       Cloudy        Mcldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain   Snow/fz Ra     Frz Rain Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  60           90           80           60
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       31           44           23           34
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           79          100           67
AM Wind (mph)                            NE  6 G20                     NW  6
PM Wind (mph)                            NE  9 G22         N  7        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.40         0.18         0.04
Precip Duration                     2           12            6            8
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)             70         2320                      3400
Transport Wind (kts)             E  9        NE 15         N 13        NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 630        34800            0        44200
Dispersion Index                    1           35            0           44
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-090900-
Southern Tier-
104 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

                            Overnight          Sun    Sun Night          Mon
Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                   Showers      Showers      Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  50           90           60           60
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       34           48           24           32
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           70          100           59
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      N  7
PM Wind (mph)                                NE  7         N  6        NW  7
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.27         0.09         0.04
Precip Duration                     2            8            5            5
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        2090                      4060
Transport Wind (kts)             E  6        NE  9         N 12        NW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        18810            0        64960
Dispersion Index                    0           19            0           65
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with snow showers likely. Lows in
the mid 20s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain showers.
Highs in the upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Rain and snow showers. Lows around 30. Highs in the
lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow showers likely. Lows
in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow showers. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 15 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$