041
FNUS51 KBUF 190805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

.DISCUSSION...
An area of deepening low pressure will drive a cold front across our
region today, with again showers and thunderstorms blossoming ahead
of the feature and within the peak heating of the day. Heavier
storms are likely to be centered over the eastern Lake Ontario
region, with humidity beginning to lower through the afternoon across
western New York, albeit with a gusty breeze off Lake Erie. More
comfortable conditions will then settle into the region for tonight
night and Friday...before oppressive heat and humidity builds this
weekend and into the start of next week.

NYZ201-192000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  70           40            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       81           55           76
Min/Max Humidity (%)               57          100           52
AM Wind (mph)                S  8 G35                      W  8
PM Wind (mph)               SW 12 G39     W 12 G34         W  8
Precip Amount                    0.15         0.11         0.00
Precip Duration                     6            3
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         5 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           6820           80         4850
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 25        SW 24         W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              170500         1920        72750
Dispersion Index                  170            2           73
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-192000-
Southern Tier-
404 AM EDT Thu Jun 19 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  60           50           30
Chance of Thunder (%)              50            0           30
Max/Min Temp                       80           55           77
Min/Max Humidity (%)               56          100           47
AM Wind (mph)               SW 11 G28                      W  7
PM Wind (mph)               SW 13 G32     W 11 G28         W  9
Precip Amount                    0.16         0.07         0.01
Precip Duration                     5            2            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing         2 PM
Precip End                 Continuing        11 PM   Continuing
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           7050          170         7220
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 27         W 14         W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              190350         2380       137180
Dispersion Index                  190            2          137
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 80.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper
80s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the
upper 80s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$