Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
552
FNUS51 KBUF 160604
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure will pass just north of the area tonight, with showers
and thunderstorms moving from west to east into this evening. The
rain will taper off later this evening following the passage of a
cold front. The low will continue to strengthen over New England
tonight through Sunday, producing gusty winds across the eastern
Great Lakes. Colder air behind the system will also bring lake
effect snow showers southeast of the lakes Sunday through Monday,
and some upslope snow for the higher terrain east of Lake Ontario
with light to locally moderate accumulations.
NYZ201-160900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Overnight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Cloudy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%) 50 60 60 50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 34 42 25 39
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 53 100 52
AM Wind (mph) W 15 G33 NW 13 G26
PM Wind (mph) NW 16 G35 NW 14 G34 W 13 G26
Precip Amount 0.04 0.08 0.05 0.03
Precip Duration 1 6 7 3
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 6090 5340
Transport Wind (kts) W 22 NW 29 NW 25 NW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 176610 0 122820
Dispersion Index 0 177 0 123
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ200-160900-
Southern Tier-
104 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Overnight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Showers Snow Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%) 40 50 50 30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 33 41 24 37
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 52 96 45
AM Wind (mph) NW 16 G32 NW 13 G25
PM Wind (mph) NW 17 G34 NW 14 G33 W 13 G25
Precip Amount 0.03 0.08 0.05 0.02
Precip Duration 1 5 9 2
Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 60 6340 110 5690
Transport Wind (kts) NW 22 NW 34 NW 26 NW 27
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 1320 215560 2860 153630
Dispersion Index 1 216 3 154
Remarks...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Lows
in the upper 20s.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 40.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the upper 30s.
Highs in the lower 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
WIND MONDAY NIGHT...West around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...Light winds.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$