567
FNUS51 KBUF 170605
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
104 AM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Deep low pressure over Maine will move slowly across the Canadian
Maritimes through Monday, while supporting windy and colder weather
across our region. Persistent upslope snow will bring moderate
accumulations to the higher terrain east of Lake Ontario, with
moderate accumulations from lake effect snow across the higher
terrain of the western Southern Tier inland from Lake Erie. Lake
effect snow will also bring some modest accumulations southeast of
Lake Ontario including Rochester and the Finger Lakes. Outside of
these areas, only a few passing flurries and minimal accumulation is
expected through Monday. High pressure will then build into the
region with a return to mainly dry weather expected by the middle of
the week.

NYZ201-170900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
104 AM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

                            Overnight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                  Frz Rain     Frz Rain         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  50           50            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       26           39           24           41
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           51           98           53
AM Wind (mph)                            NW 12 G26                      W  6
PM Wind (mph)                             W 13 G27     W  9 G23         W  5
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.03         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     4            5
Precip Begin                     1 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)                        5520                      4460
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 21        NW 23        NW 17         W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       126960            0        62440
Dispersion Index                    0          127            0           62
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-170900-
Southern Tier-
104 AM EST Mon Nov 17 2025

                            Overnight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type              Snow Showers         None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  40            0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0            0
Min/Max Temp                       25           37           24           41
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           42           96           43
AM Wind (mph)                            NW 13 G24                      W  5
PM Wind (mph)                            NW 13 G25     W  9 G21      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     3
Precip Begin                     1 AM
Precip End                       6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)             10         5790                      5390
Transport Wind (kts)            NW 21        NW 27        NW 17         W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                 210       156330            0        70070
Dispersion Index                    0          156            0           70
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of freezing rain.
Lows in the mid 20s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Rain showers. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs around 50.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers and freezing
rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Light winds.
WIND THURSDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...East around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$